CADTH Reimbursement Review

Risankizumab (Skyrizi)

Sponsor: AbbVie Corporation

Therapeutic area: Crohn disease

This multi-part report includes:

Clinical Review

Pharmacoeconomic Review

Stakeholder Input

Clinical Review

Abbreviations

AE

adverse event

APS

abdominal pain score

Bio-IR

inadequate response to biologic therapy

CCC

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

CD

Crohn disease

CDAI

Crohn’s Disease Activity Index

CI

confidence interval

CMH

Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel

CSS

Crohn’s Symptom Severity

EQ-5D-5L

5-Level EQ-5D

FACIT-F

Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue

GI

gastrointestinal

GI Society

Gastrointestinal Society

HRQoL

health-related quality of life

IBD

inflammatory bowel disease

IBDQ

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire

IL

interleukin

IL-17

interleukin-17

IL-23

interleukin-23

ITC

indirect treatment comparison

ITT

intention-to-treat

ITT1A

intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies

ITT1H

intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the SEQUENCE study, part 1

LSM

least squares mean

MCS

mental component summary

MID

minimal important difference

MMRM

mixed model of repeated measures

NMA

network meta-analysis

Non-bio-IR

inadequate response to conventional therapy

NRI

nonresponder imputation

OR

odds ratio

OUS

outside the US

PCS

physical component summary

RCT

randomized controlled trial

RR

relative risk

SA1

safety population

SAE

serious adverse event

SC

subcutaneous

SE

standard error

SES-CD

Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease

SF

stool frequency

SF-36

Short Form (36) Health Survey

SF/APS

stool frequency and abdominal pain score

SLR

systematic literature review

TEAE

treatment-emergent adverse event

TNF

tumour necrosis factor

Executive Summary

An overview of the submission details for the drug under review is provided in Table 1.

Table 1: Submitted for Review

Item

Description

Drug product

Risankizumab (Skyrizi), 600 mg IV infusion for induction therapy at week 0, week 4, and week 8, followed by maintenance therapy with risankizumab 360 mg by subcutaneous injection at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter

Indication

The treatment of adults with moderately to severely active Crohn disease who have an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies

Reimbursement request

As per indication

Health Canada approval status

NOC

Health Canada review pathway

Standard

NOC date

October 19, 2022

Sponsor

AbbVie Corporation

NOC = Notice of Compliance.

Introduction

Crohn disease (CD) is a chronic form of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) that can affect any part of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract, but commonly affects the ileum (i.e., small intestine), colon (i.e., beginning of the large intestine), and rectum. Common symptoms experienced by patients with CD include abdominal pain, rectal bleeding, fatigue, vomiting, diarrhea, perianal disease, weight loss, and bloating.1,2 Complications associated with CD can include malnutrition, weight loss, anemia, bowel obstructions, fistulas, anal fissures, and intra-abdominal and other abscesses and ulcers.1,3 In addition, patients with colonic CD have been shown to have an increased risk of developing colon cancer.1 Smoking, a family history of IBD, infectious gastroenteritis, and frequent use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs have been identified as risk factors.4 For many patients with CD, symptoms are chronic and intermittent, and disease activity and severity can vary widely over time. The predicted prevalence of CD in 2018 was 368 per 100,000 population, which translates to approximately 135,000 people in Canada living with CD.5,6

Currently, there is no cure for CD. Therapeutic goals include inducing and maintaining clinical and endoscopic remission. Pharmaceutical treatments for CD include aminosalicylates, immunosuppressants, corticosteroids, tumour necrosis factor (TNF) alpha antagonists, interleukin (IL) inhibitors, and integrin inhibitors. Medical management is based on a stepwise approach, with treatments used sequentially and escalated to either newer therapies or higher doses as patients fail to respond to each step of treatment. Not all patients respond to available treatments and their disease may become refractory to the current treatment regimens.

Risankizumab (Skyrizi) is a humanized immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody that binds to the p19 subunit of human interleukin-23 (IL-23) cytokine and inhibits IL-23 signalling, including the release of the proinflammatory cytokine interleukin-17 (IL-17).7 Risankizumab is indicated for the treatment of adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies.7 The sponsor-submitted reimbursement criteria of risankizumab is the same as the Health Canada–approved indication. The recommended dose for CD is 600 mg IV infusion at week 0, week 4, and week 8 as induction therapy, followed by 360 mg subcutaneous (SC) injection at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter as maintenance therapy.7

The objective of this systematic review is to assess the beneficial and harmful effects of risankizumab (60 mg/mL) IV infusion as induction therapy and SC injection (150 mg/mL) as maintenance therapy for the treatment of adults with moderately to severely active CD who have an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies.

Stakeholder Perspectives

The information in this section is a summary of input provided by the patient groups that responded to CADTH’s call for patient input and from 1 clinical expert consulted by CADTH for the purpose of this review.

Patient Input

Two patient groups, Crohn’s and Colitis Canada (CCC) and the Gastrointestinal (GI) Society, provided input for this review. CCC’s input was informed by its Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada 2018 report, a survey involving 687 respondents with moderate to severe CD, and interviews with 3 patients with CD who participated in the risankizumab clinical trial. The GI Society’s input was informed by 5 patient surveys involving more than 1,000 participants; interviews with 2 patients with CD who participated in the risankizumab trial; a focus group; a patient round table; phone, email, and social media interactions; and story submissions.

From the patients’ perspective, the inability to predict when the next urgent bowel movement would occur and the inability to control flare-ups had a significant negative impact on the personal and social lives of patients with CD. Both patient groups emphasized the importance of relieving symptoms, achieving remission, improving quality of life, minimizing chronic steroid use, and having access to a variety of effective treatment options.

Clinician Input

Input From Clinical Expert Consulted by CADTH
Unmet Needs

The clinical expert noted the following unmet needs of patients with CD: some patients do not respond to available treatments and some become refractory over time, access to biologic drugs is challenging or limited, and there is a lack of treatment options for fibrostenotic strictures and perianal or fistulizing CD.

The clinical expert noted that risankizumab is not expected to cause a shift in the treatment paradigm; they indicated it would be used in a similar fashion as other biologic treatments for CD, and likely prescribed alone or with a steroid taper or immunomodulator. The expert also noted that risankizumab could be used as first-line treatment or as a later treatment. However, the expert noted that due to a lack of data for fistulizing CD, these patients should try other treatments such as anti-TNF therapy before risankizumab.

The clinical expert commented that patients who are most in need are those with moderate to severe disease who have failed other biologic therapies, although those who are bionaive may have an even better response. Patients best suited should have an established diagnosis of CD based on an ileocolonoscopy with active disease.

The clinical expert noted that the following outcomes are used to determine patient response to treatment: clinical response and/or remission (e.g., improvement in symptoms such as pain, diarrhea), improvement in biomarkers, mucosal healing (e.g., endoscopic improvement), and improved health-related quality of life (HRQoL). The clinical expert noted that discontinuation of treatment should be based on primary or secondary loss of response, or adverse events (AEs) or symptoms that cannot be managed. It was noted by the expert that a gastroenterologist should be required to diagnose, treat, and monitor patients who might receive risankizumab, either in a community or hospital setting.

Clinician Group Input

One clinician group that provided input was the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group, which consists of specialists in gastroenterology caring for patients with CD. Their input was informed by 16 specialists.

The clinician group noted that the goal of treatment should focus on improving clinical symptoms, endoscopic response, and endoscopic remission. The clinician group stated there is a lack of safe and effective treatments for rapidly improving endoscopic outcomes of CD and maintaining improvement in the long term. It was suggested that risankizumab be used in patients with moderate to severe CD as first-line therapy, as well as second-line therapy for patients experiencing flares or inadequate response to biologics. The clinician group indicated that risankizumab is not suitable for patients with perianal or fistulizing CD, severe peripheral arthritis, uveitis, or a concomitant immune-mediated disease.

The clinician group indicated that administration of risankizumab during the induction phase should occur in a clinic under the supervision of a gastroenterologist. For maintenance therapy, the clinician group indicated patients could self-administer SC injections after training. Aligning with the opinion of the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, the clinician group proposed the following outcomes to determine treatment response with risankizumab: improvements in symptoms (e.g., stool frequency [SF], abdominal pain), a reduction in biomarkers (e.g., C-reactive protein, fecal calprotectin) of inflammatory activity by 3 months of therapy, symptomatic remission, discontinuation of corticosteroids by 6 months of treatment, and improvements in HRQoL. The clinician group indicated risankizumab should be discontinued when symptoms worsen or when there is inadequate response. Drug program input was obtained from the drug programs that participate in the CADTH reimbursement review process. The following were identified as key factors that could potentially impact the implementation of a CADTH recommendation for risankizumab:

The clinical expert consulted by CADTH provided advice on the potential implementation issues raised by the drug programs.

Clinical Evidence

Pivotal Studies and Protocol Selected Studies

Description of Studies

Four phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) submitted by the sponsor were included in this systematic review: the M15-991 (MOTIVATE) induction study (N = 413), the M16-006 (ADVANCE) induction study (N = 559), the M16-000-substudy 1 (FORTIFY) maintenance substudy 1 (N = 363), and the M20-259 part 1 (SEQUENCE) induction and maintenance ongoing study, || |||. The objectives of the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY trials were to evaluate the efficacy and safety of risankizumab in patients with moderately to severely active CD who had an inadequate response, had a loss of response, or were intolerant to either conventional therapy (denoted as non-bio-IR) or biologic therapy (denoted as bio-IR). SEQUENCE aimed to evaluate the comparative efficacy and safety of risankizumab compared to ustekinumab in the same population. Both induction trials were of similar design, except the MOTIVATE study enrolled patients who were bio-IR, and the ADVANCE study enrolled patients who were bio-IR or non-bio-IR. In these 2 trials, eligible patients were randomized to receive risankizumab 600 mg IV administered at week 0, week 4, and week 8 or matching placebo, in a double-blind manner. Patients without clinical response to risankizumab at week 12 entered an additional exploratory open-label 12-week induction period (period 2) and were rerandomized to risankizumab 1,200 mg IV, risankizumab 360 mg SC, or risankizumab 180 mg SC. Clinical responders from the induction trials were eligible to enter the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), as were patients from induction period 2 who achieved clinical response at week 24. Patients who entered the maintenance study were rerandomized to receive blinded risankizumab 360 mg SC or matching placebo every 8 weeks for 52 weeks. The induction and maintenance trials included treatment groups (1,200 mg IV induction and 180 mg SC maintenance doses of risankizumab) that were not aligned with the Health Canada–approved dose; for this reason, these treatment groups were not included in this review. To meet regional regulatory requirements, all 3 trials included 2 protocols denoted as US and outside the US (OUS) that were identical in design but specified different coprimary and key ranked secondary outcomes. Clinical remission and endoscopic response were coprimary outcomes in both protocols; however, the definition of clinical remission in the US protocol was defined as Crohn’s Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score being less than 150, whereas in the OUS protocol, it was defined as SF and abdominal pain score (APS) (together, referred to as SF/APS) clinical remission (defined as average daily SF ≤ 2.8 and not worse than baseline and average daily APS ≤ 1 and not worse than baseline). Key secondary outcomes were similar in both protocols but ranked differently. These included clinical remission, clinical response, enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response, endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy, corticosteroid-free clinical remission, the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue (FACIT-F) score, the Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire (IBDQ) total score, the Short Form (36) Health Survey (SF-36) physical component summary (PCS) and mental component summary (MCS) scores, and safety outcomes.

In the SEQUENCE study, patients were randomized to receive blinded risankizumab 600 mg IV induction at week 0, week 4, and week 8, then risankizumab 360 mg SC maintenance at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter or ustekinumab weight-based IV induction dose at week 0 and then ustekinumab 90 mg SC maintenance every 8 weeks thereafter, over 48 weeks. In the SEQUENCE study, part 1, the primary objective was to assess the noninferior rate of clinical remission based on a prespecified interim data lock that was powered by approximately 50% of planned patients (n = 272) who completed their week 24 visit or were prematurely discontinued before week 24. Other exploratory outcomes included clinical response, endoscopic remission, mucosal healing, deep remission, biologic remission, SF-36 PCS and MCS scores, and IBDQ total score.

Patients in the trial populations were predominantly white (77% to 91%), with an approximate mean age of 40 years and a mean CD duration of approximately 8 years to 12 years. In the MOTIVATE study, approximately 48% and 52% of patients were bio-IR of 1 and greater than 1, respectively. In the ADVANCE study, 23% to 30% of patients were bio-IR, 28% to 32% of patients were bio-IR greater than 1, and 42% to 45% of patients were non-bio-IR. Between 29% and 36% of patients across treatment groups were on concomitant corticosteroids and about 19% to 28% of patients were on immunomodulators. In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), patients’ baseline characteristics were generally comparable to those in the induction trials. In the SEQUENCE study, ||| || ||| || |||||||| ||| |||||| |||||||| ||||||| || |||| |||| || ||||| || | ||| ||| || ||| ||| |||||| ||||||| |||| |. All other key baseline characteristics were generally comparable to the other trials.

Efficacy Results

The key efficacy results from the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies are summarized in Table 2 and Table 3. The primary outcome for the SEQUENCE study is described in the text.

Clinical Remission

In both induction trials (MOTIVATE and ADVANCE), the coprimary outcome of clinical remission at week 12 for both the US and OUS protocols favoured risankizumab versus placebo. In the MOTIVATE US protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab versus placebo was 22.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.1% to 31.0%; P < 0.001). For the OUS protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in the SF/APS clinical remission rate was 15.2% (95% CI, 6.4% to 24.0%; P = 0.001). In the ADVANCE US protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab versus placebo was 20.7% (95% CI, 12.4% to 29.0%; P < 0.001). For the OUS protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in SF/APS clinical remission was 21.9% (95% CI, 13.8% to 29.9%; P < 0.001). In both trials and protocols, all secondary ranked multiplicity-controlled outcomes — including SF and APS remission at week 12, CDAI clinical remission at week 4, and SF/APS clinical remission at week 4 — favoured risankizumab versus placebo. The results of subgroup analyses by bio-IR status were consistent with the main analysis. The findings were robust to sensitivity analyses using different methods to account for missing data.

In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), the coprimary outcome of clinical remission at week 52 in both protocols favoured risankizumab versus placebo. For the US protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab was 14.6% (95% CI, 4.3% to 25.0%; P = 0.005). For the OUS protocol, the adjusted between-group difference in the SF/APS clinical remission rate was 15.2% (95% CI, 4.9% to 25.4%); P = 0.004). In both protocols, almost all secondary remission outcomes — including SF and APS remission, maintenance of SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission, SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission with endoscopic response, and SF/APS or CDAI deep remission — favoured risankizumab versus placebo. The evidence was too imprecise to show a difference for corticosteroid-free CDAI or SF/APS clinical remission. However, except for SF/APS clinical remission (US protocol), the secondary outcomes are at an increased risk of type I error (false-positive results) because they were tested after failure of the statistical hierarchy.

In the ongoing SEQUENCE trial, the primary outcome of CDAI clinical remission at week 24 in the intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the SEQUENCE study, part 1 (ITT1H), and the per-protocol population for the interim lock analysis ||||||| risankizumab versus ustekinumab. However, this was based on only ||| of the planned population and the findings are at risk of overestimating the efficacy of |||||||||||| |||||| |||||||||||, although the potential presence and magnitude of the overestimation is unclear.

Clinical Response

In both induction trials and protocols, all the secondary ranked multiplicity-controlled clinical response outcomes favoured risankizumab versus placebo. The between-group adjusted difference in CDAI clinical response at week 12 for risankizumab versus placebo was 23.1% (95% CI, 14.2% to 31.9%) in the ADVANCE study and 29.4% (95% CI, 19.9% to 39.0%) in the MOTIVATE study. The between-group adjusted difference for CDAI clinical response and endoscopic response combined at week 12 for risankizumab versus placebo was 24.5% (95% CI, 18.5% to 30.5%) in the ADVANCE study and 15.0% (95% CI, 8.5% to 21.5%) in the MOTIVATE study. Results of the sensitivity analysis for all outcomes were consistent with the primary analysis.

In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), the secondary outcomes of CDAI clinical response and SF/APS enhanced clinical response at week 52 were not formally tested due to failure of the statistical hierarchy, although they were supportive of the primary outcomes.

Mucosal Healing and Endoscopic Response

In the induction trials, the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response and secondary outcomes of endoscopic remission and ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12 favoured risankizumab versus placebo. In the MOTIVATE study, the adjusted between-group difference in endoscopic response rate with risankizumab versus placebo was 17.7% (95% CI, 9.9% to 25.4%; P < 0.001). In the ADVANCE study, the adjusted between-group difference in endoscopic response rate was 28.3% (95% CI, 21.2% to 35.4%; P < 0.001). In both trials, results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with the primary analysis.

In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), the adjusted between-group difference in the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response at week 52 with risankizumab versus placebo was 27.8% (95% CI, 18.7% to 37.0%; P < 0.001). The ranked secondary outcomes of ulcer-free endoscopy and endoscopic remission were not formally tested due to failure of the statistical hierarchy, but were supportive of the primary outcomes.

Table 2: Summary of Key Results From Induction Trials MOTIVATE and ADVANCE

Outcome

MOTIVATE trial

(ITT1A population)a

ADVANCE trial

(ITT1A population)a

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 191

Placebo

N = 187

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 336

Placebo

N = 175

Efficacy: Induction

CDAI clinical remission at week 12 (US)

   N

191

187

336

175

   n (%), (95% CI)

80 (42.0),

(34.9 to 49.0)

37 (19.8),

(14.1 to 25.5)

152 (45.2),

(39.9 to 50.5)

43 (24.6),

(18.2 to 31.0)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

22.1 (13.1 to 31.0; < 0.001)

Reference

20.7 (12.4 to 29.0; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remission at week 12 (OUS)

   N

191

187

336

175

   n (%), (95% CI)

66 (34.6),

(27.8 to 41.3)

36 (19.3),

(13.6 to 24.9)

146 (43.5),

(38.2 to 48.8)

38 (21.7),

(15.6 to 27.8)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

15.2 (6.4 to 24.0; 0.001)

Reference

21.9 (13.8 to 29.9; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI clinical response at week 12 (both protocols)

   n (%), (95% CI)

114 (59.5),

(52.5 to 66.5)

56 (30.0),

(23.4 to 36.6)

201 (59.7),

(54.5 to 65.0)

64 (36.7),

(29.6 to 43.9)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

29.4 (19.9 to 39.0; < 0.001)

Reference

23.1 (14.2 to 31.9; < 0.001)

Reference

Endoscopic response at week 12 (both protocols)

   N

191

187

336

175

   n (%), (95% CI)

55 (28.8),

(22.4 to 35.3)

21 (11.2),

(6.7 to 15.8)

135 (40.3), (35.0 to 45.6)

21 (12.0),

(7.2 to 16.8)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

17.7 (9.9 to 25.4;

< 0.001)

Reference

28.3, (21.2 to 35.4; < 0.001)

Reference

Endoscopic remission at week 12 (both protocols)

   n (%), (95% CI)

37 (19.4),

(13.8 to 25.1)

8 (4.3),

(1.4 to 7.2)

81 (24.2), (19.6 to 28.7)

16 (9.1),

(4.9 to 13.4)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

15.0 (8.9 to 21.2;

< 0.001)

Reference

15.1 (9.0 to 21.2; < 0.001)

Reference

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12 (both protocols)

   n (%), (95% CI)

26 (13.8),

(8.9 to 18.7)

8 (4.3),

(1.4 to 7.2)

71 (21.0), (16.6 to 25.4)

13 (7.6),

(3.6 to 11.5)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

9.4 (3.8 to 15.1;

0.001)

Reference

13.7 (7.9 to 19.5; < 0.001)

Reference

Safety: Induction (SA1 population)c

Patients with ≥ 1 TEAE, n (%)

98 (47.6)

137 (66.2)

210 (56.3)

105 (56.5)

Patients with ≥ 1 SAE, n (%)

10 (4.9)

26 (12.6)

27 (7.2)

28 (15.1)

Patients with ≥ 1 WDAE, n (%)

2 (1.0)

17 (8.2)

9 (2.4)

14 (7.5)

Deaths, n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

0 (0)

2 (1.1)

Notable harms

   Any opportunistic infections, n (%)

0 (0)

3 (1.4)

0 (0)

0 (0)

   Serious infections, n (%)

1 (0.5)

5 (2.4)

3 (0.8)

7 (3.8)

   Hepatic events, n (%)

1 (0.5)

2 (1.0)

9 (2.4)

4 (2.2)

   Hypersensitivity: Reactions, serious events only, n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

1 (0.3)

0 (0)

   Hypersensitivity: Injection-site reactions, n (%)

1 (0.5)

3 (1.4)

4 (1.1)

1 (0.5)

BL = baseline; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; OUS = outside the US; SA1 = safety population; SAE = serious adverse event; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score; TEAE = treatment-emergent adverse event; WDAE = withdrawal due to adverse event.

aThe ITT1A population includes randomized patients in the intention-to-treat population who received at least 1 dose of the study drug during the 12-week induction period, received only one 12-week period of induction, and had a BL eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

bAcross the strata, 95% CIs for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (number of biologics failed, baseline steroid use) for the comparison of the 2 treatment groups. Within each subgroup, 95% CIs for the difference are calculated using normal approximation to the binomial distribution. The calculations are based on nonresponder imputation incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 or nonresponder imputation only if there are no missing data due to COVID-19. Testing was done according to the prespecified statistical hierarchy testing procedure.

cThe SA1 population includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Table 3: Summary of Key Results From Maintenance Trial FORTIFY

Outcome

FORTIFY substudy 1 (ITT1A population)a

Risankizumab 360 mg SC

N = 141

Placebo

N = 164

Efficacy: Maintenance

CDAI clinical remission at week 52 (US)

   N

141

164

   n (%), (95% CI)

74 (52.2), (43.9 to 60.5)

67 (40.9), (33.3 to 48.4)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

14.6 (4.3 to 25.0; 0.005)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 (OUS protocol)

   N

141

164

   n (%), (95% CI)

73 (51.8), (43.5 to 60.1)

65 (39.6), (32.1 to 47.1)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

15.2 (4.9 to 25.4; 0.004)

Reference

Maintenance of SF/APS clinical remission from induction at week 52 (both protocols)

   N

72

91

   n (%), (95% CI)

72 (69.2), (58.4 to 79.9)

91 (50.5), (40.3 to 60.8)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b, c

21.0 (6.5 to 35.5; 0.005)

Reference

Maintenance of CDAI clinical remission from induction at week 52 (both protocols)

   N

81

96

   n (%), (95% CI)

56 (68.6), (58.4 to 78.8)

54 (56.3), (46.3 to 66.2)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b, c

14.3 (0.5 to 28.1; 0.043)

Reference

CDAI clinical response at week 52 (both protocols)

   n (%), (95% CI)

87 (61.6), (53.5 to 69.6)

79 (48.2), (40.5 to 55.8)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b, c

16.2 (5.7 to 26.6; 0.002)

Reference

Endoscopic response at week 52 (both protocols)

   N

141

164

   n (%), (95% CI)

66 (46.5), (38.3 to 54.8)

36 (22.0), (15.6 to 28.3)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b

27.8 (18.7 to 37.0; < 0.001)

Reference

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

   n (%), (95% CI)

43 (30.5), (22.9 to 38.2)

17 (10.5), (5.8 to 15.2)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b, c

22.0 (14.3 to 29.7; < 0.001)

Reference

Endoscopic remission at week 52

   n (%), (95% CI)

55 (39.1), (31.0 to 47.1)

21 (12.8), (7.7 to 17.9)

   Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI; P value)b, c

28.5 (19.9 to 37.0; < 0.001)

Reference

Safety: Maintenance (SA1 population)d

Patients with ≥ 1 TEAE, n (%)

129 (72.1)

135 (73.4)

Patients with ≥ 1 SAE, n (%)

24 (13.4)

23 (12.5)

Patients with ≥ 1 WDAE, n (%)

6 (3.4)

6 (3.3)

Deaths, n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

Notable harms

   Any opportunistic infections, n (%)

1 (0.6)

0 (0)

   Serious infections, n (%)

8 (4.5)

7 (3.8)

   Hepatic events, n (%)

7 (3.9)

4 (2.2)

   Hypersensitivity: Reactions, serious events only, n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

   Hypersensitivity: Injection-site reactions, n (%)

11 (6.1)

9 (4.9)

CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; NRI = nonresponder imputation; OUS = outside the US; SA1 = safety population; SAE = serious adverse event; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score; TEAE = treatment-emergent adverse event; WDAE = withdrawal due to adverse event.

aThe ITT1A population includes the randomized patients in the intention-to-treat population who received IV risankizumab for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE and at least 1 dose of the study drug in the FORTIFY trial and had eligible SES-CD of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease) at the baseline of the induction study. Baseline was defined as the baseline visit of the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE for efficacy analyses.

bFor overall population, 95% CIs for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (endoscopic response at week 0 [yes or no], SF/APS clinical remission status at week 0 [yes or no], and last IV dose during the risankizumab induction period for the comparison of 2 treatment groups). The calculations are based on NRI incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 or NRI only if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

cThe P value was not adjusted for multiple testing due to failure of the statistical hierarchy (i.e., the type I error rate was not controlled).

dThe SA1 population includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Clinical Study Reports.8-10

Harms Results

Evidence from the pivotal trials showed induction therapy (600 mg IV) and maintenance therapy (360 mg SC) with risankizumab seemed generally safe and well tolerated. In the MOTIVATE study, treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs), serious adverse events (SAEs), and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation were higher in the placebo group than in the risankizumab group, mainly due to worsening CD. In the ADVANCE induction study, TEAEs occurred with similar frequency in both treatment groups while SAEs and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation occurred with higher frequency in the placebo group. The most common TEAEs with risankizumab (> 2% of patients) during the 12-week induction period were headache, arthralgia, and nasopharyngitis, whereas with placebo, they were worsening CD, headache, and arthralgia. In both induction trials, the most frequently reported TEAE leading to study drug discontinuation was worsening CD. Two deaths were reported, both of which occurred in the ADVANCE study’s placebo group. In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), TEAEs, SAEs, and AEs leading to discontinuation were similar between treatment groups and induction trials. Across the 3 trials, the incidence of notable harms in treatment groups was comparable and infrequent. In the SEQUENCE study, || |||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||||||| ||| ||||||||| || ||||||| ||||| || |||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| |||| |||| ||| |||| |||||| || |||| |||||| ||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||||||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| |||||| || |||||| |||| ||||||||.

Critical Appraisal
Internal Validity

The trials used appropriate methods of randomization and allocation concealment via interactive response technology. In general, baseline characteristics of patients appeared balanced between trial groups, indicating that randomization was successful.

There are some concerns related to risk of bias due to deviation from the intended interventions. This is primarily due to performing the analysis on the intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies (ITT1A); this population included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug. As this was not a true intention-to-treat (ITT) population, some concerns for bias were introduced in the ADVANCE and MOTIVATE trials (about 10% of patients were not included), and a high risk of potential bias may have been present for the FORTIFY trial (21% of the risankizumab group and 11% of the placebo group were not included). The magnitude and direction of the potential bias cannot be predicted.

For most outcomes, there was minimal concern for missing outcome data. In the induction trials, there was a higher number of discontinuations of the study drug in the placebo groups (10% in the MOTIVATE study and 12% in the ADVANCE study) compared to the risankizumab groups (2% in both the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies). In the maintenance trial, discontinuations were similar and just over 10% across groups. For the primary outcomes, acceptable methods were used to impute missing data, and the findings were robust to sensitivity analyses using different methods to account for missing data. There is concern for bias due to large and imbalanced amounts of missing data for the HRQoL and fatigue outcomes, particularly at the 12-week time point. The direction and magnitude of the potential bias is unclear.

Across all trials, most outcomes were subjective (e.g., SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission or response, FACIT-F, IBDQ, SF-36) and collected from patient diaries, except for endoscopic outcomes, which were read centrally by a blinded reviewer. Although the subjective outcomes are prone to risk of bias, the double-blind design of the trials mitigated this risk. There is some risk of unblinding that could have affected the subjective outcomes since dropout rates were higher in the placebo groups, which could allow investigators and patients to make inferences on treatment assignment regardless of blinding. However, the extent of the potential bias is unclear.

Statistical analyses in the 3 trials were prespecified. A hierarchical testing procedure was appropriately used in all 3 trials to account for multiplicity in coprimary and key secondary outcomes. The exploratory outcomes of Crohn’s Symptom Severity (CSS) and 5-Level EQ-5D (EQ-5D-5L) were not adjusted for multiplicity, which limited the ability to draw conclusions regarding these outcomes. In the FORTIFY study, early failure of the statistical hierarchy precluded formal statistical testing of most secondary outcomes. This lack of adjustment for multiplicity may have increased the likelihood of type I error and as such, P values for these outcomes should be considered supportive and not meant as a basis for drawing conclusions.

In the ongoing SEQUENCE trial, there were 2 key limitations with the interim results that are at risk of overestimating the treatment effect in |||||| || ||||||||||||, although the potential presence and magnitude of the overestimation is unclear. There was a considerable amount of missing data for all outcomes since this was an interim analysis where only 50% of patients had reached the time point of interest. There was also bias in the selection of reported results, as the statistical analyses presented for all exploratory outcomes were not described in the statistical analysis plan. The analysis plan only aimed to describe the outcomes descriptively. Because of these limitations, the interim results cannot support definitive conclusions about the efficacy of risankizumab compared to ustekinumab.

External Validity

According to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the pivotal trials were generally aligned with selection criteria that would be adopted by most clinicians in Canada when identifying suitable candidates for risankizumab. The relative efficacy of risankizumab to other active treatments was not known, given the trial data available. In the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies, placebo was the comparator while in the SEQUENCE study, ustekinumab was the comparator. Since ustekinumab is not used frequently in Canada, it’s not considered as the most relevant active treatment. The trials included outcomes that were important to patients and clinicians. All outcomes were considered appropriate by the clinical expert, although the Harvey-Bradshaw Index was noted as a more commonly used tool to assess clinical remission in patients with CD in Canada. The clinical expert noted that the time frames used in the trials were appropriate to determine short-term treatment effects with risankizumab; however, they may not be considered sufficient to fully understand the long-term safety for rare events and those that take longer to develop, such as malignancy.

Indirect Comparisons

Description of Studies

The sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison (ITC) was a network meta-analysis (NMA)11 assessing the efficacy and safety of risankizumab relative to vedolizumab, ustekinumab, adalimumab, infliximab, and placebo in patients diagnosed with moderately to severely active CD.

The 2 published ITCs identified from the CADTH literature search12,13 were also NMAs. Barberio et al. evaluated the efficacy of all biologic therapies and small molecules that have been investigated in phase III clinical trials in luminal CD, compared to placebo or each other. Singh et al. determined the relative efficacy and safety of infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and risankizumab (either alone or in combination with immunosuppressants) for the treatment of moderate to severe CD in patients with or without previous biologic exposure.

Efficacy and Harms Results

||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| ||||||| || |||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| |||||||| || ||||||| ||||| |||| |||||||| ||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||| ||| ||||| ||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| ||||||| |||| || |||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||| ||||||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||| || ||||||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||| |||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| || ||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||| || ||||||| ||||||||||| || |||| |||||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||| ||| |||||| || |||||||||||| |||||| ||||||| || ||||| |||||| |||||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||| ||||||||.

As for the NMA conducted by Barberio et al., in the induction phase, both patients naive to biologic therapies and patients exposed to biologic therapies previously who were treated with risankizumab had a lower risk of failing to achieve clinical remission or clinical response compared to placebo and some of the active treatments (e.g., ustekinumab, adalimumab). During the maintenance phase, in most cases the effect estimates were too imprecise to draw conclusions about the efficacy of risankizumab versus placebo or any other active treatments in patients naive to biologic therapies or those exposed to biologic therapies previously. With respect to harms outcomes, the evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab 600 mg IV versus placebo or other active treatments in the incidence of any AEs or any infection at the induction phase.

As for the NMA conducted by Singh et al., patients naive to biologic therapies and patients with previous biologic exposure who were treated with risankizumab were more likely to achieve clinical remission or clinical response compared to placebo in the induction phase. Risankizumab was also superior to vedolizumab in achieving clinical remission in patients with previous biologic exposure in the induction phase. The effect estimates for efficacy outcomes in the maintenance phase were too imprecise to draw conclusions about the comparison of risankizumab versus placebo or any active treatment. No NMA comparative estimates for harms outcomes were available for risankizumab because they were not connected in the evidence networks.

Critical Appraisal

There were several notable sources of heterogeneity across RCTs included in the sponsor-submitted NMA (e.g., differences in patient characteristics, differences in disease duration in the ||| |||||||||||, differences in the time at which primary outcomes across individual induction trials were accessed). These increase uncertainty in the effect estimates because it is likely that the assumption of exchangeability was violated. The causes of heterogeneity were not explored ||| ||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||||||||||||||| || ||| ||||||||||||||||| ||||||. In addition, ||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||| ||||||| |||| ||||| || ||| |||, which does not incorporate heterogeneity across included studies and implied that heterogeneity across included trials had no impact on the magnitude of effect, might yield biased NMA estimates given the notable heterogeneity. Many of the estimates of treatment effects were affected by imprecision. Finally, ||| |||| || |||| |||||||||| || ||| |||||||||| ||||| ||||| ||| ||| ||||||||| |||||| on the internal validity of the NMA effect estimates at the outcome level were not explicitly discussed in the sponsor-submitted NMA.

Given the overlap in the included studies, the potential sources of heterogeneity across included studies are likely to be similar between the sponsor-submitted NMA and the 2 published NMAs identified from the CADTH literature search (i.e., Barberio et al. and Singh et al.). However, neither of the 2 published NMAs adequately discussed or accounted for the heterogeneity issue. Therefore, there was considerable uncertainty in the effect estimates from both studies, and no definitive conclusions could be made.

Other Relevant Evidence

No other relevant evidence was submitted by the sponsor or identified from the literature.

Conclusions

Evidence from 3 double-blind randomized trials (MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY) showed that compared to placebo, treatment with risankizumab resulted in clinically important improvements in clinical remission and endoscopic response at a 12-week induction period (600 mg IV) and a 52-week maintenance period (360 mg SC) in adults with moderate to severe CD who had inadequate response or were intolerant to prior conventional or biologic therapies. These results addressed key treatment outcomes noted as important by both patients and clinicians. The clinical expert consulted by CADTH considered the benefits of risankizumab on clinical remission and endoscopic response, as well as the resolution of clinical symptoms (e.g., SF and APS remission) and disease activity (e.g., CDAI clinical response), and reductions in endoscopic inflammation (e.g., endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy) to be clinically meaningful. In the maintenance trial, the secondary outcomes were generally supportive of the induction trials; however, there is some risk of false-positive conclusions due to the outcomes being tested outside the statistical testing hierarchy and/or after failure. In the induction trials, risankizumab treatment was also associated with improvement in HRQoL outcomes that met most identified minimal important differences (MIDs); however, these findings were affected by bias and the CIs include the potential for effects that are not clinically important. The evidence was insufficient to show a difference for change in HRQoL compared to placebo in the maintenance trial. In general, risankizumab seemed safe and well tolerated compared to placebo, but long-term data are needed to further evaluate its efficacy and safety profile. Due to limitations of the preliminary data from the SEQUENCE trial comparing risankizumab to ustekinumab and ITCs, no firm conclusions can be drawn on the relative efficacy and safety of risankizumab compared to other active treatments.

Introduction

Disease Background

CD is a chronic form of IBD that can affect any part of the GI tract, but most commonly affects the ileum (i.e., small intestine), colon (i.e., beginning of the large intestine), and rectum. CD has 3 phenotypes: inflammatory, stricturing, and penetrating (fistulas and abscesses).14 Common symptoms of CD include abdominal pain, rectal bleeding, fatigue, vomiting, diarrhea, perianal disease, weight loss, and bloating.1,2 Inflammation associated with CD can also manifest outside the GI tract, affecting the joints, eyes, and skin.15 Complications associated with CD can include malnutrition, weight loss, anemia, bowel obstructions, fistulas, anal fissures, and intra-abdominal and other abscesses and ulcers.1,3 In addition, patients with colonic CD have an increased risk of developing colon cancer.1 Smoking, a family history of IBD, infectious gastroenteritis, and frequent use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs have been identified as risk factors for CD.4

The diagnosis of CD is based on a combination of clinical evaluation and endoscopic, histological, radiological, and/or biochemical investigations.4 An ileocolonoscopy with multiple biopsy specimens is the first-line procedure for diagnosing CD.4 The endoscopic hallmark of CD is the patchy distribution of inflammation, with skip lesions, defined as areas of inflammation interposed between normal-appearing mucosa.4 Cross-sectional imaging using MRIs and CT enterography and transabdominal ultrasonography are complementary to endoscopy and offer the opportunity to detect and stage inflammatory, obstructive, and fistulizing CD.4 The classification of disease severity in CD suggested by the American College of Gastroenterology is provided in Table 4.

For many patients with CD, symptoms are chronic and intermittent, and disease activity and severity can vary widely over time. Some patients may have a continuous and progressive course of active disease, while approximately 20% of patients experience prolonged remission after initial presentation.15 For patients in remission, relapse rates at 1 year, 2 years, 5 years, and 10 years are estimated at 20%, 40%, 67%, and 76%, respectively.16 Based on patient group input for this review, CD has a profound effect on physical, emotional, and social well-being.

According to the Canadian Gastro-Intestinal Epidemiology Consortium, the predicted prevalence of CD in 2018 was 368 per 100,000 population, which translates to approximately 135,000 people in Canada living with CD.5,6 Age groups most likely to be diagnosed with CD are adolescents and those between the ages of 20 years and 30 years.1

Table 4: Classification of Disease Severity in Crohn Disease

Status

CDAI score

Description from ACG guidelines

Remission

< 150

Asymptomatic or without any symptomatic inflammatory sequelae

Mild to moderate

150 to 220

Ambulatory and able to tolerate oral alimentation without manifestations of dehydration, systemic toxicity, abdominal tenderness, painful mass, intestinal obstruction, or > 10% weight loss

Moderate to severe

220 to 450

Failed to respond to treatment for mild to moderate disease, or those with more prominent symptoms of fever, significant weight loss, abdominal pain or tenderness, intermittent nausea or vomiting, or significant anemia

Severe

> 450

Persistent symptoms despite the introduction of conventional corticosteroids or biologic drugs as outpatients, or individuals presenting with high fevers, persistent vomiting, evidence of intestinal obstruction, significant peritoneal signs such as involuntary guarding or rebound tenderness, cachexia, or evidence of an abscess

ACG = American College of Gastroenterology; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index.

Source: American College of Gastroenterology.17

Standards of Therapy

The selection of treatment regimens for CD is based on location, extent, phenotype, and severity of disease.3 According to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, the therapeutic goals of CD treatment are to induce and maintain clinical remission and reduce the need for long-term corticosteroid use while minimizing side effects. Long-term goals include endoscopic healing, the absence of disability, and the normalizing of HRQoL. Short to intermediate goals include normalizing biomarkers of disease activity (e.g., C-reactive protein, fecal calprotectin). These goals described by the clinical expert are consistent with Canadian and American published clinical practice guidelines.14,18 Several drug classes are used in the treatment of CD, including aminosalicylates, immunosuppressants (e.g., azathioprine, cyclosporine, methotrexate, 6-mercaptopurine), corticosteroids (e.g., prednisone), TNF alpha antagonists (e.g., infliximab, adalimumab), IL inhibitors, and integrin inhibitors (e.g., vedolizumab).3,19 With the exception of the TNF alpha antagonists, IL inhibitors, and vedolizumab, all are commonly referred to as conventional therapies. Medical management is based on a stepwise approach, with treatments used sequentially and escalating to either newer therapies or higher doses as patients fail to respond to each step of treatment.20 Most drugs have important adverse effects that may have short-term or long-term consequences.1,19 Surgery, including total colectomy and ileostomy, may be considered for patients with serious complications or for those who do not respond to medical management.3

The clinical expert consulted by CADTH noted the following unmet needs for patients with CD: not all patients respond to available treatments and their disease may become refractory to the current treatment regimens; to gain access to biologics, patients need to first be refractory to, or have side effects from, less expensive approved medications and assume the risks of these medications (e.g., corticosteroids, immunomodulators); treatment options for perianal or fistulizing CD are lacking; overall response and remission rates in clinical trials are not very high; and medications mostly target moderate to severe CD.

Drug

Risankizumab (Skyrizi) is a humanized immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody that binds to the p19 subunit of human IL-23 cytokine and inhibits IL-23 signalling, including the release of the proinflammatory cytokine IL-17.7

Risankizumab has been approved by Health Canada for the treatment of adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies.7 The sponsor-submitted reimbursement request for risankizumab is the same as the Health Canada indication. Risankizumab has been previously approved by Health Canada for the treatment of adult patients with plaque psoriasis,7 and was reviewed by CADTH for this indication.

The recommended dose for CD is 600 mg IV infusion at week 0, week 4, and week 8 as induction therapy, followed by 360 mg SC injection at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter as maintenance therapy.7 Key characteristics of risankizumab and commonly used medical treatments for CD are presented in Table 5.

Table 5: Key Characteristics of Risankizumab, Ustekinumab, Vedolizumab, Infliximab, and Adalimumab

Characteristic

Risankizumab

Ustekinumab

Vedolizumab

Infliximab

Adalimumab

Mechanism of action

Humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody that binds to the p19 subunit of human IL-23 cytokine and inhibits IL-23 signalling in cell-based assays, including the release of the proinflammatory cytokine IL-17

Human IgG1 monoclonal antibody; neutralizes cellular responses mediated by IL-12 and IL-23

IgG1 monoclonal antibody; binds to the human alpha 4 beta 7 integrin, acting as a gut-selective anti-inflammatory biologic

Anti-TNF. IgG1 kappa monoclonal antibody that neutralizes the biologic activity of TNF alpha by specifically binding to its receptors

Anti-TNF. Human IgG1 monoclonal antibody; binds and blocks TNF alpha and its interaction with p55 and p75 cell-surface TNF receptors

Indication for adults with CDa

For adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies

For adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, loss of response, or were intolerant, to either conventional therapy (CS or immunomodulators) or 1 or more TNF antagonists, or who were CS-dependent

For adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, lost response, or were intolerant, to immunomodulators or a TNF antagonist; or have had an inadequate response or intolerance to, or demonstrated dependence on, a CS

Reduction of signs and symptoms, induction and maintenance of clinical remission and mucosal healing and reduction of CS use in adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response to a CS and/or aminosalicylate

Adults with fistulizing CD who have not responded despite conventional treatment

Reducing signs and symptoms and inducing and maintaining clinical remission in adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response to conventional therapy

Reducing signs and symptoms and inducing clinical remission in adults with moderately to severely active CD who have lost response or are intolerant to infliximab

Route of administration

IV (induction) and SC (maintenance)

IV (induction) and SC (maintenance)

IV (induction and maintenance) and SC (maintenance)

IV

SC

Recommended dosage

Adults (moderate to severe CD)

  • Induction: 600 mg administered by IV infusion at week 0, week 4, and week 8

  • Maintenance: 360 mg administered by SC injection at week 12 and q.8.w.

Adult CD

  • Induction: Tiered weight-based dose approximating 6 mg/kg

IV at week 0

  • Maintenance: 90 mg SC at week 8 and q.8.w. thereafter

  • Alternative maintenance: 90 mg SC at week 12 and q.12.w. thereafter; may switch to q.8.w. for inadequate response

Adults (moderate to severe CD)

IV formulation

  • Induction: 300 mg at week 0, week 2, and week 6

  • Maintenance: 300 mg q.8.w. following the induction treatment

SC formulation

  • Maintenance: 108 mg q.8.w. following the induction treatment with IV infusion

Adults (moderate to severe CD)

  • Induction: 5 mg/kg at week 0, week 2, and week 6

  • Maintenance: 5 mg/kg q.8.w.; 10 mg/kg for incomplete responders

Adults (fistulizing CD)

  • Induction: 5 mg/kg at week 0, week 2, and week 6

  • Maintenance: 5 mg/kg q.8.w. or 10 mg/kg q.8.w. for those with relapse following an initial response

Adult CD

  • Induction: 160 mg at week 0, 80 mg at week 2

  • Maintenance: 40 mg q.2.w. beginning at week 4. Dose escalation for patients with a disease flare or nonresponse

Serious adverse effects or safety issues

  • Infections

  • Hepatotoxicity

  • Injection-site reactions and hypersensitivity reactions

  • Infections and reactivation of latent infections

  • Administration-site reactions

  • Malignancy

  • Contraindicated for patients with active severe infections or opportunistic infections

  • Infusion reactions and hypersensitivity

  • Serious infections

  • Malignancy

  • Infusion and serious allergic reactions

  • Serious infections

  • Malignancies, particularly lymphoma

  • Administration-site reactions

CD = Crohn disease; CS = corticosteroid; IgG1 = immunoglobin G1; IL-12 = interleukin-12; IL-17 = interleukin-17; IL-23 = interleukin-23; q.2.w. = every 2 weeks; q.8.w. = every 8 weeks; q.12.w. = every 12 weeks; SC = subcutaneous; TNF = tumour necrosis factor.

aHealth Canada indication.

Sources: Product monographs of risankizumab (Skyrizi),7 vedolizumab (Entyvio),21 infliximab (Remicade and Inflectra),22,23 adalimumab (Humira),24 and ustekinumab (Stelara).25

Stakeholder Perspectives

Patient Group Input

This section was prepared by CADTH staff based on the input provided by patient groups. The full original patient input received by CADTH has been included in the stakeholder section at the end of this report.

Two patient groups, CCC and the GI Society, provided input for this review. The CCC gathered the information from a report published in 2018 (Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada), a 2022 survey involving 687 respondents with moderate to severe CD, and interviews with 3 patients with CD who participated in a risankizumab clinical trial. The patient input provided by the GI Society was based on surveys and interviews, including a 2015 survey on biologics and biosimilars involving 423 patients with IBD living in Canada; a 2018 survey on unmet needs involving 432 patients with IBD living in Canada; a 2020 survey on the unmet needs of IBD involving 579 respondents; a 2020 survey on biosimilars completed by 145 respondents (most of whom had IBD); a 2022 survey on the IBD patient journey completed by 54 patients with IBD living in Canada; interviews with 2 patients with CD who participated in the risankizumab trial; a 2022 focus group with patients with CD; as well as 1-on-1 conversations with patients with IBD; a patient round table; phone, email, and social media interactions; and story submissions.

Both the CCC and GI Society agreed that being unable to predict when the next urgent bowel movement would occur and the inability to control the flare had a significant negative impact on the personal and social lives of patients with CD. The CCC found that 6 in 10 respondents felt isolated because of having CD.

In terms of experiences with currently available treatments, the CCC stated that there were fewer treatment options available for patients with CD in Canada than in other Western countries, and 6 in 10 respondents feared that their treatment options were running out. Respondents were also expecting more effective treatments to manage their CD. More than 7 out of 10 respondents from the CCC input experienced diarrhea, bloating, and an unpredictable feeling of urgency to use the washroom at least some days, despite being on treatments. In a survey carried out by the GI Society, about 56% of IBD patients thought that the available medications were only somewhat adequate and 20% of IBD patients felt they were not at all adequate.

In terms of experiences with risankizumab, 5 patients with CD who participated in a risankizumab clinical trial valued its effectiveness for relieving symptoms. Furthermore, 3 favoured risankizumab for its convenience, ease of administration, and lack of side effects.

Symptom relief or remission and a subsequent improvement in quality of life were perceived by patients as being important. Specifically, 8 in 10 patients from the CCC input listed unpredictable and frequent bowel movements, pain, and fatigue as the most important factors in CD management. Taking fewer medications and minimizing chronic steroid use were also rated by the respondents from the CCC as important aspects of treatment options.

Clinician Input

Input From Clinical Experts Consulted by CADTH

All CADTH review teams include at least 1 clinical specialist with expertise regarding the diagnosis and management of the condition for which the drug is indicated. Clinical experts are a critical part of the review team and are involved in all phases of the review process (e.g., providing guidance on the development of the review protocol, assisting in the critical appraisal of clinical evidence, interpreting the clinical relevance of the results, providing guidance on the potential place in therapy). The following input was provided by 1 clinical specialist with expertise in the diagnosis and management of CD.

Unmet Needs

The clinical expert noted unmet needs of patients with CD include that not all patients respond to available treatments and patients become refractory to available treatments. The clinical expert highlighted that overall response and remission rates are not very high. The clinical expert reported that to gain access to biologics, patients need to first be refractory to or experience side effects from less expensive medications and assume the risks of these medications (e.g., corticosteroids, immunomodulators). In addition, the clinical expert noted that there are unmet needs in the treatment of fibrostenotic strictures as medications generally target inflammation, not fibrosis, and treatment options for perianal or fistulizing CD. Lastly, medications in clinical trials mostly target moderate to severe disease.

Place in Therapy

The clinical expert noted that risankizumab is not expected to cause a shift in the treatment paradigm; it would be used in a similar manner to other biologic treatments for CD. Risankizumab is a monoclonal antibody against IL-23; similar to other biologics, it targets the underlying disease process and not just symptoms. Ustekinumab similarly blocks interleukin-12 as well as IL-23 through the shared p40 subunit. IL-23 is a key regulator in the inflammatory pathway in CD. The mechanism of action of risankizumab would likely be similar to ustekinumab. Risankizumab would likely be prescribed alone or with a steroid taper or immunomodulator. The clinical expert believed that further studies are needed to assess if risankizumab would be beneficial in combination with other biologics or for use specifically in fistulizing disease.

The clinical expert also noted that, in their opinion, this medication could be used as first-line treatment or as a later treatment; it would not need to be reserved for those who are intolerant or have contraindications for other biologics. For moderate to severe CD, the clinical expert indicated that patients would not need to try other biologic treatments first. However, due to a lack of data for fistulizing CD, the clinical expert believed that patients with fistulizing CD should try other treatments (namely anti-TNF) before risankizumab.

Patient Population

The clinical expert noted that patients who are most likely to respond to risankizumab are those with moderate to severe luminal CD, and patients who are in most need are those with moderate to severe disease who have failed other biologic therapies, although those who are bionaive may have an even better response. The clinical expert highlighted that patients best suited for treatment with risankizumab would be those who have an established diagnosis of CD based on an ileocolonoscopy with active disease (misdiagnosis is uncommon).

The clinical expert indicated that in their clinical opinion, earlier treatment with biologics may reduce cost, surgery, and hospitalization.

Assessing Response to Treatment

The clinical expert noted the following outcomes are used to determine response to treatment:

Discontinuing Treatment

The clinical expert noted that discontinuation of treatment should be based on primary or secondary loss of response, and AEs or symptoms that cannot be managed.

Prescribing Conditions

The clinical expert noted that a specialist (i.e., gastroenterologist) should be required to diagnose, treat, and monitor patients who might receive risankizumab, either in a community or hospital setting.

Clinician Group Input

This section was prepared by CADTH staff based on the input provided by clinician groups. The full original clinician group input received by CADTH has been included in the stakeholder section at the end of this report.

The clinician group input was provided by the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group, which consists of specialists in gastroenterology from across Canada caring for patients with CD. The clinician group input was based on a discussion held by the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group involving 16 experts in September 2022. The group reviewed the safety and efficacy data from the risankizumab trial, described the CD burden in Canada, and discussed the unmet treatment needs of CD, and how access to risankizumab could benefit patients and society in the short term and long term.

In addition to relieving clinical symptoms, the clinician group emphasized that the goal of treatment should focus on improvements in endoscopic response, endoscopic remission, and mucosal healing. However, the group stated that such a goal might not be achievable in most patients due to a lack of safe and effective treatments that could rapidly improve endoscopic appearance and maintain improvement in the long term. The group claimed that there is a high rate of surgery and postoperative recurrence in CD despite current available treatment options, such as corticosteroids, immunomodulators, and biologics.

The clinician group recognized and valued the potential of risankizumab to improve both clinical and endoscopic outcomes in patients with CD. They suggested the use of risankizumab in patients with moderate to severe CD as the first-line biologic, as well as in patients still experiencing flares or inadequate response on other existing biologics as a second-line drug. Furthermore, the use of risankizumab was considered not suitable by the clinician group for patients with perianal or fistulizing CD, severe peripheral arthritis, uveitis, or a concomitant immune-mediated disease for which an anti-TNF biologic drug would be more suitable.

The clinician group indicated that the administration of risankizumab during the induction phase should occur in a clinic under the supervision of a gastroenterologist. For maintenance therapy, patients could self-administer the on-body injector after receiving training. Aligning with the opinion of the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, the clinician group proposed several outcomes with which to determine the efficacy of risankizumab in patients with CD, including improvements in symptoms (e.g., SF, abdominal pain), accompanied by a decrease in biomarkers of inflammatory activity (e.g., C-reactive protein, fecal calprotectin) by 3 months of therapy, as well as symptomatic remission and being off corticosteroids by 6 months of treatment. In addition, the group highlighted that HRQoL should also be taken into consideration. If there is a worsening of symptoms or an inadequate response, risankizumab should be discontinued as per the clinician group.

Drug Program Input

The drug programs provide input on each drug being reviewed through CADTH’s reimbursement review processes by identifying issues that may impact their ability to implement a recommendation. The implementation questions and corresponding responses from the clinical experts consulted by CADTH are summarized in Table 6.

Table 6: Summary of Drug Plan Input and Clinical Expert Response

Drug program implementation questions

Clinical expert response

Relevant comparators

There were 3 multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trials. Two of these were phase III induction studies (MOTIVATE and ADVANCE) and 1 was a phase III maintenance study (FORTIFY). Placebo was not the most appropriate choice of comparator.

There was also the SEQUENCE trial, which was a multicentre, randomized, efficacy assessor-blinded, phase III study comparing risankizumab directly head-to-head with ustekinumab in patients with moderate to severe CD who had failed ≥ 1 anti-TNF therapy. Part 1 was a head-to-head trial over 48 weeks.

Despite being approved for a similar indication, ustekinumab was not an appropriate comparator given that it is not listed under most public drug plans in Canada.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

Considerations for initiation of therapy

The main inclusion criteria for the 2 induction trials included patients whose CDAI score was between 250 and 450 at baseline.

Can the clinical expert confirm if this is an acceptable and expected score to request on initiation of risankizumab, as not all GI specialists may use CDAI as the preferred scoring system? If an alternative scoring system can be accepted, please identify which one(s) (e.g., HBI).

The clinical expert noted that CDAI is an acceptable scoring system although in clinical practice, HBI is more commonly used and should be the requested tool.

One of the exclusions in the trials was patients with a current diagnosis of UC or indeterminate colitis.

Can CDEC confirm that patients deemed to have a comorbid diagnosis of UC will not be eligible for coverage?

Question for CDEC

In the MOTIVATE trial, patients must have had demonstrated intolerance or inadequate response to biologic therapy for CD, and in the ADVANCE trial, patients must have had demonstrated intolerance or inadequate response to conventional therapies or biologic therapy for CD.

Neither of the 2 trials studied only patients who had failed or been intolerant to conventional therapies. Although consistent with the approved indication, this poses a concern for drug plans that might see new beneficiaries, with previous failure or intolerance to a biologic drug for CD, but who would not have met the coverage criteria for that biologic. It creates a sort of loophole in obtaining public drug plan coverage. More specifically, a patient may be started on a biologic via a PSP, for example, may have an intolerance or inadequate response, and then qualify for risankizumab under public funding, whereas if they had applied for the initial biologic under the public plan, they would have had to fail the conventional therapies first.

The submission did note that in the ADVANCE trial, numerically higher proportions of patients who received risankizumab 600 mg IV compared with placebo achieved clinical remission and endoscopic response, regardless of prior biologic failure. Specifically, 48.9% of patients (without biologic failure) vs. 42.5% of patients (with prior biologic failure) achieved clinical remission. The endoscopic response rates were 50.5% in patients without biologic failure and 23.8% in patients with prior biologic failure.a

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

The head-to-head SEQUENCE trial contained 2 parts. Part 2 was an open-label trial to evaluate the long-term safety of risankizumab for up to 220 weeks in patients who received risankizumab during part 1 and completed the week 48 visit. It allowed patients who demonstrated inadequate response during part 2 to receive open-label IV risankizumab rescue therapy, consisting of 1 dose of 600 mg IV followed by 360 mg SC at the next scheduled dose. Patients are eligible to receive up to 2 rescue visits per year and these must be at least 16 weeks apart.

In the case of a positive recommendation, can CDEC comment if patients would be eligible for rescue doses of risankizumab under recommended criteria?

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

Considerations for continuation or renewal of therapy

The sponsor highlighted, on multiple occasions, an update in desired CD treatment outcomes to include a focus on deep remission, referring to endoscopic healing and clinical remission. Other treatment goals included improved patient-reported outcomes and avoidance of long-term steroid use.

The MOTIVATE and ADVANCE trials included endoscopic response, along with CDAI remission (clinical), and SF/APS remission at week 12, as coprimary outcomes. These fell under 2 protocols: OUS and in the US. The OUS protocol considered SF/APS clinical remission at week 12 and endoscopic response at week 12 to be coprimary outcomes, with CDAI clinical remission to be a secondary outcome. The US protocol considered the CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 12 to be coprimary outcomes and the SF/APS clinical remission at week 12 to be a secondary outcome.

The submitted PM does not refer to the 2 different protocols but appears to report the outcomes based on the OUS protocol.

SF/APS clinical remission was defined as SF ≤ 2.8 and APS ≤ 1, neither worse than baseline. Endoscopic response was defined as > 50% decrease in SES-CD from baseline, or a decrease of at least 2 points for patients with a baseline score of 4 and isolated ileal disease. Endoscopic remission was defined as SES-CD ≤ 4 and at least a 2-point reduction compared to baseline data with no subscore greater than 1 in any individual variable.

Question for CDEC: Would endoscopic response, SF/APS, and CDAI all be considered a requirement for therapy renewal or would one, or a combination of the 3, be considered?

Questions for the clinical expert:

Given that the submission considered 2 different outcome protocols that prioritized outcomes differently, which primary outcomes do you feel would be most typical of Canadian practice and therefore most appropriate for consideration when assessing response for renewal purposes?

How common is it for patients with CD to undergo regular endoscopic testing to assess treatment response?

Do you think it is reasonable to expect patients to undergo endoscopic testing to evaluate response for the consideration of renewal of treatment coverage? If so, when should the testing occur?

If CDAI is the most appropriate outcome for assessment, would another scoring system, such as HBI, be acceptable and appropriate for assessment of response for the renewal of coverage under public drug plans? If so, what would be the equivalent HBI remission score comparable to CDAI remission of < 150?

The clinical expert noted that SF and abdominal pain are the 2 main symptoms of CD, which are calculated in the HBI. The HBI is considered the standard tool used in Canada and correlates well with CDAI.

The clinical expert noted that endoscopy is typically performed at 8 months to 12 months. Because access to endoscopy is a significant challenge in Canada, more often people would use surrogate markers like fecal calprotectin and the resolution of anemia to assess healing.

The clinical expert indicated that mandatory endoscopy for renewal would be unrealistic and stressful for patients.

The clinical expert noted that the HBI would be acceptable and appropriate for the assessment of response for renewal of coverage. The equivalent HBI remission score comparable to CDAI would be 4 or less.

Consideration for discontinuation of therapy

At what point would a patient be deemed to have a LOR to risankizumab? Which parameters would be most appropriate to determine this?

The clinical expert noted that LOR would be if the patient is no longer clinically well after maximizing therapy. Many biologics allow for dose optimization or dose escalation and as such, the patient would have to fail therapy despite being on an optimized dose. Sometimes, a patient has a partial response or partial LOR; therefore, therapy should be optimized before determining LOR.

If a patient’s fecal calprotectin and HBI are normal, the clinical expert is unlikely to conduct endoscopy.

If there is a treatment interruption for any reason other than intolerance or LOR, would the patient be eligible for reinitiation dosing?

The clinical expert indicated that the patient would be eligible for the reinitiation of dosing if there is a treatment interruption for any reason other than intolerance.

Considerations for prescribing of therapy

The dosing consists of 600 mg IV infusion at week 0, week 4, and week 8, then maintenance 360 mg SC starting at week 12, continued every 8 weeks after the first maintenance dose.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

The loading doses of risankizumab, for CD, are an IV infusion, whereas the maintenance doses are SC.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

GI specialists are not always readily accessible.

The loading doses will be given via IV infusion, and in hospitals or special infusion clinic settings, which are not available in some areas.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

Care provision issues

This drug’s initiation must be administered in a clinic setting as it is an infusion. These settings are not available in some areas.

Maintenance dosing can be self-administered as it is SC injections.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

The most common AEs of special interest in the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE trials were hypersensitivity, serious infections, and hepatic events. The sponsor noted that the rates of hepatic events were similar between treatment groups. The results showed 9 patients in the ADVANCE trial who received a 600 mg dose of risankizumab experienced hepatic events, compared to 4 patients who received placebo. The product monograph makes a point to recommend, under dosing consideration, that liver tests be obtained before initiating treatment.

Given that this is highlighted in the dosing section of the product monograph, does CDEC feel that normal liver function tests should be a criterion for initiation of the drug?

Does the clinical expert have any concerns related to hepatic events with risankizumab?

One of the treatment-emergent adverse effects that was considered in these 2 trials was CD.

Can CDEC clarify if it’s appropriate to consider the indication of the study drug to also be an AE of the study drug? In other words, that treatment-emergent symptoms of CD be indicative of poor response rather than attributed to an AE of the drug or placebo and should not have been included in the AE results.

The clinical expert indicated they did not have any concerns related to hepatic events with risankizumab. Most hepatic events were elevated liver enzymes and did not lead to change in treatment; none were serious or severe.

In certain adverse reactions, such as hypersensitivity reactions, supportive medications may be needed.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

Looking at endoscopies again, if warranted or required, what would be the optimal timing for repeat endoscopies for determining treatment response (e.g., week 12, annually)?

The studies also included the assessment of biomarkers (CRP, ESR, FCP).

Question for the clinical expert: Would biomarkers be routinely used for follow-up assessment of response to therapy and, if so, would it make sense to include these as a criterion for the renewal of coverage?

The clinical expert noted that endoscopy should not be required but optimal timing would be every 6 months to 12 months.

The clinical expert noted that biomarkers should not be required for the renewal of coverage.

System and economic issues

Risankizumab would allow for another alternate biologic drug for the treatment of CD; however, it would be more costly than other biologics currently listed that offer biosimilar versions. In jurisdictions without a mechanism to tier biologic therapies, patients could potentially meet eligibility criteria for risankizumab in favour of a more cost-effective biosimilar drug.

Therefore, risankizumab, for the requested indication, should not cost more than the least costly biologic drug currently reimbursed under public drug plans.

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

There are multiple alternative biologic drugs that have confidential PLAs with jurisdictions for the treatment of CD in adults (adalimumab, infliximab, ustekinumab, vedolizumab).

Comment from the drug plans to inform CDEC deliberations

AE = adverse event; APS = abdominal pain score; CD = Crohn disease; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CDEC = CADTH Canadian Drug Expert Committee; CRP = C-reactive protein; ESR = erythrocyte sedimentation rate; FCP = fecal calprotectin; GI = gastroenterologist; HBI = Harvey-Bradshaw Index; LOR = loss of response; OUS = outside the US; PLA = product listing agreement; PM = product monograph; PSP = patient support program; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score; TNF = tumour necrosis factor; UC = ulcerative colitis; vs. = versus.

aSkyrizi Clinical Evidence Summary (page 47).32

Clinical Evidence

The clinical evidence included in the review of risankizumab is presented in 2 sections. The first section, the systematic review, includes the pivotal studies provided in the sponsor’s submission to CADTH and Health Canada, as well studies selected according to an a priori protocol. The second section includes indirect evidence from the sponsor and indirect evidence from the literature that met the selection criteria specified in the review. No additional relevant studies were identified that were considered to address important gaps in the evidence included in the systematic review.

Systematic Review (Pivotal and Protocol Selected Studies)

Objectives

To perform a systematic review of the beneficial and harmful effects of risankizumab (60 mg/mL) IV infusion (induction) and SC injection (maintenance) for the treatment of adults with moderately to severely active CD who have an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies.

Methods

Studies selected for inclusion in the systematic review included pivotal studies provided in the sponsor’s submission to CADTH and Health Canada, as well as those meeting the selection criteria presented in Table 7. Outcomes included in the CADTH review protocol reflect outcomes considered to be important to patients, clinicians, and drug plans.

Table 7: Inclusion Criteria for the Systematic Review

Criteria

Description

Population

Adults with moderately to severely active Crohn disease who have an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies

Subgroups:

  • Disease severity at baseline

  • Previous experience with biologic therapy vs. no experience

Intervention

Risankizumab 600 mg IV infusion for induction therapy at week 0, week 4, and week 8, followed by maintenance therapy with risankizumab 360 mg by subcutaneous injection at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter

Comparator

  • Adalimumab

  • Infliximab

  • Ustekinumab

  • Vedolizumab

Outcomes

Efficacy outcomes:

  • Clinical remission and corticosteroid-free remission (e.g., using CDAI score)

  • Clinical response (e.g., using CDAI score)

  • Symptoms (e.g., abdominal pain, fatigue, stool frequency)

  • Mucosal healing determined by histology or endoscopy

  • HRQoL

Harms outcomes:

  • AEs, SAEs, WDAEs, and mortality

  • Notable harms: Infections (e.g., upper respiratory), hepatotoxicity (e.g., elevated liver enzymes), injection-site reactions, hypersensitivity reactions

Study designs

Published and unpublished phase III and phase IV RCTs

AE = adverse event; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; RCT = randomized controlled trial; SAE = serious adverse event; vs. = versus; WDAE = withdrawal due to adverse event.

The literature search for clinical studies was performed by an information specialist using a peer-reviewed search strategy according to the PRESS Peer Review of Electronic Search Strategies checklist.26

Published literature was identified by searching the following bibliographic databases: MEDLINE All (1946–) via Ovid and Embase (1974–) via Ovid. All Ovid searches were run simultaneously as a multifile search. Duplicates were removed using Ovid deduplication for multifile searches, followed by manual deduplication in Endnote. The search strategy comprised both controlled vocabulary, such as the US National Library of Medicine’s MeSH (Medical Subject Headings), and keywords. The main search concept was risankizumab and its synonyms. Clinical trials registries were searched: the US National Institutes of Health’s ClinicalTrials.gov, the WHO’s International Clinical Trials Registry Platform search portal, Health Canada’s Clinical Trials Database, and the European Union Clinical Trials Register.

No filters were applied to limit the retrieval by study type. Retrieval was not limited by publication date or by language. Conference abstracts were excluded from the search results. Refer to Appendix 1 for the detailed search strategies.

The initial search was completed on November 23, 2022. Regular alerts updated the search until the meeting of the CADTH Canadian Drug Expert Committee on March 22, 2022.

Grey literature (literature that is not commercially published) was identified by searching relevant websites from the Grey Matters: A Practical Tool For Searching Health-Related Grey Literature checklist.27 Included in this search were the websites of regulatory agencies (US FDA and European Medicines Agency). Google was used to search for additional internet-based materials. Refer to Appendix 1 for more information on the grey literature search strategy. These searches were supplemented by reviewing bibliographies of key papers and through contacts with appropriate experts.

Two CADTH clinical reviewers independently selected studies for inclusion in the review based on titles and abstracts, according to the predetermined protocol. Full-text articles of all citations considered potentially relevant by at least 1 reviewer were acquired. Reviewers independently made the final selection of studies to be included in the review, and differences were resolved through discussion.

Findings From the Literature

A total of 7 reports of 4 studies were identified from the literature for inclusion in the systematic review (Figure 1). The included studies are summarized in Table 8.

Figure 1: Flow Diagram for Inclusion and Exclusion of Studies

A total of 389 citations was identified in the literature search, of which 3 citations were potentially relevant. Four additional reports from other sources were also potentially relevant. These 7 full-text potentially relevant reports were reviewed and none were excluded. As a result, 7 reports representing 4 unique studies were included in the systematic review section.

Table 8: Details of Included Studies

Detail

MOTIVATE induction study

ADVANCE induction study

FORTIFY maintenance substudy 1

SEQUENCE study, part 1a

Designs and populations

Study design

Phase III, DB RCT, induction

Phase III, DB RCT, induction

Phase III, DB RCT, maintenance of MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies

Phase III, efficacy assessor-blinded, noninferiority RCT

Locations

214 sites in 40 countries in Africa, Europe, North America, South America, Oceania, and Asia

297 sites in 39 countries in Africa, Europe, North America, South America, Oceania, and Asia

273 sites in 44 countries in Africa, Europe, North America, South America, Oceania, and Asia

132 sites in 28 countries in Europe, North America, South America, Oceania, and Asia

Patient enrolment dates

December 18, 2017, to NR

May 10, 2017, to NR

April 9, 2018, to NR

Before/on January 5, 2022 (trial is ongoing)

Randomized (N)

618

931

542

272

Inclusion criteria

  • Male or female aged 18 to 80 years

  • Confirmed diagnosis of CD for at least 3 months before baseline

  • CDAI score of 220 to 450 at baseline

  • Confirmed diagnosis of moderate to severe CD as assessed by average daily SF ≥ 4 and/or APS ≥ 2, and endoscopic evidence of mucosal inflammation by SES-CD score ≥ 3 (for no more than 58 patients) and SES-CD ≥ 6 (or ≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease)

  • Completed the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study

  • Achieved SF/APS clinical response, defined as ≥ 30% decrease in average daily SF and/or ≥ 30% decrease in APS, and both not worse than baseline of the induction study, at the last visit of the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study

  • Male or female aged 18 to 80 years at the baseline visit

  • Confirmed diagnosis of CD for ≥ 3 months before baseline

  • CDAI score of 220 to 450 at baseline

  • Confirmed diagnosis of moderate to severe CD assessed by average daily SF ≥ 4 and/or APS ≥ 2, and endoscopic evidence of mucosal inflammation by SES-CD score ≥ 6 (or ≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease)

  • Demonstrated intolerance or inadequate response to anti-TNF therapy for CD

Intolerance or inadequate response to 1 or more of the following biologic drugs: infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, natalizumab, vedolizumab, and/or ustekinumab

Intolerance or inadequate response to 1 or more of the following categories of drugs: aminosalicylates, oral locally acting steroids, systemic steroids (prednisone or equivalent), immunomodulators, and/or biologic therapies (listed in the MOTIVATE study, including prior ustekinumab use capped at 20%)

Exclusion criteria

  • Current diagnosis of UC or indeterminate colitis

  • Patients with unstable doses of concomitant CD therapy

  • Receipt of CD-approved biologic drugs (i.e., infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab, vedolizumab, natalizumab within 8 weeks before baseline or ustekinumab within 12 weeks before baseline, or any investigational biologic or other drug or procedure within 35 days or 5 half-lives before baseline, whichever is longer)

  • Prior exposure to p19 inhibitors (e.g., risankizumab)

  • Complications of CD (e.g., abscess, symptomatic bowel strictures, toxic megacolon)

  • Ostomy or ileoanal pouch

  • Short gut or short bowel syndrome

  • Known active COVID-19 infection

  • Screening laboratory and other analyses with abnormal results

  • High-grade colonic dysplasia or colon cancer

  • Confirmed positive urine pregnancy test

  • Active or chronic recurring infections

  • History of lymphoproliferative disease, including lymphoma, or signs and symptoms suggestive of possible lymphoproliferative disease, such as lymphadenopathy and/or splenomegaly

  • Current diagnosis of UC or indeterminate colitis

  • Patients with unstable doses of concomitant CD therapy

  • Patients with unstable doses of concomitant corticosteroids or using any of the following oral corticosteroids: budesonide > 9 mg per day, beclomethasone > 5 mg per day, or prednisone or equivalent > 20 mg per day

  • Receipt of CD-approved biologic drugs (i.e., infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab, vedolizumab, natalizumab within 8 weeks before baseline or ustekinumab within 12 weeks before baseline)

  • Prior exposure to p19 inhibitors (e.g., risankizumab)

  • Complications of CD (e.g., abscess, symptomatic bowel strictures, toxic megacolon)

  • Ostomy or ileoanal pouch

  • Short gut or short bowel syndrome

  • Known active COVID-19 infection

  • Screening laboratory and other analyses with abnormal results (full list provided in the study protocol)

Drugs

Intervention

Risankizumab 600 mg IV or 1,200 mg IV at week 0, week 4, and week 8

Clinical nonresponders at week 8 received additional 12-week IV risankizumab 1,200 mg, SC risankizumab 360 mg, or SC risankizumab 180 mg at week 12, week 16, and week 20

Risankizumab 180 mg SC or risankizumab 360 mg SC at week 12 and every 8 weeks thereafter

Risankizumab 600 mg IV administered at week 0, week 4, and week 8, and then at week 12, risankizumab 360 mg SC and every 8 weeks thereafter

Comparator(s)

IV placebo

SC placebo (risankizumab treatment withdrawn)

A weight-based dose of ustekinumab IV (≤ 55 kg = 260 mg dose; > 55 kg to 85 kg = 390 mg dose; or > 85 kg = 520 mg dose) at week 0 and then a 90 mg SC maintenance dose at week 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter

Duration

Phase

   Screening

Up to 35 days

NR

35 days

   DB

12 weeks

Additional 12-week period (induction period 2) for patients who did not achieve clinical response at week 12

52 weeks

48 weeks

   Follow-up

140 days

140 days

140 days

Outcomes

Primary end point

OUS protocol:

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 12

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

US protocol:

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 12

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

OUS protocol:

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 52

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

US protocol:

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 52

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

CDAI clinical remission at week 24

Secondary and exploratory end points

Secondaryb:

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 12

  • CDAI clinical response at week 4

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 4

  • CDAI clinical response at week 12

  • Change from BL in FACIT-F at week 12

  • Mean change from BL in IBDQ total score at week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

  • Endoscopic remission at week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 4

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 12

  • Resolution of EIMs at week 12 in patients with EIMs at BL

  • CD-related hospitalization through week 12

  • No draining fistulas at week 12 in patients with draining fistulas at BL

  • Change from BL in WPAI:CD overall work impairment at week 12

  • Change from BL in SF-36 PCS score at week 12

  • Pharmacokinetics and immunogenicity

  • Safety

Exploratory:

  • CSS

  • EQ-5D-5L

Secondaryb:

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 52

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 among patients with SF/APS clinical remission at week 0

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

  • Endoscopic remission at week 52

  • Change in IBDQ total score at week 52 from the BL of the induction study

  • Change in FACIT-F at week 52 from the BL of the induction study

  • Discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days and achieved SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at the BL of the induction study

  • CDAI clinical response at week 52

  • SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response per SF/APS at week 52

  • Deep remission (SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

  • Exposure-adjusted occurrence of CD-related hospitalizations from week 0 to week 52

  • Change in SF-36 PCS score from the BL of the induction study at week 52

  • Pharmacokinetics and immunogenicity

  • Safety

Exploratory:

  • CSS

  • EQ-5D-5L

Exploratory:

  • Clinical response at week 24 (CDAI < 100)

  • Clinical remission SF/APS at week 24

  • Endoscopic remission at week 24

  • Mucosal healing at week 24

  • Deep remission at week 24

  • Biologic remission at week 24

  • IBDQ total score (change from baseline) at week 24

Exploratory:

  • SF-36 PCS at week 24

  • SF-36 mental component summary at week 24

Notes

Publications

D’Haens et al.28

Ferrante et al.29

Peyrin-Biroulet et al. (2022)30

APS = abdominal pain score; BL = baseline; CD = Crohn disease; CDAI = Crohn Disease’s Activity Index; CSS = Crohn’s Symptom Severity; DB = double-blind; EIM = extraintestinal manifestation; EQ-5D-5L = 5-Level EQ-5D; FACIT-F = Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; NR = not reported; OUS = outside the US; PCS = physical component summary; RCT = randomized controlled trial; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score; TNF = tumour necrosis factor; UC = ulcerative colitis; vs. = versus; WPAI:CD = Work Productivity and Activity Impairment Questionnaire in Crohn’s Disease.

aPart 1 is a phase IIIb, multicentre, randomized, efficacy assessor-blinded, parallel-group trial designed to compare the efficacy and safety of risankizumab vs. ustekinumab over 48 weeks in adult patients with moderate to severe CD who have failed anti-TNF therapy. Part 2 of the SEQUENCE study is an open-label long-term extension to evaluate the long-term safety of risankizumab for up to 220 weeks in patients who received risankizumab during part 1 and completed the week 48 visit. Data from patients enrolled before or on January 5, 2022, in part 1 of the SEQUENCE study are available, whereas part 2 is currently unavailable.

bTo meet regional regulatory requirements, the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies included 2 protocols (i.e., US and OUS) that were identical in design but specified different coprimary and key secondary outcomes. Secondary outcomes in the US and OUS protocols were similar, focusing on improvements in signs and symptoms of CD, HRQoL, and the healing of the gastrointestinal mucosa.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, FORTIFY, and SEQUENCE Clinical Study Reports.8-10,31

Description of Studies

Studies MOTIVATE,8 ADVANCE,9 FORTIFY part 1,10 and SEQUENCE part 131 are pivotal trials submitted by the sponsor.

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE were both multicentre, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 12-week, phase III induction trials that aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of risankizumab in adult patients with moderately to severely active CD. Both trials were of similar design, except the MOTIVATE trial enrolled patients who were denoted as bio-IR, whereas the ADVANCE trial enrolled patients who were denoted as non-bio-IR or bio-IR. Clinical responders from the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies were eligible to enrol in FORTIFY substudy 1, a multicentre, randomized, placebo-controlled, 52-week, phase III maintenance trial that aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of continued risankizumab use versus the withdrawal of risankizumab (i.e., switched to placebo) in patients with moderately to severely active CD. Patients completing the FORTIFY study were eligible to continue in an open-label extension phase that is currently ongoing and not included in this review. The SEQUENCE study is an ongoing, multicentre, randomized, efficacy assessor-blinded, 48-week parallel-group, phase III trial designed to compare the efficacy and safety of risankizumab versus ustekinumab in adult patients with moderate to severe CD who have failed anti-TNF therapy. Only results for the SEQUENCE study, part 1, are included in this review, which consists of an interim data lock that was predetermined to occur when approximately 50% of patients in the risankizumab group had reached week 24 or discontinued the study. Part 2 is an open-label extension to evaluate the long-term safety of risankizumab for up to 220 weeks in patients who received risankizumab during part 1 and completed the week 48 visit. The SEQUENCE study is scheduled to be completed by September 2023.

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

The primary objective of both the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE study was to assess the efficacy and safety of IV risankizumab 600 mg administered at week 0, week 4, and week 8 versus IV placebo as induction therapy in adult patients with moderately to severely active CD (Figure 2). The MOTIVATE trial enrolled patients who were bio-IR, meaning they had inadequate response or intolerance to 1 or more biologic drugs including infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab, natalizumab, vedolizumab, and ustekinumab (the percentage of patients with exposure to ustekinumab capped at 20% of the study population). The ADVANCE trial enrolled patients who were bio-IR as described in MOTIVATE or were non-bio-IR, meaning they had an inadequate response or were intolerant to conventional therapy including budesonide, beclomethasone, systemic corticosteroids, or immunomodulators, but not to biologic therapy. Each trial included a screening period of up to 35 days, a 12-week induction period (induction period 1), an additional exploratory blinded 12-week prolonged induction period (induction period 2) for patients who did not achieve clinical response at week 12, and a 140-day follow-up period for patients who did not continue in the FORTIFY maintenance trial. Clinical evaluations occurred at baseline and at week 4, week 8, and week 12, or at premature discontinuation. Both trials included treatment groups not aligned with the Health Canada–approved dose (refer to Table 7); these trials are not included in this review.

Enrolled patients were randomly assigned using interactive response technology 1:1 in the MOTIVATE trial (N = 413 patients across 214 sites, including Canada) or 2:1 in the ADVANCE trial (N = 559 patients across 297 sites, including Canada) to receive risankizumab 600 mg IV or placebo IV. There was a total of 17 Canadian sites and a total of 110 patients living in Canada enrolled. Randomization in both trials was stratified by the number of prior biologics failed (1, more than 1 in the MOTIVATE trial or 0, 1, more than 1 in the ADVANCE trial), corticosteroid use at baseline (yes, no), and Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease (SES-CD) score (original, alternative). Patients without clinical response to risankizumab at week 12 entered induction period 2 and were rerandomized 1:1:1 to risankizumab 1,200 mg IV, risankizumab 360 mg SC, or risankizumab 180 mg SC. Patients who did not have a clinical response to placebo at week 12 received risankizumab 1,200 mg IV. During the 12-week or 24-week induction period, initiation or dose changes of concomitant CD medications (e.g., aminosalicylates, oral locally acting steroids, systemic corticosteroids, immunomodulators) was prohibited. Since induction period 2 in both trials was exploratory and did not include the Health Canada–approved dose for induction, only results from the first 12-week induction period are reported in this review.

To meet regional regulatory requirements, both trials included 2 protocols denoted as US and OUS that were identical in design but specified different coprimary and key secondary outcomes. Clinical remission and endoscopic response were coprimary outcomes at week 12 in both the US and OUS protocols; however, the definition of clinical remission differed. In the US protocol, clinical remission was defined as CDAI less than 150 whereas in the OUS protocol, SF/APS clinical remission (defined as having average daily SF ≤ 2.8 and not worse than baseline and average daily APS ≤ 1 and not worse than baseline) was used. The secondary outcomes were similar in both protocols but ranked differently. They included clinical remission, clinical response, fatigue (FACIT-F score), HRQoL (SF-36 PCS score, IBDQ total score), enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response, endoscopic remission, and ulcer-free endoscopy. Exploratory outcomes included CSS and EQ-5D-5L scores.

A detailed breakdown of secondary outcomes per protocol is provided in Table 8.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance)

The primary objective of FORTIFY substudy 1 was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of risankizumab SC as maintenance therapy versus placebo (i.e., risankizumab was withdrawn) in patients with moderately to severely active CD who responded to risankizumab IV induction treatment in the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study (Figure 2). The FORTIFY trial enrolled patients who achieved clinical response at the last visit of either induction period 1 or induction period 2 of the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study (i.e., achieved SF/APS clinical response defined as ≥ 30% decrease in average daily SF and/or APS and both not worse than baseline of the induction study). Patients were required to have had a baseline of induction eligibility SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease). The trial included a 52-week maintenance period with a 140-day follow-up (for those not entering the open-label extension), and an open-label extension lasting for up to 220 weeks or until study discontinuation. Only results from the rerandomized portion are reported in this review.

Enrolled patients were rerandomized in a 1:1 ratio using interactive response technology to continue receiving risankizumab 360 mg SC every 8 weeks or to have risankizumab treatment withdrawn (i.e., patients continued to receive placebo SC every 8 weeks to maintain the blind and are hereafter referred to as the placebo SC group). Rerandomization was stratified by endoscopic response (yes, no), SF/APS clinical remission status at last visit of induction (yes, no), and last IV risankizumab dose taken during induction. Similar to the induction trials, the FORTIFY study included a US protocol and an OUS protocol that included the same coprimary outcomes and similar secondary outcomes, ranked differently. A detailed breakdown of secondary outcomes per protocol are provided in Table 8.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

Part 1 of the SEQUENCE study consists of a 35-day screening period, a 48-week treatment period, and a 140-day follow-up period for patients not participating in part 2. The primary objective of the SEQUENCE study, part 1, interim data lock analysis was to evaluate the noninferiority of risankizumab compared to ustekinumab in inducing clinical remission (defined as CDAI less than 150) at week 24. Patients were randomized 1:1 to risankizumab (600 mg IV at week 0, week 4, and week 8, and then at week 12 to 360 mg SC and every 8 weeks thereafter) or to ustekinumab (weight-based IV induction dose followed by a 90 mg SC maintenance dose at week 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter). Randomization was stratified by the number of anti-TNF failures (1 or fewer, more than 1) and corticosteroid use at baseline (yes, no). Secondary exploratory outcomes included clinical response, clinical remission, endoscopic remission, mucosal healing, deep remission, biologic remission, SF-36 PCS and MCS scores, and IBDQ total score.

Figure 2: Study Design of the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies

Patients from the induction studies M15-991 (the MOTIVATE study) or M16-006 (the ADVANCE study) who achieved stool frequency and abdominal pain score clinical response (defined as a 30% or greater decrease in average daily stool frequency and/or average daily abdominal pain score and both not worse than baseline) at week 12 or week 24 induction periods could enrol in the M16-000 maintenance study (the FORTIFY study).

APS = abdominal pain score; BL = baseline; PBO = placebo; RZB = risankizumab; SC = subcutaneous; SF = stool frequency; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain; wk = week.

Notes: Patients from the induction studies (M15-991 [the MOTIVATE study] and M16-006 [the ADVANCE study]) who achieved SF/APS clinical response (defined as ≥ 30% decrease in average daily SF and/or average daily APS and both not worse than BL) at week 12 or week 24 could enrol in the maintenance study (M16-000 [the FORTIFY study]). The patient numbers in Figure 2 reflect the number of planned patients for enrolment. Only nonresponders in the PBO group at week 12 who received 12 weeks of RZB 1,200 mg and responded went on to the maintenance study. Responders exposed to 24 weeks of RZB went into the open-label extension.

Source: Skyrizi Clinical Evidence Summary.32

Figure 3: Study Design of the SEQUENCE Study, Part 1

Patients in study M20 to 259, part 1 (the SEQUENCE study, part 1) were randomized 1:1 to risankizumab 600 mg IV at week 0, week 4, and week 8, and then at week 12 to 360 mg SC and every 8 weeks thereafter or to a ustekinumab weight-based IV induction dose followed by a 90 mg subcutaneous maintenance dose at week 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter.

Q8w = every 8 weeks; RZB = risankizumab; SC = subcutaneous; UST = ustekinumab; wk = week.

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Populations

Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria

A detailed description of the inclusion and exclusion criteria for each study is provided in Table 8.

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

In both trials, eligible patients were aged 18 years to 80 years (where locally permissible, patients 16 years to younger than 18 years were enrolled) with a confirmed diagnosis of CD for at least 3 months before baseline, and moderately to severely active disease defined by a CDAI score of 220 to 450 at baseline, average daily SF greater than or equal to 4 and/or an average daily APS greater than or equal to 2, and endoscopic evidence of mucosal inflammation documented by an SES-CD score of 6 or more (or 4 or more for isolated ileal disease). In both the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, a limited number of patients with an SES-CD score of 3 to less than 6 were enrolled. In the MOTIVATE study, patients must have been bio-IR for CD, and in the ADVANCE study, patients must have been non-bio-IR or bio-IR for CD.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

Patients were eligible to enter the FORTIFY trial if they demonstrated clinical response to IV risankizumab induction therapy at week 12 of induction period 1 or at week 24 of induction period 2 in the ADVANCE or MOTIVATE trial. Clinical response was defined as at least a 30% decrease in mean SF of daily values reported for 7 days before the scheduled assessment visit or at least a 30% decrease in mean daily APS, both not worse than baseline of the induction study.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

Eligible patients were aged 18 to 80 years with a confirmed diagnosis of CD for at least 3 months before baseline, and with moderately to severely active disease defined by a CDAI score of 220 to 450 at baseline, average daily SF greater than and/or equal to 4 or an average daily APS greater than or equal to 2, and endoscopic evidence of mucosal inflammation documented by an SES-CD score of 6 or more (or 4 or more for isolated ileal disease), and had failed 1 or more anti-TNF therapy.

Baseline Characteristics
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Studies, and FORTIFY Substudy 1

A summary of baseline patient demographics and disease characteristics of ITT1A populations are in Table 9 and Table 10. Overall, key baseline characteristics were generally balanced between treatment groups and trials. Patients in the trial populations were predominantly white (77% to 91%), with an approximate mean age of 40 years, and a mean CD disease duration of approximately 8 years to 12 years. Between 29% and 36% of patients across treatment groups were on concomitant corticosteroids and about 19% to 28% of patients were on immunomodulators. The baseline mean CDAI score was about 310 to 320; however, the proportion of patients with moderate versus severe disease was not reported.

All of the patients in the MOTIVATE study (100%) and almost all of the patients in the ADVANCE study (approximately 99%) had previously taken at least 1 CD-related medication. The most frequently reported prior CD-related medications in the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies were adalimumab, infliximab, and vedolizumab. In the MOTIVATE study, approximately 48% and 52% of patients were bio-IR to 1 biologic therapy or greater than 1 biologic therapy, respectively. In the ADVANCE study, 23% to 30% of patients were bio-IR to 1 biologic therapy, 28% to 32% of patients were bio-IR to greater than 1 biologic therapy, and 42% to 45% of patients were non-bio-IR. Across the trials, 12% to 22% of patients had a history of ustekinumab failure and the majority of patients had failed 1 or more anti-TNF therapy (0 to 11% had not failed anti-TNF therapy).

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1

A summary of baseline patient demographics and disease characteristics of the ITT1H population are shown in Table 11.

Demographic characteristics were generally balanced between the treatment groups. Most patients were white and the mean age was approximately 39 years. Disease characteristics were also relatively similar between the treatment groups.

Table 9: Summary of Baseline Characteristics — MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies, ITT1A Population

Characteristic

MOTIVATE study

(induction, ITT1A population)a

ADVANCE study

(induction, ITT1A population)a

FORTIFY study

(maintenance, ITT1A population)b

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 191)

Placebo IV

(N = 187)

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 336)

Placebo IV

(N = 175)

Risankizumab

360 mg SC

(N = 141)

Placebo SC

(N = 164)

Age, years, mean (SD)

40.2 (13.6)

39.3 (13.5)

38.3 (13.3)

37.1 (13.4)

37.0 (12.8)

38.0 (13.0)

Sex, n (%)

   Female

99 (51.8)

88 (47.1)

147 (43.8)

87 (49.7)

60 (42.6)

75 (45.7)

   Male

92 (48.2)

99 (52.9)

189 (56.3)

88 (50.3)

81 (57.4)

89 (54.3)

Race, n (%)

   White

176 (92.1)

162 (86.6)

258 (76.8)

134 (76.6)

111 (78.7)

126 (76.8)

   Black or African American

7 (3.7)

7 (3.7)

9 (2.7)

9 (5.1)

8 (5.7)

10 (6.1)

   Asian

8 (4.2)

15 (8.0)

65 (19.3)

31 (17.7)

20 (14.2)

28 (17.1)

   Other

0 (0)

3 (1.6)

4 (1.2)

1 (0.6)

2 (1.4)

0 (0)

Disease duration, years, mean (SD)

10.9 (7.7)

12.5 (9.7)

9.0 (8.8)

8.2 (7.1)

9.3 (8.1)

9.6 (8.8)

Disease location, n (%)

   Ileal onlyc

33 (17.3)

26 (13.9)

52 (15.5)

19 (10.9)

15 (10.6)

23 (14.0)

   Colonic only

75 (39.3)

73 (39.0)

115 (34.2)

70 (40.0)

59 (41.8)

62 (37.8)

   Ileal-colonic

83 (43.5)

88 (47.1)

169 (50.3)

86 (49.1)

67 (47.5)

79 (48.2)

Corticosteroid use, n (%)d

65 (34.0)

68 (36.4)

102 (30.4)

50 (28.6)

42 (29.8)

51 (31.1)

Immunomodulator use, n (%)

36 (18.8)

40 (21.4)

88 (26.2)

42 (24.0)

40 (28.4)

40 (24.4)

Bio-IR status, n (%)

   Non-bio-IR

0 (0)

0 (0)

141 (42.0)

78 (44.6)

39 (27.7)

41 (25.0)

   1 bio-IR

92 (48.2)

88 (47.1)

100 (29.8)

41 (23.4)

51 (36.2)

60 (36.6)

   > 1 bio-IR

99 (51.8)

99 (52.9)

95 (28.3)

56 (32.0)

51 (36.2)

63 (38.4)

Anti-TNF failure history, n (%)

   0

14 (7.3)

6 (3.2)

12 (6.2)

0 (0)

11 (10.8)

4 (3.3)

   1

101 (52.9)

103 (55.1)

110 (56.4)

57 (58.8)

49 (48.0)

71 (57.7)

   > 1

76 (39.8)

78 (41.7)

73 (37.4)

40 (41.2)

42 (41.2)

48 (39.0)

Ustekinumab failure history, n (%)

36 (18.8)

40 (21.4)

43 (22.1)

19 (19.6)

17 (16.7)

15 (12.2)

Fecal calprotectin, mg/kg, mean (SD)

2,379.2 (3,879.6)

2,648.9 (4,831.2)

1,767.3 (2,272.7)

2,499.3 (4,308.8)

2,182.5 (2,471.7)

1,640.7 (2,055.7)

hs-CRP, mg/L, mean (SD)

19.3 (26.3)

20.4 (25.7)

18.1 (26.9)

16.3 (21.3)

22.8 (28.6)

17.2 (25.5)

CDAI, mean (SD)

310.7 (63.6)

319.6 (69.8)

311.2 (62.4)

319.2 (59.4)

308.92 (61.1)

307.4 (64.9)

SES-CD, mean (SD)

14.4 (7.6)

15.0 (8.1)

14.7 (7.7)

13.8 (6.8)

14.3 (7.4)

14.0 (7.1)

Average daily SF, mean (SD)

6.2 (3.1)

6.4 (2.9)

5.8 (2.7)

6.1 (2.8)

5.9 (2.6)

5.8 (2.7)

Average daily APS, mean (SD)

1.9 (0.5)

1.9 (0.5)

1.8 (0.6)

1.9 (0.6)

1.8 (0.5)

1.9 (0.5)

APS = abdominal pain score; bio-IR = inadequate response to biologic therapy; BL = baseline; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; hs-CRP = high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; non-bio-IR = inadequate response to conventional therapy; SC = subcutaneous; SD = standard deviation; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; TNF = tumour necrosis factor.

aThe ITT1A population includes randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period, received only one 12-week period of induction, and had BL eligible SES-CD of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

bThe ITT1A population included the randomized patients in the intention-to-treat population who received IV risankizumab for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE and at least 1 dose of the study drug in the FORTIFY study and had eligible SES-CD of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease) at the BL of the induction study. BL was defined as the BL visit of the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE for efficacy analyses.

cAt BL, 125 (14.7%) patients in the ADVANCE study and 80 (14.1%) patients in the MOTIVATE study had isolated ileal disease. Twenty-one patients in the ADVANCE study and 20 patients in the MOTIVATE study had isolated ileal disease at BL with SES-CD of 0 at week 12; none of these was due to the inability to intubate the ileum.

dThe maximum dose of steroids allowed at BL was 20 mg per day of prednisone (or equivalent), or 9 mg per day of budesonide or 5 mg per day of beclomethasone. The patient had to be in the current course of steroids for 14 days or more before BL and on a stable dose for 7 days or more before BL.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Clinical Study Reports.8-10

Interventions

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

In both trials, patients received risankizumab 600 mg IV or matched placebo IV infusion administered at week 0, week 4, and week 8 as induction therapy, in a double-blinded manner. During the induction period, concomitant CD medications (e.g., aminosalicylates, oral locally acting steroids, systemic corticosteroids, immunomodulators) were allowed but initiating doses, increasing doses, or decreasing doses was prohibited.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

Patients received either risankizumab 360 mg SC or placebo (i.e., 4 90 mg injections) at week 0, week 8, week 16, week 24, week 32, week 40, and week 48. Each scheduled dose was administered within plus or minus 7 days. Patients who did not respond adequately received open-label risankizumab rescue therapy defined as 1 single 1,200 mg IV infusion followed by 360 mg SC injection, starting at the week 16 visit on the basis of increased symptom activity and confirmation with objective markers of inflammation.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

Patients received the risankizumab 600 mg IV induction dose administered at baseline, week 4, and week 8, and then at week 12, received a 360 mg SC maintenance dose and every 8 weeks thereafter and completed their last visit at week 24, or received a ustekinumab weight-based IV induction dose at week 0 (a patient weight of 55 kg or less = 260 mg dose; a patient weight of more than 55 kg to 85 kg = 390 mg dose; or a patient weight of more than 85 kg = 520 mg) and then a 90 mg SC maintenance dose at week 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter. Aminosalicylates, immunomodulators, and/or CD-related antibiotics at baseline were allowed but initiating doses, increasing doses, or decreasing doses was prohibited.

Table 10: Summary of Week 0 Disease Characteristics — FORTIFY Study, ITT1A Population

Characteristic at week 0a

FORTIFY study (maintenance, ITT1A population)b

Risankizumab 360 mg SC (N = 141)

SC placebo (N = 164)

Fecal calprotectin, mg/kg

n

136

158

Mean (SD)

1,065.9 (1,716.9)

1,126.8 (3,107.7)

hs-CRP, mg/L

n

141

164

Mean (SD)

10.5 (26.2)

6.9 (8.8)

CDAI

n

138

163

Mean (SD)

137.2 (67.7)

133.6 (80.6)

SES-CD

n

136

162

Mean (SD)

8.5 (7.3)

7.6 (6.6)

Average daily SF

n

139

163

Mean (SD)

2.1 (1.8)

1.8 (1.8)

Average daily APS

n

139

163

Mean (SD)

0.7 (0.6)

0.7 (0.6)

SF/APS clinical remission

N

139

163

n (%)

72 (51.8)

91 (55.8)

CDAI clinical remission

N

138

163

n (%)

81 (58.7)

96 (58.9)

Endoscopic response

N

136

162

n (%)

55 (40.4)

73 (45.1)

Endoscopic remission

N

136

162

n (%)

39 (28.7)

46 (28.4)

APS = abdominal pain score; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; hs-CRP = high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; SC = subcutaneous; SD = standard deviation; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

aWeek 0 was defined as the first study visit in the FORTIFY study or the final visit of study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE (week 12 or week 24).

bThe ITT1A population includes the randomized patients in the intention-to-treat population who received IV risankizumab for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE and at least 1 dose of the study drug in the FORTIFY study and had eligible SES-CD of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease) at the baseline of the induction study.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Table 11: Summary of Baseline Characteristics — SEQUENCE Study, Part 1, ITT1H Population

Characteristic

SEQUENCE study, part 1 (ITT1H population)a

Risankizumab 600 mg/360 mg

|| |||||

Ustekinumab

|| |||||

Age (years)

   Mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

Sex, n (%)

   Female

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Male

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

Body weight (kg)

Mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

Body weight category, n (%)

< 60 kg

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   ≥ 60 kg

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

BMI (kg/m2)

Mean (SD)

|||| |||||

|||| |||||

BMI weight category, n (%)

   Underweight (< 18.5 kg/m2)

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Normal (≥ 18.5 kg/m2 and < 25 kg/m2)

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Overweight (≥ 25 kg/m2 and < 30 kg/m2)

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Obese (≥ 30 kg/m2)

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

Race, n (%)

   White

||| ||||||

||| ||||||

   Black or African American

| |||||

| |||||

   Asian

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   American Indian/Alaska Native

| |||

| |||||

   Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander

| |||

| |||

   Multiple

| |||

| |||

Ethnicity, n (%)

   Hispanic/Latino

| |||||

|| |||||

   Non-Hispanic/Latino

||| ||||||

||| ||||||

Geographic region, n (%)

   North America

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   South America/Central America

| |||||

| |||||

   Western Europe

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Eastern Europe

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Asia

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   Other

|| ||||||

| |||||

Disease duration, years, mean (SD)

|||| |||||

|||| |||||

Corticosteroid use, n (%)

   Yes

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   No

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

Immunomodulator use, n (%)

   Yes

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

   No

||| ||||||

||| ||||||

Anti-TNF failure history, n (%)

   ≤ 1

|| ||||||

||| ||||||

   > 1

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

CDAI, mean (SD)

||||| ||||||

||||| ||||||

SES-CD, mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

Average daily SF, mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

Average daily APS, mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

Fecal calprotectin, mg/kg, mean (SD)

|||||| ||||||||

|||||| ||||||||

hs-CRP (mg/L), mean (SD)

|||| ||||||

|||| ||||||

APS = abdominal pain score; BMI = body mass index; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; hs-CRP = high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; ITT = intention-to-treat; ITT1H = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the SEQUENCE study, part 1; SD = standard deviation; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; TNF = tumour necrosis factor.

aThe ITT population (denoted as ITT1H) is the primary efficacy population for the primary efficacy outcome of clinical remission (CDAI < 150) at week 24 and is a subset of the ITT1 population. The ITT1 population includes all randomized patients who received at least one dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period. The ITT1H population includes approximately 50% of patients in the ITT1 population who had the opportunity to reach week 24 by the time of the interim lock 1 (i.e., patients who were randomized in the selected risankizumab dose regimen group or ustekinumab group by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022).

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Outcomes

A list of efficacy outcomes identified in the CADTH review protocol that were assessed in the included clinical trials is summarized in Table 12. A detailed description and critical appraisal of the outcome measures is provided in Appendix 2, Table 37.

Table 12: Summary of Outcomes of Interest Identified in the CADTH Review Protocol

Outcome measure

MOTIVATE trial

(induction)

ADVANCE trial

(induction)

FORTIFY trial

(maintenance)

SEQUENCE trial,

part 1

Clinical remission

Coprimary: OUS protocol

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 12

Coprimary: US protocol

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 12

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 12

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 4

Secondary: US protocol

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 12

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 4

  • SF remission at week 12

  • AP remission at week 12

Coprimary: OUS protocol

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 52

Coprimary: US protocol

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 52

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 52

  • Maintenance of SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 (among patients with SF/APS clinical remission at week 0)

  • SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

  • Deep remission (SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Secondary: US protocol

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 52

  • Maintenance of CDAI clinical remission at week 52 (among patients with CDAI clinical remission at week 0)

  • SF remission at week 52

  • AP remission at week 52

  • CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

  • Deep remission (CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Primary

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 24

Exploratory

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 24

  • Deep remission at week 24

  • Biologic remission at week 24

Corticosteroid-free clinical remission

Not assessed

Secondary

  • Discontinued corticosteroid use for 90 days and achieved CDAI clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at baseline of the induction study

  • Discontinued corticosteroid use for 90 days and achieved SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at baseline of induction study

Not assessed

Clinical response

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • CDAI clinical response at week 4 and week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 4 and week 12

Secondary: US protocol

  • CDAI clinical response at week 4 and week 12

  • CDAI clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 4 and week 12

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • CDAI clinical response at week 52

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 52

Secondary: US protocol

  • CDAI clinical response at week 52

Exploratory

  • CDAI clinical response at week 24

Symptoms (abdominal pain, fatigue, SF)

Secondary

  • Change in FACIT-F at week 12

Exploratory

  • CSS at week 4 and week 12

Secondary

  • Change in FACIT-F at week 52 from BL of induction

Exploratory

  • CSS at week 52

Not assessed

Mucosal healing determined by histology or endoscopy

Coprimary: OUS protocol

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

Coprimary: US protocol

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • Enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

  • Endoscopic remission at week 12

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12

Secondary: US protocol

  • CDAI clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

  • Endoscopic remission at week 12

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12

Coprimary: OUS protocol

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

Coprimary: US protocol

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

  • Endoscopic remission at week 52

  • SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

  • Deep remission (SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Secondary: US protocol

  • Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

  • Endoscopic remission at week 52

  • CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

  • Deep remission (CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Exploratory

  • Endoscopic remission at week 24

  • Mucosal healing at week 24

HRQoL

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • Change in IBDQ total score at week 12

  • Change in SF-36 PCS score at week 12

Exploratory

  • CSS

  • EQ-5D-5L

Secondary: OUS protocol

  • Change in IBDQ total score at week 52 from BL of induction study

  • Change in SF-36 PCS score at week 52 from BL of induction study

Exploratory

  • CSS

  • EQ-5D-5L

Exploratory

  • IBDQ total score at week 24

  • SF-36 PCS score at week 24

  • SF-36 mental component summary score at week 24

Harms

Secondary: AEs, SAEs, AEs of special interest (infections, hepatotoxicity, injection-site reactions, hypersensitivity reactions), and WDAEs at week 12

Secondary: AEs, SAEs, AEs of special interest (infections, hepatotoxicity, injection-site reactions, hypersensitivity reactions), and WDAEs at week 52

Secondary: AEs, SAEs, AEs of special interest (infections, hepatotoxicity, injection-site reactions, hypersensitivity reactions), and WDAEs at week 24

AE = adverse event; AP = abdominal pain; BL = baseline; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CSS = Crohn’s Symptom Severity; EQ-5D-5L = 5-Level EQ-5D; FACIT-F = Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; OUS = outside the US; PCS = physical component summary; SAE = serious adverse event; SF = stool frequency; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score; WDAE = withdrawal due to adverse event.

Sources: Clinical Study Reports for the MOTIVATE,8 ADVANCE,9 FORTIFY,10 and SEQUENCE studies.31

Clinical Remission
Corticosteroid-Free Clinical Remission
Clinical Response
Symptoms (Abdominal Pain, Fatigue, Stool Frequency)
Mucosal Healing Determined by Histology or Endoscopy
HRQoL

Change from baseline in HRQoL was assessed via generic or disease-specific instruments: IBDQ total score and SF-36 PCS and MCS. These are detailed in Appendix 2.

Harms

Statistical Analysis

Power Calculation

The power calculation for the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies was based on the expected number needed to detect a difference in the coprimary end points of clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 12 between risankizumab and placebo. This approach used historical data from the phase II Study 1311.6 that showed slightly lower event rate and similar treatment difference versus placebo for the endoscopic response rate than the clinical remission rate at week 12. Based on the assumption of a 23.5% clinical remission rate for the risankizumab group and 10% for the placebo group, in the MOTIVATE study, a sample size of 193 patients in each group would have 89% power to detect a difference between groups at week 12 using 2-sided Fisher’s exact test at a significance level of 0.025. Based on the assumption that the week 12 endoscopic response rate would be 17% for the risankizumab group and 5% for the placebo group, this sample size would have 93% power to detect the treatment difference for endoscopic response between the risankizumab group and the placebo group at week 12 using a Fisher’s exact test with a 2-sided alpha of 0.025.

In the ADVANCE study, to detect a clinical remission rate of 27.8% for the risankizumab group and 12% for the placebo group, a sample size of 342 patients for the risankizumab group and 171 patients for the placebo group would have 97% power to detect a treatment difference between groups at week 12 using a Fisher’s exact test at a 2-sided alpha of 0.025. Based on the assumption that the week 12 endoscopic response rate would be 25.5% for the risankizumab group and 8% for the placebo group, this sample size would have 99% power to detect the treatment difference between the risankizumab group and the placebo group at week 12 using a Fisher’s exact test at a 2-sided alpha of 0.025. In addition, the ADVANCE study would have approximately 80% power for the failed biologic therapy subgroup to detect the treatment difference between the risankizumab and placebo groups in clinical remission rates at week 12, with the assumption that the week 12 clinical remission rate would be 24.2% for the risankizumab group and 10% for the placebo group. For the failed conventional therapy subgroup, there would be 72% power to detect the treatment difference for clinical remission rates at week 12 between the risankizumab group and the placebo group, with the assumption that the week 12 clinical remission rate would be 35% for the risankizumab group and 15% for the placebo group.

In FORTIFY substudy 1, for the US protocol, assuming a 46% CDAI clinical remission rate for the risankizumab group and a 28% CDAI clinical remission rate for the placebo group at week 52, a sample size of 150 patients for each group would have 87% power to detect a difference between groups using the Fisher’s exact test at a 2-sided alpha of 0.05. For the OUS protocol, assuming a 38.7% clinical remission rate for the risankizumab group and a 20% clinical remission rate for the placebo group at week 52, a sample size of 150 patients for each group would have 93% power to detect a difference in SF/APS clinical remission rate. Based on the assumption that the week 52 endoscopic response rate would be 32.6% for the risankizumab group and 10% for the placebo group, this sample size would have approximately 95% power to detect the treatment difference between groups for endoscopic response rates at week 52.

In the SEQUENCE study, part 1, the power calculation was based on the assumption of a CDAI clinical remission (less than 150) rate of 45% for the risankizumab group and 29% for the ustekinumab group at week 24, based on phase III trials for ustekinumab and risankizumab. Based on this assumption, a sample size of 129 patients per group would have at least 95% power to determine noninferiority based on a noninferiority margin of 10% at the 0.05, 2-sided significance level. Clinical remission rate assumptions were informed by published results from phase III trials for ustekinumab and the MOTIVATE study. Noninferiority was met if the lower bound of the 95% CI of the adjusted risk difference between risankizumab and ustekinumab was above –10%. The margin of 10% was selected based on the physician’s perspective of the clinical meaningfulness of IBD trial results as per an International Organization for the Study of Inflammatory Bowel Disease survey.38

Multiplicity Considerations

In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, testing for the difference between treatment groups across the coprimary and secondary end points was performed using a graphical multiplicity adjustment to control the familywise type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05. The coprimary end points were first tested, each using a 2-sided significance level of 0.025. If those end points both reached statistical significance, the alpha was allocated to the ranked secondary end points, which were tested sequentially. If these reached statistical significance, the final group of ranked secondary end points was tested using the Holm procedure. All other efficacy end points were tested without control for type I error. The same multiplicity control procedure was used in the FORTIFY trial. The ranked secondary outcomes are described in Table 12.

In the SEQUENCE study, part 1, a single end point was tested (achievement of clinical remission); other end points were intended to be presented descriptively without formal statistical testing.

Statistical Analysis for the Coprimary Efficacy Outcomes
Statistical Model

In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, the comparisons between risankizumab versus placebo for the coprimary outcomes were performed using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) test, adjusted by the randomization factors of the number of prior biologics failed (1, greater than 1 in the MOTIVATE study or 0, 1, greater than 1 in the ADVANCE study) and baseline steroid use (yes, no) in the ITT1A population. A CMH-based, 2-sided, 95% CI for the difference between treatment groups was determined. Each primary end point was assigned a 2-sided alpha of 0.025.

In the FORTIFY study, the comparisons between risankizumab and placebo for the coprimary outcomes were performed using the CMH test, adjusted by the week 0 SF/APS clinical remission status and week 0 endoscopic response status (per central review), and the last risankizumab induction dose. A CMH-based, 2-sided, 95% CI for the difference between groups was constructed. Each primary end point was assigned a 2-sided alpha of 0.025.

In the SEQUENCE study, part 1, at interim lock 1 the primary outcome of CDAI clinical remission at week 24 was tested based on the ITT1H population using the CMH test stratified by the number of prior anti-TNF therapy failures (less than or equal to 1, greater than 1) and steroid use at baseline (yes, no). Point estimates and proportions for the difference in proportions between groups were calculated and the CI for the common difference was constructed based on the CMH estimate adjusting for stratification factors.

Data Imputation Methods

In the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies, the primary approach for handling missing data for the coprimary outcomes was the nonresponder imputation (NRI) approach incorporating multiple imputation for missing data due to COVID-19 infection or logistical restrictions. Patients with missing data for all other reasons were counted as nonresponders. In the FORTIFY trial, patients who received rescue therapy were also counted as nonresponders for categorical outcomes.

In the SEQUENCE study, the primary approach for handling missing data for the primary analysis was also NRI while incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 infection or logistical restrictions due to pandemic and/or geopolitical conflict. Patients with missing data for all other reasons were counted as nonresponders.

Subgroup and Sensitivity Analyses

In the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies, the subgroup analysis of interest for this review was bio-IR status (bio-IR less than or equal to 1 or greater than 1 in the MOTIVATE study and bio-IR or non-bio-IR in the ADVANCE and FORTIFY studies). This was a prespecified subgroup analysis conducted for the coprimary outcomes using the ITT1A population. Results are shown as the point estimate and 95% CI for treatment differences between the risankizumab group and placebo, without formal statistical testing. No subgroup analyses were reported for the SEQUENCE study, part 1.

Sensitivity analyses for the coprimary outcomes were conducted to provide insight on the robustness of the findings regarding the use of different data imputation methods. First, hybrid multiple imputation was used, where patients who discontinued before week 12 (in the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies) and week 52 (in the FORTIFY study) due to lack of efficacy, AEs or received rescue therapy were considered as “not achieved” for the clinical remission or endoscopic response, and patients who discontinued for other reasons were categorized according to multiple imputations. Next, an analysis of observed cases was performed, which excluded those patients with missing data at scheduled assessment visits. In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE trials, the pattern-mixture model was also used for sensitivity analyses.

In the SEQUENCE study, sensitivity analyses using NRI and multiple imputation separately were conducted as well as an analysis using observed events, which did not impute values for missing evaluations.

Statistical Analysis for Secondary Efficacy Outcomes
Statistical Model

Multiplicity-controlled ranked secondary outcomes of the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies are summarized in Table 13 and graphical testing procedures are in Appendix 4. In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, the coprimary and key secondary outcomes were controlled for type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05 based on a prespecified hierarchical testing procedure, except for CSS and EQ-5D-5L, which were tested without multiplicity control. Continuous secondary efficacy outcomes with repeat measurements were analyzed using a mixed model of repeated measures (MMRM) model including factors for treatment group, visit, visit by treatment interaction, stratification variables, and the continuous fixed covariates of baseline measurement. The MMRM analysis was considered primary for inferential purposes. Continuous secondary efficacy variables that were collected at only 1 postbaseline visit were analyzed using an analysis of covariance approach based on observed data. Categorical secondary efficacy outcomes were analyzed using the CMH test controlling for stratification variables (i.e., prior biologics failed [1, greater than 1 in the MOTIVATE study or 0, 1, greater than 1 in the ADVANCE study]) and baseline steroid use [yes, no]). A CMH-based, 2-sided, 95% CI for the difference between the risankizumab group and placebo group was determined. In the FORTIFY study, continuous secondary efficacy outcomes with repeated measures were analyzed by an MMRM model whereas outcomes collected at only 1 post–week 0 visit were analyzed using an analysis of covariance model including treatment, stratification factors, and measurements at both induction baseline and week 0. In all trials, the methods of handling missing data were the same as the primary analysis of the coprimary outcomes.

Table 13: Coprimary and Ranked Secondary Outcomes in the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies, by Protocol

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies (induction)

FORTIFY study (maintenance)

OUS protocol

US protocol

OUS protocol

US protocol

Coprimary outcomes

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 12

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 12

  • Endoscopic response at week 12

  • SF/APS clinical remission at week 52

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

  • CDAI clinical remission at week 52

  • Endoscopic response at week 52

Ranked secondary outcomes in order of testing

CDAI clinical remission at week 12

SF/APS clinical remission at week 12

CDAI clinical remission at week 52

SF/APS clinical remission at week 52

CDAI clinical response at week 4

CDAI clinical response at week 4

Maintenance of SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 (among patients with SF/APS clinical remission at week 0)

Maintenance of CDAI clinical remission at week 52 (among patients with CDAI clinical remission at week 0)

SF/APS clinical remission at week 4

CDAI clinical response at week 12

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 52

CDAI clinical response at week 12

Change from BL in FACIT-F at week 12

Endoscopic remission at week 52

Endoscopic remission at week 52

Change from BL in FACIT-F at week 12

CDAI clinical remission at week 4

Change in IBDQ total score at week 52 from BL of induction

Change in FACIT-F at week 52 from BL of induction

Mean change from BL in IBDQ total score at week 12

CDAI clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

Change in FACIT-F at week 52 from BL of induction

Discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days and achievement of CDAI clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at the BL of the induction study

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response at week 12

SF remission at week 12

Discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days and achievement of SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at BL of induction study

CDAI clinical response at week 52

Endoscopic remission at week 12

AP remission at week 12

CDAI clinical response at week 52

SF remission at week 52

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 4

Endoscopic remission at week 12

SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

AP remission at week 52

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 4

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 52

CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic response at week 52

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 12

Ulcer-free endoscopy at week12

Deep remission (SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Deep remission (CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic remission) at week 52

Mean change from BL in SF-36 PCS score at week 12

Enhanced SF/APS clinical response at week 12

Mean change from BL in SF-36 PCS score at week 52

NA

AP = abdominal pain; BL = baseline; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; FACIT-F = Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; NA = not applicable; OUS = outside the US; PCS = physical component summary; SF = stool frequency; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

Note: The coprimary and key secondary outcomes were controlled for type I error based on a prespecified hierarchical testing procedure.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

In the SEQUENCE trial, all secondary outcomes were considered exploratory and statistical testing was not preplanned or controlled for multiplicity. Categorical variables were analyzed using the CMH test stratified by the number of prior anti-TNF therapy failures (≤ 1, > 1) and steroid use at baseline (yes, no). Continuous variables were analyzed using MMRM. The methods of handling missing data were the same as the primary analysis of the primary outcome.

Safety Analysis

In all trials, safety analyses were carried out using the corresponding safety analysis described in the Analysis Populations section. In all safety analyses, patients were analyzed according to treatment received regardless of randomization.

Analysis Populations
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

The primary efficacy analysis population for the 12-week induction period was the ITT1A population (N = 378 for the MOTIVATE study; N = 511 for the ADVANCE study), which included all randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug and who had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (4 or more for isolated ileal disease). The safety population was denoted as SA1 (N = 413 for the MOTIVATE study; N = 580 for the ADVANCE study). It included all patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during induction period 1.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

The primary efficacy analysis for the 52-week maintenance period was the ITT1A population (N = 305), which included rerandomized patients (i.e., patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug) who met eligibility criteria of an SES-CD score of 6 or more (4 or more for isolated ileal disease) at baseline of the induction study and received risankizumab IV for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the induction study. The SA1 population (N = 363) included all patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug in FORTIFY substudy 1.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

The primary efficacy population for the 24-week interim lock analysis was a subset of all randomized patients (ITT1 population) — the ITT1H population (N = 265). The ITT1H population included approximately 50% of patients in the ITT1 population who reached week 24 (or discontinued) by the time of the interim lock 1. The per-protocol population denoted as PP1H (|| |||) excluded patients from the ITT1H population with major protocol deviations. The SA1 population (|||||) included all patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022.

Results

Patient Disposition

A summary of patient disposition for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies is in Table 14, and in Table 15 for the SEQUENCE study. Details of the screening period were not reported for all trials.

In the MOTIVATE study, 98.1% of patients who received risankizumab 600 mg IV and 89.9% of patients who received placebo completed the 12-week induction period. In the ADVANCE study, 97.9% of patients who received risankizumab 600 mg IV and 87.6% of patients who received placebo completed the 12-week induction period. In both trials, a higher proportion of patients in the placebo group discontinued the study drug during the 12-week induction period. The most common reasons for discontinuation in the placebo groups were due to AEs followed by lack of efficacy, whereas in the risankizumab group, discontinuations were generally low with no 1 primary reason. In the placebo groups, the most frequently reported AE that led to discontinuation of the study drug was worsening CD (6.3% in the MOTIVATE trial and 3.8% in the ADVANCE trial).

In the FORTIFY study, a similar proportion of patients (87.0% to 89.4%) completed the study drug across the 2 treatment groups. The most common reason for discontinuation was lack of efficacy in the withdrawal placebo SC group. In the risankizumab group, lack of efficacy and “other” accounted for 6.8% of the reasons for discontinuation.

|| ||||||||| ||||| ||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| || |||| | || ||| |||||| ||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||| ||| || ||| |||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||||||||| || ||| |||||||||||| |||||| ||||||| || ||| ||||||||||| ||||| |||| || |||||||| ||||||| ||| ||| |||| |||||| ||| |||||||||||||||.

Table 14: Patient Disposition in the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies

Characteristic

MOTIVATE study (induction)

ADVANCE study (induction)

FORTIFY study (maintenance)

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

Placebo IV

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

Placebo IV

Risankizumab

360 mg SC

Placebo SC

Screened, N

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

NR

Randomized, N

206

207

373

186

179

184

Completed trial,

N (%)

202 (98.1)

186 (89.9)

365 (97.9)

163 (87.6)

160 (89.4)

160 (87.0)

Discontinued from trial, N (%)

4 (1.9)

21 (10.1)

8 (2.1)

23 (12.4)

19 (10.6)

24 (13.0)

Reason for discontinuation, N (%)a

Adverse events

0

9 (4.3)

4 (1.1)

13 (7.0)

3 (1.7)

5 (2.7)

Lack of efficacy

1 (0.5)

6 (2.9)

0 (0)

3 (1.6)

6 (3.4)

11 (6.0)

Lost to follow-up

0

2 (1.0)

0

0

2 (1.1)

0

Withdrawal by participant

1 (0.5)

2 (1.0)

3 (0.8)

4 (2.2)

2 (1.1)

4 (2.2)

COVID-19 infection

0

0

0

0

0

0

COVID-19 logistical restrictions

0

0

0

2 (1.1)

0

0

Other

2 (1.0)

2 (1.0)

1 (0.3)

1 (0.5)

6 (3.4)

4 (2.2)

ITT1A, N

191b

187b

336b

175b

141c

164c

Safety,d N

206

207

373

186

179

184

ITT = intention-to-treat; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; NR = not reported; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease.

aPrimary reason for discontinuation.

bThe ITT population for the 12-week induction period (denoted as ITT1A) includes randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during this period and includes the subjects with a baseline-eligible SES-CD of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease). This was the primary population for efficacy analysis.

cThe ITT population for substudy 1 included the randomized subjects in the ITT1A set who had an eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease) at the baseline of the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study and had received IV risankizumab for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study. This was the primary population for efficacy analysis.

dThis includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of study medication.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Clinical Study Reports.8-10

Table 15: Patient Disposition in SEQUENCE Study, Part 1a

Characteristic

Risankizumab 600 mg IV/360 mg SC

Ustekinumab weight-based induction dose/90 mg SC

Screened, N

||

||

Randomized, N (%)

|||

|||

Completed trial drug, N (%)

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

Discontinuation due to (primary reason), N (%)

   Any reason

|| |||||

|| ||||||

   Adverse events

| |||||

| ||||

   Lack of efficacy

| |||||

|| ||||||

   Lost to follow-up

| |||

| |||||

   Withdrawal by patient

| |||||

| |||||

   COVID-19 infection

| |||

|||

   COVID-19 logistical restrictions

| |||

|||

   Other

| |||||

| |||||

Currently ongoing in part 1

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

ITT1H,c N

|||

|||

PP1H,d N

||

|||

SA1),e N

|||

|||

CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; ITT = intention-to-treat; ITT1H = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the SEQUENCE study, part 1; NR = not reported; PP = per-protocol; SA1 = safety population; SC = subcutaneous.

aPatient disposition was derived from the safety population (SA1) (|||||), which includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug (risankizumab or ustekinumab) by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022.

bPatients who discontinued the study were counted under each reason given for discontinuation. Therefore, the sum of the counts given for the reasons may be greater than the overall number of discontinuations.

cThe ITT1H population (|||||) is the primary efficacy population for the primary efficacy outcome of clinical remission (CDAI < 150) at week 24 and is a subset of the ITT1 population. The ITT1 population includes all randomized patients who received at least one dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period. The ITT1H population includes approximately 50% of patients in the ITT1 population who had the opportunity to reach week 24 by the time of the interim lock 1 (i.e., patients who were randomized in the selected risankizumab dose regimen group or ustekinumab group by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022).

dThe per-protocol population (PP1H) (|||||) excludes patients from the ITT1H population with major protocol deviations and is the population upon which additional sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of major protocol deviations on the primary efficacy outcome at week 24.

eSafety population 1 (SA1) (|||||) includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug (risankizumab or ustekinumab) by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022.

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Exposure to Study Treatments

Details of the extent of exposure to the study drug in the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies are reported in Table 16, and in Table 17 for the SEQUENCE study.

In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE trials, mean exposure to risankizumab 600 mg IV and placebo IV was approximately 83.0 days for the 12-week induction period.

In the FORTIFY trial, mean exposure to risankizumab 360 mg SC was 328 days and 309 days for the withdrawal placebo SC group.

|| ||||||||| |||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| ||| || |||||| || || ||| ||||||| ||| ||| |||| || ||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||| || || |||||

Table 16: Extent of Exposure — MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies

Duration

MOTIVATE induction study

(SA1 population)a

ADVANCE induction study

(SA1 population)a

FORTIFY maintenance study

(SA1 population)b

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 206)

Placebo

(N = 207)

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 373)

Placebo

(N = 186)

Risankizumab

360 mg SC

(N = 179)

Placebo

(N = 184)

Days on treatment, mean (SD)

83.7 (7.26)

79.5 (14.6)

83.0 (7.08)

79.0 (14.1)

328.1 (106.6)

308.5 (109.3)

SA1 = safety population; SC = subcutaneous; SD = standard deviation.

aThe SA1 population includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug during the 12-week induction period.

bThe SA1 population includes all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug in FORTIFY maintenance substudy 1.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Clinical Study Reports.8 to 10

Table 17: Extent of Exposure — SEQUENCE Trial, ITT1H Population

Duration

SEQUENCE trial, part 1a

Risankizumab

600 mg IV/360 mg SC

|||||||

Ustekinumab weight-based induction dose/90 mg SC

|||||||

Days on treatment, mean (SD)

||||| ||||||

||||| ||||||

CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; ITT1H = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the SEQUENCE study, part 1; SC = subcutaneous; SD = standard deviation.

aThe intention-to-treat population (denoted as ITT1H) is the primary efficacy population for the primary efficacy outcome of clinical remission (CDAI < 150) at week 24 and is a subset of the ITT1 population. The ITT1 population includes all randomized patients who received at least one dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period. The ITT1H population includes approximately 50% of patients in the ITT1 population who had the opportunity to reach week 24 by the time of the interim lock 1 (i.e., patients who were randomized in the selected risankizumab dose regimen group or ustekinumab group by the predefined enrolment cut-off date of January 5, 2022).

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Efficacy

Only those efficacy outcomes and subgroup analyses identified in the review protocol are reported as follows.

Clinical Remission
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

The coprimary and secondary clinical remission outcomes in the ITT1A population (primary analysis) for both trials and protocols are summarized in Table 18 and Table 21, respectively. In both trials, the coprimary outcome of clinical remission at week 12 for both the US and OUS protocols favoured risankizumab versus placebo. In the MOTIVATE study’s US protocol, the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab was 42.0% versus 19.8% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 22.1% (95% CI, 13.1% to 31.0%; P < 0.001). For the OUS protocol, the SF/APS clinical remission rate with risankizumab was 34.6% versus 19.3% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 15.2% (95% CI, 6.4% to 24.0%; P = 0.001). In the ADVANCE study’s US protocol, the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab was 45.2% versus 24.6% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 20.7% (95% CI, 12.4% to 29.0%; P < 0.001). For the OUS protocol, the SF/APS clinical remission rate with risankizumab was 43.5% versus 21.7% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 21.9% (95% CI, 13.8% to 29.9%; P < 0.001). In both trials and protocols, all secondary ranked multiplicity-controlled remission-related outcomes — including SF and APS remission at week 12, CDAI clinical remission at week 4, and SF/APS clinical remission at week 4 — favoured risankizumab versus placebo (Table 18).

The results of the bio-IR subgroup analyses for the coprimary outcome of clinical remission were compatible with the primary analysis, and similar between trials. In both trials, results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with the primary analysis.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance)

The coprimary and secondary clinical remission outcomes in the ITT1A population (i.e., primary analysis of patients who were clinical responders at the end of the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study) are summarized in Table 19 and Table 22, respectively. In both protocols, the coprimary outcome of clinical remission at week 52 favoured risankizumab versus placebo. For the US protocol, the CDAI clinical remission rate with risankizumab 360 mg SC was 52.2% versus 40.9% with placebo SC, with a between-group adjusted difference of 14.6% (95% CI, 4.3% to 25.0%; P = 0.005). For the OUS protocol, the SF/APS clinical remission rate was 51.8% versus 39.6%, respectively, with a between-group adjusted difference of 15.2% (95% CI, 4.9% to 25.4%; P = 0.004).

In both protocols, SF and APS remission, maintenance of SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission, SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission with endoscopic response, and SF/APS or CDAI deep remission favoured risankizumab versus placebo. The evidence was insufficient to show a between-group difference for CDAI or SF/APS clinical remission with discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days in patients taking steroids at the baseline of the induction study (Table 19). However, due to the adjusted treatment difference for the comparison of risankizumab 180 mg SC versus placebo SC for the coprimary outcome of SF/APS clinical remission (OUS protocol) not achieving statistical significance, the hierarchical testing strategy prevented formal statistical testing of the significance of all subsequent secondary outcomes, including all secondary clinical remission outcomes (i.e., the findings for these outcomes are at increased risk of being false positives). In the US protocol, with the exception of SF/APS clinical remission, the hierarchical testing strategy prevented formal statistical testing of the significance of all subsequent secondary outcomes.

The results of the bio-IR subgroup analyses for the coprimary outcome of clinical remission were consistent with the primary analysis. The results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with the primary analysis.

The SEQUENCE study, part 1 (induction and maintenance ongoing),|||| ||||||| ||||||| || |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || |||| || || ||| ||||| |||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||||| ||| ||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||||| || Table 20| || ||| ||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||||| || || ||| ||||| ||| ||||| |||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||| || ||| |||| | ||||||| ||||| |||||||| |||||||||| || ||||| |||| ||| |||| || ||||||| | ||||| ||| |||||||||| || ||| |||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||||| ||||||||||||| |||| | ||||||| ||||| |||||||| |||||||||| || ||||| |||| ||| |||| || |||||| | ||||| ||| |||||||||| ||| ||||| ||||| || ||| ||| || |||| |||||||||| ||| ||||||| |||| ||| |||||||||||||| |||||| || |||| || |||| ||| ||||| ||| |||| |||||||| ||||| |||||||||| |||||||||||||| ||||||| |||||| || |||||||| |||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||||||| || |||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||| || Table 23.

The results of the sensitivity analyses were consistent with the primary analysis.

Table 18: Coprimary Efficacy Outcomes, Clinical Remission — MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Induction Trials, ITT1A Population

Outcome

MOTIVATE trial

ADVANCE trial

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 191

Placebo

N = 187

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 336

Placebo

N = 175

CDAI clinical remission (US protocol) at week 12 (NRI-C)

N

191

187

336

175

n (%), (95% CI)a

80 (42.0),

(34.9 to 49.0)

37 (19.8),

(14.1 to 25.5)

152 (45.2),

(39.9 to 50.5)

43 (24.6),

(18.2 to 31.0)

Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI)b

22.1 (13.1 to 31.0)

Reference

20.7

(12.4 to 29.0)

Reference

P valuec

< 0.001

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR ≤ 1 prior biologics

   N

92

88

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)a

42 (45.7),

(35.5 to 55.8)

18 (20.5),

(12.0 to 28.9)

NA

NA

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

25.2 (12.0 to 38.4)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR > 1 prior biologics

   N

99

99

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)a

38 (38.5),

(28.9 to 48.1)

19 (19.2),

(11.4 to 26.9)

NA

NA

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

19.3 (7.0 to 31.7)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

195

97

   n (%), (95% CI)a

NA

NA

83 (42.5),

(35.5 to 49.4)

25 (25.8),

(17.1 to 34.5)

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

NA

NA

16.7

(5.5 to 27.8)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

141

78

   n (%), (95% CI)a

NA

NA

69 (48.9),

(40.7 to 57.2)

18 (23.1),

(13.8 to 32.5)

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

NA

NA

25.8

(13.3 to 38.3)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remission (OUS protocol)a at week 12 (NRI-C)

N

191

187

336

175

n (%), (95% CI)a

66 (34.6),

(27.8 to 41.3)

36 (19.3),

(13.6 to 24.9)

146 (43.5),

(38.2 to 48.8)

38 (21.7),

(15.6 to 27.8)

Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI)b

15.2 (6.4 to 24.0)

Reference

21.9 (13.8 to 29.9)

Reference

P valuec

0.001

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR ≤ 1 prior biologics

   N

92

88

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)a

37 (40.2),

(30.2 to 50.2)

19 (21.6),

(13.0 to 30.2)

NA

NA

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

18.6 (5.4 to 31.8)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR > 1 prior biologics

   N

99

99

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)a

29 (29.3),

(20.3 to 38.3)

17 (17.2),

(9.7 to 24.6)

NA

NA

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

12.1 (0.5 to 23.8)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

195

97

   n (%), (95% CI)a

NA

NA

79 (40.5),

(33.6 to 47.4)

22 (22.7),

(14.3 to 31.0)

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

NA

NA

17.8

(7.0 to 28.6)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

141

78

   n (%), (95% CI)a

NA

NA

67 (47.5),

(39.3 to 55.8)

16 (20.6),

(11.6 to 29.5)

   Between-group difference,

   % (95% CI)b

NA

NA

27.0

(14.8 to 39.2)

Reference

Bio-IR = inadequate response to biologic therapy; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; NA = not applicable; non-bio-IR = inadequate response or intolerance to conventional therapy; NRI-C = nonresponder imputation COVID-19; OUS = outside the US; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

aThe 95% CI for response rate is the synthetic result based on Student’s t-distribution procedure if there are missing data due to COVID-19 or based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

bThe 95% CI for risk difference or adjusted risk difference is based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test.

cAcross the strata, the 95% CI for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (number of biologics failed, baseline steroid use) for the comparison of the 2 treatment groups. Within each subgroup, 95% CIs for the differences are calculated using normal approximation to the binomial distribution. Testing was done according to the prespecified statistical hierarchy testing procedure.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Table 19: Coprimary Efficacy Outcomes, Clinical Remission — FORTIFY Maintenance Trial, ITT1A Population

Outcome

Risankizumab 360 mg SC

N = 141

Placeboa

N = 164

CDAI clinical remission (US protocol) at week 52 (NRI-C)

N

141

164

n (%), (95% CI)b

74 (52.2), (43.9 to 60.5)

67 (40.9), (33.3 to 48.4)

Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

14.6 (4.3 to 25.0)

Reference

P valued

0.005

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR

   N

102

123

   n (%), (95% CI)b

49 (47.6), (37.8 to 57.4)

43 (35.0), (26.5 to 43.4)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

12.7 (–0.2 to 25.6)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

39

41

   n (%), (95% CI)b

25 (64.1), (49.0 to 79.2)

24 (58.5), (43.5 to 73.6)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

5.6 (–15.7 to 26.9)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remission (OUS protocol)e at week 52 (NRI-C)

N

141

164

n (%), (95% CI)b

73 (51.8), (43.5 to 60.1)

65 (39.6), (32.1 to 47.1)

Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

15.2 (4.9 to 25.4)

Reference

P valued

0.004

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR

   N

102

123

   n (%), (95% CI)b

49 (48.1), (38.3 to 57.9)

42 (34.1), (25.8 to 42.5)

   Between-group difference, %, 95% CIc

14.0 (1.1 to 26.8)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

39

41

   n (%), (95% CI)b

24 (61.5), (46.3 to 76.8)

23 (56.1), (40.9 to 71.3)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

5.4 (–16.1 to 27.0)

Reference

Bio-IR = inadequate response to biologic therapy; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; non-bio-IR = inadequate response to conventional therapy; NRI = nonresponder imputation; NRI-C = nonresponder imputation COVID-19; OUS = outside the US; SC = subcutaneous; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

aThe withdrawal (placebo SC) group consisted of patients who achieved SF/APS clinical response to IV risankizumab induction therapy and were randomized to receive placebo in the maintenance study.

bThe 95% CI for response rate is the synthetic result based on Student's t-distribution if there are missing data due to COVID-19 or based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

cRisk difference equals risankizumab minus placebo. Adjusted risk difference is calculated based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test.

dFor the overall population, the 95% CI for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (endoscopic response at week 0 [yes or no], SF/APS clinical remission status at week 0 [yes or no], and last IV dose during risankizumab induction period for the comparison of 2 treatment groups). The calculations are based on NRI incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 or NRI only if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

eAccording to the prespecified graphical testing procedure for the US protocol, SF/APS clinical remission was the only secondary outcome that could be formally tested as a secondary outcome.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Table 20: Clinical Remission at Week 24 — SEQUENCE Study

Outcome

SEQUENCE study, part 1

Risankizumab 600 mg/360 mg

|||||||

Ustekinumab weight-based induction dose/90 mg SC |||||||

||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||| ||||| ||||||||||

Responder, n (%), (95% CI)a

|| |||||||||||| || |||||

|| |||||| |||||| || |||||

Response rate adjusted differenceb vs. ustekinumab, % (95% CI)c

|||| |||| || |||||

|||||||||

Nonresponder imputation–multiple imputation method, PP1H population

N

||

|||

Responder, n (%) (95% CI)a

|| |||||| |||||| || |||||

|| |||||| ||||||| |||||

Response rate adjusted differenceb vs. ustekinumab, % (95% CI)c

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||||

CI = confidence interval; PP1H = per protocol population; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

aThe 95% CI for response rate is based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.

bRate difference equals risankizumab minus ustekinumab. The adjusted risk difference is calculated based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test.

c|||||| ||| ||||||| ||| || ||| |||||||| |||||||||| || |||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||||||||||||||||||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||| ||||||| || ||||| ||| ||||||| |||||| ||||| |||||||| ||||||| || || | || ||| ||||||| ||| || ||||||||

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Clinical Response
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

The secondary outcome of clinical response in the ITT1A population (primary analysis) is summarized in Table 21. In both trials and protocols, all of the following secondary ranked multiplicity-controlled clinical response outcomes favoured risankizumab compared with placebo:

Results of the sensitivity analysis for all outcomes were consistent with the primary analysis.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

The secondary outcomes of CDAI clinical response (US and OUS protocols) and SF/APS enhanced clinical response (OUS protocol) at week 52 in the ITT1A population favoured risankizumab versus placebo (Table 22). However, the hierarchical testing strategy prevented formal statistical testing of the significance of these outcomes, and they can be considered to be at increased risk of type I error (false-positive conclusions).

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

||| ||||||||||| ||||||| || |||| |||||||| |||||||| || |||| || || ||| ||||| |||||||||| ||| ||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||| |||| ||||||||||| ||| |||| ||| ||| || |||||| (Table 23).

Symptoms
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

In both trials, the ranked multiplicity-adjusted secondary outcome FACIT-F scores (US and OUS protocols) at week 12 in the ITT1H population favoured risankizumab versus placebo (Table 26). In the MOTIVATE study, patients in the risankizumab group reported FACIT-F scores that were 2.8 points higher than placebo (95% CI, 0.4 points to 5.1 points; P = 0.02) and in the ADVANCE study, 5.2 points higher than placebo (95% CI, 3.2 points to 7.2 points; P < 0.001), which indicate less fatigue. In the ADVANCE study, patients in the risankizumab group also reported favourable FACIT-F scores at week 4. In the MOTIVATE trial, the evidence was insufficient to show a difference in FACIT-F scores.

In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, the exploratory outcome of the CSS score in the ITT1A population favoured risankizumab compared to placebo. In the MOTIVATE trial, the least squares mean (LSM) change from baseline at week 12 in the CSS score was –11.0 (standard error [SE] = 0.66) points in the risankizumab group, and –7.5 (SE = 0.70) points in the placebo group, with a between-group adjusted difference in LSM of –3.5 points (95% CI, –5.4 points to –1.6 points). In the ADVANCE trial, the LSM change from baseline at week 12 in CSS score was –11.5 (SE = 0.47) points in the risankizumab group, and –6.0 (SE = 0.69) points in the placebo group, with a between-group adjusted difference in LSM of –5.5 points (95% CI, –7.1 points to –3.9 points).

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

The evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab and placebo for ranked secondary outcome FACIT-F (US and OUS protocols) scores change from baseline induction at week 52 in the ITT1H population (Table 27).

Table 21: Secondary Clinical Outcomes — MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Induction Trials, ITT1A Population

Outcome

MOTIVATE trial

ADVANCE trial

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 191

Placebo

N = 187

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 336

Placebo

N = 175

SF remissiona at week 12b

n (%), (95% CI)

88 (46.1), (39.0 to 53.1)

53 (28.3),

(21.9 to 34.8)

182 (54.2),

(48.8 to 59.5)

52 (29.8),

(23.1 to 36.6)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

17.5 (8.0 to 26.9; < 0.001)

Reference

24.2

(15.7 to 32.7; < 0.001)

Reference

APS remissionc at week 12b

n (%), (95% CI)

111 (58.1), (51.1 to 65.1)

68 (36.4),

(29.5 to 43.3)

200 (59.6),

(54.3 to 64.8)

67 (38.5),

(31.2 to 45.7)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

21.8 (12.1 to 31.6; < 0.001)

Reference

21.2 (12.4 to 30.0; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI clinical remissiond at week 4b

n (%), (95% CI)

40 (20.9), (15.2 to 26.7)

21 (11.2), (6.7 to 15.8)

62 (18.4), (14.3 to 22.6)

18 (10.3),

(5.8 to 14.8)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

9.6 (2.3 to 16.9; 0.01)

Reference

7.6 (1.5 to 13.7; 0.015)

Reference

CDAI clinical responsee at week 4b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

70 (36.6), (29.8 to 43.5)

39 (20.9), (15.0 to 26.7)

137 (40.8), (35.5 to 46.0)

44 (25.2), (18.7 to 31.6)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

15.7 (6.8 to 24.6; 0.001)

Reference

15.4 (7.2 to 23.7; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI clinical responsee at week 12b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

114 (59.5), (52.5 to 66.5)

56 (30.0),

(23.4 to 36.6)

201 (59.7),

(54.5 to 65.0)

64 (36.7),

(29.6 to 43.9)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

29.4 (19.9 to 39.0; < 0.001)

Reference

23.1

(14.2 to 31.9; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remissiong at week 4f

n (%), (95% CI)

33 (17.3), (11.9 to 22.6)

15 (8.0), (4.1 to 11.9)

71 (21.0),

(16.6 to 25.3)

16 (9.1),

(4.9 to 13.4)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

9.2 (2.6 to 15.7; 0.006)

Reference

11.5 (5.4 to 17.5; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS enhanced clinical responseh at week 4b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

86 (45.0), (38.0 to 52.1)

59 (31.6), (24.9 to 38.2)

155 (46.0), (40.7 to 51.3)

54 (31.0), (24.1 to 37.9)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

13.6 (4.0 to 23.3; 0.006)

Reference

14.9 (6.2 to 23.5; 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS enhanced clinical responseh at week 12b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

118 (61.8), (54.9 to 68.7)

73 (39.1),

(32.1 to 46.1)

211 (62.8),

(57.6 to 68.0)

73 (41.9),

(34.6 to 49.3)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

22.8 (13.0 to 32.5; < 0.001)

Reference

21.0 (12.2 to 29.9; < 0.001)

Reference

Endoscopic remissioni at week 12b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

37 (19.4), (13.8 to 25.1)

8 (4.3), (1.4 to 7.2)

81 (24.2), (19.6 to 28.7)

16 (9.1), (4.9 to 13.4)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

15.0 (8.9 to 21.2; < 0.001)

Reference

15.1 (9.0 to 21.2; < 0.001)

Reference

Ulcer-free endoscopyj at week 12b, f

n (%), (95% CI)

26 (13.8), (8.9 to 18.7)

8 (4.3), (1.4 to 7.2)

71 (21.0),

(16.6 to 25.4)

13 (7.6),

(3.6 to 11.5)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

9.4 (3.8 to 15.1; 0.001)

Reference

13.7

(7.9 to 19.5; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI clinical responsee and endoscopic responsek at week 12b

n (%), (95% CI)

39 (20.5), (14.7 to 26.2)

10 (5.3), (2.1 to 8.6)

101 (30.0), (25.1 to 34.9)

10 (5.7), (2.3 to 9.2)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

15.0 (8.5 to 21.5; < 0.001)

Reference

24.5 (18.5 to 30.5; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS enhanced clinical responseh and endoscopic responsek at week 12f

n (%), (95% CI)

40 (21.0), (15.2 to 26.8)

13 (7.0), (3.3 to 10.6)

104 (30.9),

(25.9 to 35.8)

14 (8.0),

(4.0 to 12.0)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

13.9 (7.1 to 20.7; < 0.001)

Reference

23.2 (16.8 to 29.6; < 0.001)

Reference

APS = abdominal pain score; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; OUS = outside the US; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

aSF remission was defined as average daily SF of 2.8 or less and not worse than baseline.

bUS analysis plan: Efficacy analyses included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period and had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

cAPS remission was defined as an average daily APS of 1 or less and not worse than baseline.

dCDAI clinical remission was defined as CDAI of less than 150.

eCDAI clinical response was defined as a reduction of CDAI of 100 points or greater from baseline.

fOUS analysis plan: Efficacy analyses included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period and had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

gSF/APS clinical remission was defined as average daily SF of 2.8 or less and not worse than baseline and an average daily APS of 1 or less and not worse than baseline.

hSF/APS enhanced clinical response was defined as a 60% or greater decrease in average daily SF and/or a 35% or greater decrease in average daily APS and both not worse than baseline, and/or clinical remission.

IEndoscopic remission was defined as an SES-CD score of 4 or less and at least a 2-point reduction versus baseline with no subscore greater than 1 in any individual variable, as scored by a central reviewer.

jUlcer-free endoscopy was defined as an SES-CD ulcerated surface subscore of 0 in patients with an SES-CD ulcerated surface subscore of 1 or more at baseline, as scored by a central reviewer.

kEndoscopic response was defined as a decrease in the SES-CD score of greater than 50% from baseline (or for patients with isolated ileal disease and a baseline SES-CD score of 4, at least a 2-point reduction from baseline), as scored by a central reviewer.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Table 22: Secondary Clinical Outcomes — FORTIFY Maintenance Trial, ITT1A Population

Outcome

Risankizumab

360 mg SC

N = 141

Placebo SC

N = 164

SF remissiona at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

80 (57.0), (48.8 to 65.1)

73 (44.5), (36.9 to 52.1)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

15.0 (4.8 to 25.3; 0.004)

Reference

APS remissionb at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

80 (56.5), (48.3 to 64.7)

76 (46.3), (38.7 to 54.0)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

13.2 (2.6 to 23.8; 0.014)

Reference

CDAI clinical responsec at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

87 (61.6), (53.5 to 69.6)

79 (48.2), (40.5 to 55.8)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

16.2 (5.7 to 26.6; 0.002)

Reference

SF/APS enhanced clinical responsed at week 52e

n (%), (95% CI)

82 (58.2), (50.0 to 66.3)

81 (49.4), (41.7 to 57.0)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

11.3 (0.7 to 21.9; 0.036)

Reference

Maintenance of SF/APS clinical remissionf at week 52

N

72

91

n (%), (95% CI)

50 (69.2), (58.4 to 79.9)

46 (50.5), (40.3 to 60.8)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

21.0 (6.5 to 35.5; 0.005)

Reference

Maintenance of CDAI clinical remissionf at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

56 (68.6), (58.4 to 78.8)

54 (56.3), (46.3 to 66.2)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

14.3 (0.5 to 28.1; 0.043)

Reference

Ulcer-free endoscopyg at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

43 (30.5), (22.9 to 38.2)

17 (10.5), (5.8 to 15.2)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

22.0 (14.3 to 29.7; < 0.001)

Reference

Endoscopic remissionh at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

55 (39.1), (31.0 to 47.1)

21 (12.8), (7.7 to 17.9)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

28.5 (19.9 to 37.0; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI clinical remissioni and endoscopic response at week 52j

n (%), (95% CI)

51 (35.8), (27.9 to 43.8)

26 (15.9), (10.3 to 21.4)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

23.1 (14.3 to 31.9; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS clinical remissionk and endoscopic responsel at week 52

n (%), (95% CI)

49 (35.1), (27.2 to 43.0)

27 (16.5), (10.8 to 22.1)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

21.6 (12.8 to 30.4; < 0.001)

Reference

CDAI deep remissionm at week 52j

n (%), (95% CI)

41 (29.1), (21.6 to 36.7)

17 (10.4), (5.7 to 15.0)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

21.2 (13.1 to 29.4; < 0.001)

Reference

SF/APS deep remissionn at week 52e

n (%), (95% CI)

39 (27.7), (20.3 to 35.1)

16 (9.8), (5.2 to 14.3)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

20.2 (12.3 to 28.2; < 0.001)

Reference

Discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days and achievement of CDAI clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at baseline of induction study

N

42

51

n (%), (95% CI)

11 (25.6), (12.2 to 38.9)

12 (23.5), (11.9 to 35.2)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

3.0 (–10.3 to 16.4; 0.655)

Reference

Discontinuation of corticosteroid use for 90 days and achievement of SF/APS clinical remission at week 52 in patients taking steroids at baseline of induction study

N

42

51

n (%), (95% CI)

14 (34.0), (19.5 to 48.4)

12 (23.5), (11.9 to 35.2)

Adjusted difference in % (95% CI; P value)

10.4 (–3.3 to 26.1; 0.130)

Reference

AP = abdominal pain; APS = abdominal pain score; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; OUS = outside the US; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF = stool frequency; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

Adjusted treatment difference, 95% CI and P values for comparison of binary end points between risankizumab and placebo were calculated using the Cochran Mantel Haenszel test adjusted for randomization stratification factors (endoscopic response at week 0 [yes or no], clinical remission status at week 0 [yes or no], and by last IV dose during risankizumab induction periods [600 mg]).

aSF remission was defined as average daily SF of 2.8 or less and not worse than baseline.

bAP remission was defined as an average daily APS of 1 or less and not worse than baseline.

cCDAI clinical response was defined as a reduction of CDAI score of 100 points or more from baseline.

dEnhanced clinical response was defined as a 60% or greater decrease in average daily SF and/or a 35% or greater decrease in the average daily APS and both not worse than baseline, and/or clinical remission.

eOUS analysis plan: Efficacy analyses included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period and had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

fMaintenance of clinical remission was defined as clinical remission at week 52 in patients with clinical remission at week 0.

gUlcer-free endoscopy was defined as an SES-CD ulcerated surface subscore of 0 in patients with an SES-CD ulcerated surface subscore of 1 or more at baseline, as scored by a central reviewer.

hEndoscopic remission was defined as an SES-CD score of 4 or less and at least a 2-point reduction versus baseline with no subscore greater than 1 in any individual variable, as scored by a central reviewer.

ICDAI clinical remission was defined as a CDAI score of less than 150.

jUS analysis plan: Efficacy analyses included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period and had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

kSF/APS clinical remission was defined as average daily SF of 2.8 or less and not worse than baseline of the induction study and an average daily APS of 1 or less and not worse than baseline of the induction study.

lEndoscopic response was defined as a decrease in the SES-CD score of greater than 50% from baseline (or for patients with isolated ileal disease and a baseline SES-CD score of 4, at least a 2-point reduction from baseline), as scored by a central reviewer.

mThis consisted of CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic remission.

nThis consisted of SF/APS clinical remission and endoscopic remission.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Table 23: Exploratory Outcomes — SEQUENCE Study, ITT1H Population

Outcomea

SEQUENCE study, part 1

Risankizumab 600 mg IV/360 mg SC

|||||||

Ustekinumab weight-based induction dose/90 mg SC

|||||||

CDAI clinical response at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| |||| || |||||| |||||

|||||||||

SF/APS clinical remission at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| |||| || |||||| |||||

|||||||||

Endoscopic remission at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| |||| || ||||

|||||||||

Mucosal healing at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

|| ||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| |||| || |||||| |||||

|||||||||

Deep remission at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

|| ||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| |||| || |||||| |||||

|||||||||

Biologic remission at week 24

N

|||

|||

n (%), (95% CI)

|| |||||||||| || ||||

|| |||||||||||| || ||||

Adjusted difference in %

(95% CI; P value)b

|||| ||||| || ||||||||||

|||||||||

IBDQ total score change from baseline at week 24

N

|||

|||

Mean baseline (95% CI)

|||||| |||

|||||||||

Mean at week 24 (95% CI)

|||||||||

|||||||||

Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)

||||||||| || ||||

|||||||||

P valueb

| |||||

||||||||||

SF-36 physical component summary score change from baseline at week 24

N

|||

|||

Mean baseline (95% CI)

||||||||

||||||||

Mean at week 24 (95% CI)

||||||||

||||||||

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)

|||||||| || |||

|||||||||

P valueb

| |||||

|||||||||

SF-36 mental component summary score change at week 24

N

|||

|||

Mean baseline (95% CI)

||||||||

||||||||

Mean at week 24 (95% CI)

||||||||

||||||||

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)

||||||||| || |||

|||||||||

P valueb

| |||||

|||||||||

APS = abdominal pain score; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CI = confidence interval; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; ITT1H = intention-to-treat population; LSM = least squares mean; NR = not reported; SC = subcutaneous; SF = stool frequency; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

a||| |||||||| || |||| ||||| |||| ||||||||||| || |||| |||

b|||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| |||| ||| ||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||| |||| ||| |||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||

Source: SEQUENCE Clinical Study Report.31

Mucosal Healing and Endoscopic Response
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

The coprimary outcome of endoscopic response and the secondary outcomes of endoscopic remission and ulcer-free endoscopy in the ITT1A population are summarized in Table 24 and Table 21, respectively. In both trials, the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response at week 12 favoured risankizumab versus placebo. In the MOTIVATE study, the endoscopic response rate with risankizumab was 28.8% versus 11.2% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 17.7% (95% CI, 9.9% to 25.4%; P < 0.001). In the ADVANCE study, the endoscopic response rate with risankizumab was 40.3% versus 12.0% with placebo, with a between-group adjusted difference of 28.3% (95% CI, 21.2% to 35.4%; P < 0.001). In both trials, the secondary ranked multiplicity-controlled outcomes of endoscopic remission and ulcer-free endoscopy at week 12 favoured risankizumab compared with placebo (Table 24).

The results of subgroup analyses for the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response by bio-IR status was consistent with the primary analysis, and similar across trials. In both trials, results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with the primary analysis.

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance Study)

The coprimary outcome of endoscopic response and the secondary outcomes of ulcer-free endoscopy and endoscopic remission in the ITT1A population are summarized in Table 25 and Table 22, respectively. At week 52, the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response in the risankizumab 360 mg SC group was 46.5% and 22.0% in the withdrawal placebo SC group, with a between-group adjusted difference of 27.8% (95% CI, 18.7% to 37.0%; P < 0.001). The ranked secondary outcomes of ulcer-free endoscopy and endoscopic remission also favoured risankizumab versus placebo (Table 25). However, the hierarchical testing strategy prevented formal statistical testing of all secondary outcomes.

The results of the bio-IR subgroup analysis for the coprimary outcome of endoscopic response were compatible with the primary analysis. In both trials, results of the sensitivity analysis were consistent with the primary analysis.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

The exploratory outcomes of endoscopic remission and mucosal healing in the ITT1H population are summarized in Table 23. || |||| ||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||| ||||| || |||||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| ||||| || |||||| ||| ||||||| |||||||.

Table 24: Endoscopic Response — MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Induction Trials, ITT1A Population

Outcome

MOTIVATE trial

ADVANCE trial

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 191

Placebo IV

N = 187

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 336

Placebo IV

N = 175

Endoscopic responsea at week 12 (NRI-C)

N

191

187

336

175

n (%), (95% CI)b

55 (28.8),

(22.4 to 35.3)

21 (11.2),

(6.7 to 15.8)

135 (40.3),

(35.0 to 45.6)

21 (12.0),

(7.2 to 16.8)

Adjusted between-group difference,

% (95% CI)c

17.7

(9.9 to 25.4)

Reference

28.3

(21.2 to 35.4)

Reference

P valued

< 0.001

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR ≤ 1 prior biologics

   N

92

88

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)b

33 (36.0),

(26.1 to 45.8)

14 (15.9),

(8.3 to 23.6)

NA

NA

   Adjusted between-group difference, %

   (95% CI)c

20.1 (7.6 to 32.5)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR > 1 prior biologics

   N

99

99

NA

NA

   n (%), (95% CI)b

22 (22.2),

(14.0 to 30.4)

7 (7.1),

(2.0 to 12.1)

NA

NA

   Adjusted between-group difference, %

   (95% CI)c

15.2 (5.5 to 24.8)

Reference

NA

NA

Bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

195

97

   n (%), (95% CI)b

NA

NA

64 (32.9),

(26.2 to 39.5)

11 (11.4),

(5.0 to 17.7)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

NA

NA

21.5

(12.3 to 30.7)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

NA

NA

141

78

   n (%), (95% CI)b

NA

NA

71 (50.5),

(42.2 to 58.8)

10 (12.8),

(5.4 to 20.2)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

NA

NA

37.7

(26.5 to 48.8)

Reference

Bio-IR = inadequate response to biologic therapy; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; NA = not applicable; non-bio-IR = inadequate response to conventional therapy; NRI-C = nonresponder imputation COVID-19; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease.

aEndoscopic response is defined as a decrease in the SES-CD score of greater than 50% from baseline (or for patients with isolated ileal disease and a baseline SES-CD score of 4, at least a 2-point reduction from baseline), as scored by a central reviewer.

bThe 95% CI for response rate is the synthetic result based on Student’s t-distribution procedure if there are missing data due to COVID-19 or is based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

cThe 95% CI for risk difference or adjusted risk difference based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test.

dAcross the strata, the 95% CI for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (number of biologics failed, baseline steroid use) for the comparison of the 2 treatment groups. Within each subgroup, 95% CIs for the difference are calculated using normal approximation to the binomial distribution. Testing was done according to the prespecified statistical hierarchy testing procedure.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Table 25: Endoscopic Response — FORTIFY Maintenance Trial, ITT1A Population

Endoscopic response at week 52 (NRI-C)

Risankizumab

360 mg SC (N = 141)

Placeboa

N = 164

N

141

164

n (%), (95% CI)b

66 (46.5), (38.3 to 54.8)

36 (22.0), (15.6 to 28.3)

Adjusted between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

27.8 (18.7 to 37.0)

Reference

P valued

< 0.001

Reference

Bio-IR status subgroups

Bio-IR

   N

102

123

   n (%), (95% CI)b

45 (43.7), (34.1 to 53.4)

25 (20.3), (13.2 to 27.4)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

23.4 (11.4 to 35.4)

Reference

Non-bio-IR

   N

39

41

   n (%), (95% CI)b

21 (53.8), (38.2 to 69.5)

11 (26.8), (13.3 to 40.4)

   Between-group difference, % (95% CI)c

27.0 (6.3 to 47.7)

Reference

Bio-IR = inadequate response to biologic therapy; CI = confidence interval; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; non-bio-IR = inadequate response to conventional therapy; NRI = nonresponder imputation; NRI-C = nonresponder imputation COVID-19; SD = standard deviation; SF/APS = stool frequency and abdominal pain score.

aThe withdrawal (placebo SC) group consisted of patients who achieved SF/APS clinical response to IV risankizumab induction therapy and were randomized to receive placebo in the maintenance study.

bThe 95% CI for response rate is the synthetic result based on Student's t-distribution if there are missing data due to COVID-19 or based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

cRisk difference equals risankizumab minus placebo. Adjusted risk difference is calculated based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test.

dFor overall population, the 95% CI for adjusted difference and P value are calculated according to the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test adjusted for strata (endoscopic response at week 0 [yes or no], SF/APS clinical remission status at week 0 [yes or no], and last IV dose during the risankizumab induction period for the comparison of 2 treatment groups). The calculations are based on NRI incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 or NRI only if there are no missing data due to COVID-19.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

HRQoL
MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

In both trials, scores for ranked multiplicity-adjusted secondary outcomes IBDQ (OUS protocol) and SF-36 PCS (OUS) at week 12 in the ITT1A population favoured risankizumab versus placebo (Table 26). The IBDQ total score in the MOTIVATE study was 12.4 points higher with risankizumab than placebo (95% CI, 5.0 points to 19.8 points; P = 0.001) and in the ADVANCE study, 20.7 points higher with risankizumab than placebo (95% CI, 14.3 points to 27.1 points; P < 0.001), which indicate better HRQoL. The SF-36 PCS score in the MOTIVATE study was 2.22 points higher with risankizumab than placebo (95% CI, 0.58 points to 3.87 points; P = 0.008) and in the ADVANCE study, 2.91 points higher with risankizumab than placebo (95% CI, 1.51 points to 4.31 points; P < 0.001), which indicate better physical health status. In the ADVANCE trial, patients in the risankizumab group also reported favourable HRQoL outcomes at week 4. In the MOTIVATE trial, IBDQ and SF-36 PCS favoured risankizumab versus placebo at week 4. In both trials, results of the SF-36 MCS score at week 12 favoured risankizumab versus placebo; however, it was not adjusted for multiplicity. In both trials, the exploratory outcome EQ-5D-5L score also favoured risankizumab (Table 26).

FORTIFY Substudy 1 (Maintenance)

The evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab and placebo for ranked secondary outcomes IBDQ (OUS protocol), FACIT-F (US and OUS protocols), and SF-36 PCS (OUS) scores change from baseline induction at week 52 in the ITT1H population (Table 27). For the exploratory outcome EQ-5D-5L score, the evidence was insufficient to show a difference between groups.

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

The exploratory outcomes of IBDQ total score and SF-36 PCS and MCS scores in the ITT1H population are summarized in Table 23. At week 24, ||| |||| |||| ||||| ||||| |||| |||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||| ||| ||||| |||| |||||||||||| || |||| ||| ||| |||| ||||| ||| ||| |||||| |||||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| |||||||||||| ||||| ||| |||| ||| |||| |||||| |||| ||| |||| || ||| ||||||||||| |||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||||| ||| |||| |||||| |||| ||| ||||||||.

Table 26: Secondary and Exploratory Symptom and HRQoL Outcomes — MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Induction Trials, ITT1A Population

Outcome

MOTIVATE triala

ADVANCE triala

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 191

Placebo

N = 187

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

N = 336

Placebo

N = 175

FACIT-F score change from baseline at week 12

N

168

144

302

134

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

23.4 (NR)

22.2 (NR)

24.0 (NR)

25.3 (NR)

Mean at week 12 (95% CI)

33.8 (NR)

31.0 (NR)

36.0 (NR)

32.2 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

2.8 (0.4 to 5.1)

Reference

5.2 (3.2 to 7.2)

Reference

P valuec

0.020

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

FACIT-F score change from baseline at week 4

N

182

172

324

159

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

23.5 (NR)

21.5 (NR)

24.3 (NR)

25.9 (NR)

Mean at week 4 (95% CI)

29.1 (NR)

26.4 (NR)

31.3 (NR)

30.1 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

1.5 (–0.6 to 3.6)

Reference

2.1 (0.4 to 3.9)

Reference

P valued

0.168

Reference

0.018

Reference

IBDQ total score change from baseline at week 12

N

168

144

302

134

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

119.9 (NR)

119.1 (NR)

119.3 (NR)

122.6 (NR)

Mean at week 12 (95% CI)

159.2 (NR)

149.0 (NR)

165.8 (NR)

150.0 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

12.4 (5.0 to 19.8)

Reference

20.7 (14.3 to 27.1)

Reference

P valuec

0.001

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

IBDQ total score change from baseline at week 4

N

182

172

324

159

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

119.5 (NR)

116.3 (NR)

119.8 (NR)

123.4 (NR)

Mean at week 4 (95% CI)

145.2 (NR)

133.7 (NR)

149.4 (NR)

140.8 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

9.5 (3.8 to 15.2)

Reference

11.0 (5.8 to 16.2)

Reference

P valued

0.001

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

SF-36 physical component summary score change from baseline at week 12

N

167

142

302

134

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

37.9 (NR)

37.6 (NR)

38.3 (NR)

38.8 (NR)

Mean at week 12 (95% CI)

45.4 (NR)

3.43 (NR)

46.9 (NR)

44.5 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

2.22 (0.58 to 3.87)

Reference

2.91 (1.51 to 4.31)

Reference

P valuec

0.008

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

SF-36 physical component summary score change from baseline at week 4

N

181

171

324

159

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

38.0 (NR)

37.3 (NR)

38.3 (NR)

39.0 (NR)

Mean at week 4 (95% CI)

42.3 (NR)

40.3 (NR)

42.9 (NR)

42.0 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)b

1.60 (0.30 to 2.90)

Reference

1.23 (0.12 to 2.35)

Reference

P valued

0.016

Reference

0.030

Reference

SF-36 mental component summary score change from baseline at week 12

N

167

142

302

134

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

38.6 (NR)

38.9 (NR)

38.7 (NR)

40.5 (NR)

Mean at week 12 (95% CI)

45.7 (NR)

44.3 (NR)

46.5 (NR)

43.7 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

2.14 (0.074 to 4.20)

Reference

4.57 (2.76 to 6.39)

Reference

P valued

0.042

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

SF-36 mental component summary score change from baseline at week 4

N

181

171

324

159

Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

38.5 (NR)

38.0 (NR)

38.8 (NR)

40.5 (NR)

Mean at week 4 (95% CI)

41.8 (NR)

40.2 (NR)

43.3 (NR)

41.9 (NR)

Adjusted between-group difference,

LSM (95% CI)b

1.30 (–0.36 to 2.97)

Reference

2.54 (1.04 to 4.05)

Reference

P valued

0.125

Reference

0.001

Reference

Exploratory outcome

EQ-5D-5L score change from baseline at week 12

   N

168

144

303

134

   Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

0.60 (NR)

0.59 (NR)

0.60 (NR)

0.62 (NR)

   Mean at week 12 (95% CI)

0.74 (NR)

0.70 (NR)

0.77 (NR)

0.70 (NR)

   Adjusted between-group difference,

   LSM (95% CI)b

0.05

(0.003 to 0.092)

Reference

0.092

(0.055 to 0.128)

Reference

   P valued

0.038

Reference

< 0.001

Reference

CI = confidence interval; EQ-5D-5L = 5-Level EQ-5D; FACIT-F = Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; LSM = least squares mean; MMRM = mixed model of repeated measures; NR = not reported; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey.

aThe ITT1A population includes randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of study drug during the 12-week induction period and had a baseline-eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease).

bThe analysis was conducted using an MMRM with the categorical fixed effects of treatment, visit, and treatment-by-visit interaction, stratification factors (number of prior biologics failed [≤ 1, > 1] and baseline steroid use [yes, no]), and the continuous fixed covariates of baseline measurements included in the model. An unstructured covariance matrix was used.

cThis is in accordance with the hierarchal testing procedure.

dThis outcome was not included in the statistical testing hierarchy.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Table 27: Secondary and Exploratory HRQoL Outcomes — FORTIFY Maintenance Trial, ITT1A Populationa

Outcome

Risankizumab

360 mg SC (N = 141)

Placebo

(N = 164)

Secondary outcomes

IBDQ total score change from baseline induction at week 52

   N

104

93

   Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

128.0 (NR)

118.7 (NR)

   Mean at 52 weeks (95% CI)

188.1 (NR)

178.1 (NR)

   Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)b

5.8 (–1.2 to 12.8)

Reference

   P valueb,c

0.105

Reference

FACIT-F score change from baseline induction at week 52

   N

104

93

   Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

27.0 (NR)

23.3 (NR)

   Mean at 52 weeks (95% CI)

40.8 (NR)

39.2 (NR)

   Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)b

0.4 (–1.9 to 2.7)

Reference

   P valueb,c

0.703

Reference

SF-36 physical component summary score change from induction baseline at week 52

   N

103

92

   Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

40.0 (NR)

38.7 (NR)

   Mean at 52 weeks (95% CI)

51.3 (NR)

50.1 (NR)

   Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)b

0.6 (–1.1 to 2.3)

Reference

   P valueb,c

0.470

Reference

Exploratory outcome

EQ-5D-5L score change from induction baseline at week 52

   N

104

93

   Mean baseline at induction (95% CI)

0.6 (NR)

0.6 (NR)

   Mean at 52 weeks (95% CI)

0.9 (NR)

0.8 (NR)

   Adjusted between-group difference, LSM (95% CI)b

0.0 (–0.0 to 0.1)

Reference

   P valueb,c

0.062

Reference

ANCOVA = analysis of covariance; CI = confidence interval; EQ-5D-5L = 5-Level EQ-5D; FACIT-F = Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; IBDQ = Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; ITT1A = intention-to-treat population, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies; LSM = least squares mean; NR = not reported; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey.

aThe ITT1A population includes the randomized patients in the intention-to-treat population who received IV risankizumab for only 1 period of 12 weeks in the induction study MOTIVATE or ADVANCE and at least 1 dose of study drug in the FORTIFY substudy 1, and had an eligible SES-CD score of 6 or more (≥ 4 for isolated ileal disease) at the baseline of the induction study.

bThe 95% CI for LSM in treatment difference and P value are calculated according to the ANCOVA model with strata (endoscopic response at week 0 [yes or no], clinical remission status at week 0 [yes or no] and last IV dose during risankizumab induction periods [600 mg]) and induction baseline score and week 0 maintenance score as covariates for the comparison of 2 treatment groups.

cThis outcome was not included in the statistical testing hierarchy.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Harms

Only those harms identified in the review protocol are reported as follows. The key harms results in the SA1 safety population for all trials are summarized in Table 28.

MOTIVATE and ADVANCE (Induction Studies)

In the MOTIVATE study, the proportion of patients experiencing at least 1 TEAE was higher in the placebo group (66.2%) than the risankizumab group (47.6%); this was primarily attributable to a higher incidence of worsening CD in the placebo group (15.9%) compared to the risankizumab group (3.9%). Similar trends were observed for SAEs (placebo = 12.6%; risankizumab = 4.9%) and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation (placebo = 8.2%; risankizumab = 1.0%). The most frequently reported SAE in the placebo group was worsening CD (9.7% versus 0.5% in the risankizumab group) and anemia in the risankizumab group (1.0% versus 0% in the placebo group). In the ADVANCE trial, TEAEs occurred with similar frequency in both treatment groups (placebo = 56.5%; risankizumab = 56.3%), while SAEs and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation occurred with higher frequency in the placebo group (15.1% and 7.5%, respectively) than in the risankizumab group (7.1% and 2.4%, respectively). The most frequently reported SAE in both groups was worsening CD (placebo = 8.1%; risankizumab = 1.3%).

In the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies, the most common TEAEs with risankizumab (≥ 2% of patients) during the 12-week induction period were headache (MOTIVATE study = 5.3% in both groups; ADVANCE study = 6.4% with risankizumab versus 4.3% with placebo), arthralgia (MOTIVATE study = 3.9% with risankizumab versus 4.3% with placebo; ADVANCE study = 4.0% with risankizumab versus 3.8% with placebo), and nasopharyngitis (MOTIVATE study = 3.9% with risankizumab versus 5.3% with placebo; ADVANCE study = 5.9% with risankizumab versus 2.7% with placebo), whereas the most frequently reported TEAE with placebo was worsening CD (MOTIVATE study = 15.9% with placebo versus 3.9% with risankizumab; ADVANCE study = 13.4% with placebo versus 2.7% with risankizumab), headache, and arthralgia. In both trials, the most frequently reported TEAE leading to study drug discontinuation was worsening CD, which was more common with placebo and infrequent with risankizumab (MOTIVATE study = 6.3% versus 0.5%, respectively; ADVANCE study = 3.8% versus 0.5%, respectively). Two deaths were reported, both of which occurred in the ADVANCE placebo group.

In general, the incidence of notable harms in both treatment groups across the 2 trials was similarly low.

FORTIFY (Maintenance Study)

In the 52-week maintenance trial, the proportion of patients experiencing at least 1 TEAE was similar between the risankizumab (72.1%) and placebo withdrawal (73.4%) groups. The most common TEAEs with risankizumab (≥ 2% of patients) and placebo were worsening CD, nasopharyngitis, and arthralgia. Worsening CD was reported by 11.7% of patients and 17.4% of patients in the risankizumab and placebo groups, respectively. Similar proportions of patients experienced SAEs (placebo group = 12.5%; risankizumab group = 13.4%) and AEs leading to discontinuation of the study drug (placebo group = 3.3%; risankizumab group = 3.4%) across the treatment groups. The most frequently reported SAE in the risankizumab and placebo groups was worsening CD (2.1% and 2.2%, respectively). The event reported in more than 1 patient in both treatment groups leading to discontinuation of the study drug was worsening CD: 1.1% in the risankizumab group and 1.6% in the placebo group. There were no deaths reported.

The rates of notable harms in both treatment groups were generally comparable and similarly low. The 2 notable harms experienced by the highest proportion of patients in each group were hypersensitivity, of which most were injection-site reactions (risankizumab group = 6.1%; placebo group = 4.9%), and serious infections (risankizumab group = 4.5%; placebo group = 3.8%).

SEQUENCE Study, Part 1 (Induction and Maintenance Ongoing)

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Critical Appraisal

Internal Validity

The MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies were phase III, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicentre trials. The risk of bias arising from the randomization was low in all 3 trials. A stratified computerized randomizations scheme was used, and the allocation was concealment via the use of interactive response technology. In general, baseline characteristics of patients appeared balanced between trial groups across studies, indicating that randomization was successful.

There are some concerns related to risk of bias due to deviation from the intended interventions. In the MOTIVATE study, adherence to the intended interventions was high (at least 98%). Overall, protocol deviations occurred in 12% of patients, were balanced across the treatment groups, and seemed unlikely to have arisen due to trial context. Excluded concomitant treatments were received by few (4%) patients (this was slightly higher in the placebo group). This risk of bias due to deviation from the intended interventions was similar in the ADVANCE and FORTIFY studies. The analysis for all trials was based on the ITT1A population, which included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug. As this is not a true ITT population, some concerns for bias were introduced in the ADVANCE and MOTIVATE trials (about 10% of patients were not included), and a high risk of potential bias may have been present for the FORTIFY trial (21% of the risankizumab group and 11% of the placebo group were not included). It is not clear whether those who were excluded from the analysis were different in an important way from those included; therefore, the magnitude and direction of the potential bias cannot be predicted.

Table 28: Summary of Harms — Induction and Maintenance Trials, SA1 Population

Characteristic

MOTIVATE induction trial

(SA1 population)a

ADVANCE induction trial

(SA1 population)a

FORTIFY maintenance trial

(SA1 population)b

SEQUENCE trial, part 1

(SA1 population)c

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 206)

Placebo

(N = 207)

Risankizumab

600 mg IV

(N = 373)

Placebo

(N = 186)

Risankizumab

360 mg SC

(N = 179)

Placebo

(N = 184)

Risankizumab

600 mg IV/360 mg SC |||||||

Ustekinumab weight-based induction dose/90 mg SC

|||||||

Patients with ≥ 1 TEAE

n (%)

98 (47.6)

137 (66.2)

210 (56.3)

105 (56.5)

129 (72.1)

135 (73.4)

||| ||||||

|| ||||||

Most common TEAE,d n (%)

   Headache

11 (5.3)

11 (5.3)

24 (6.4)

8 (4.3)

11 (6.1)

11 (6.0)

| |||||

| |||||

   Arthralgia

8 (3.9)

9 (4.3)

15 (4.0)

7 (3.8)

17 (9.5)

20 (10.9)

| |||||

|| |||||

   Nasopharyngitis

8 (3.9)

11 (5.3)

22 (5.9)

5 (2.7)

17 (9.5)

25 (13.6)

| |||||

| |||||

   Crohn disease

8 (3.9)

33 (15.9)

10 (2.7)

25 (13.4)

21 (11.7)

32 (17.4)

| |||||

|| |||||

   Anemia

5 (2.4)

11 (5.3)

11 (2.9)

6 (3.2)

8 (4.5)

8 (4.3)

| |||||

| |||||

   Fatigue

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

16 (4.3)

6 (3.2)

5 (2.8)

4 (2.2)

| |||||

| |||||

   Nausea

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

17 (4.6)

10 (5.4)

4 (2.2)

13 (7.1)

| |||||

| |||||

   Pyrexia

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

14 (3.8)

6 (3.2)

8 (4.5)

6 (3.3)

| |||||

| |||||

   URTI

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

11 (2.9)

2 (1.1)

3 (1.7)

7 (3.8)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Dizziness

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

9 (2.4)

2 (1.1)

(< 2.0%)

(< 2.0%)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Abdominal pain

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

8 (2.1)

10 (5.4)

9 (5.0)

13 (7.1)

| |||||

| |||||

   Rash

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

12 (3.2)

2 (1.1)

(< 2.0%)

(< 2.0%)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Injection-site erythema

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

7 (3.9)

5 (2.7)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Back pain

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

8 (4.5)

4 (2.2)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Diarrhea

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

4 (2.2)

10 (5.4)

| |||||

| |||||

   Arthropathy

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

7 (3.9)

6 (3.3)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Hypertension

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

4 (2.2)

4 (2.2)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Constipation

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

1 (0.6)

7 (3.8)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   UTI

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

7 (3.9)

6 (3.3)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Gastroenteritis

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

4 (2.2)

4 (2.2)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Lymphocyte count decreased

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

| |||||

| |||||

   Anal abscess

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

| |||||

| |||||

   COVID-19

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

|| ||||||

|| ||||||

Patients with ≥ 1 SAE

n (%)

10 (4.9)

26 (12.6)

27 (7.2)

28 (15.1)

24 (13.4)

23 (12.5)

|| |||||

|| ||||||

Most common events,e n (%)

   Anemia

2 (1.0)

0

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Crohn disease

1 (0.5)

20 (9.7)

5 (1.3)

15 (8.1)

2 (1.1)

4 (2.2)

| |||||

| |||||

   Small intestinal obstruction

1 (0.5)

2 (1.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

3 (1.7)

0 (0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Abdominal pain

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

0

2 (1.1)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Ileus

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

2 (0.5)

0

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Intestinal obstruction

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

1 (0.3)

2 (1.1)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Intestinal stenosis

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

0

2 (1.1)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Ureterolithiasis

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

2 (0.5)

0

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Anal fistula

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

3 (1.7)

2 (1.1)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Viral infection

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

3 (1.7)

0 (0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

   Back pain

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

NR (< 2.0)

2 (1.1)

0 (0)

|| || ||||

|| || ||||

Patients who stopped treatment due to AEs

n (%)

2 (1.0)

17 (8.2)

9 (2.4)

14 (7.5)

6 (3.4)

6 (3.3)

| |||||

| |||||

Most common events,e n (%)

   Crohn disease

1 (0.5)

13 (6.3)

2 (0.5)

7 (3.8)

2 (1.1)

3 (1.6)

| |||||

| |||||

Deaths

n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

0 (0)

2 (1.1)

0 (0)

0 (0)

| |||

| |||

Notable harms

Any opportunistic infections, n (%)

0 (0)

3 (1.4)

0 (0)

0 (0)

1 (0.6)

0 (0)

| |||

| |||

Serious infections, n (%)

1 (0.5)

5 (2.4)

3 (0.8)

7 (3.8)

8 (4.5)

7 (3.8)

| |||||

| |||||

Hepatic events, n (%)

1 (0.5)

2 (1.0)

9 (2.4)

4 (2.2)

7 (3.9)

4 (2.2)

| |||||

| |||||

Hypersensitivity: Reactions, serious events only, n (%)

0 (0)

0 (0)

1 (0.3)

0 (0)

0 (0)

0 (0)

| |||

| |||

Hypersensitivity: Injection-site reactions, n (%)

1 (0.5)

3 (1.4)

4 (1.1)

1 (0.5)

11(6.1)

9 (4.9)

| |||||

| |||||

AE = adverse event; NR = not reported; SA1 = safety population; SAE = serious adverse event; SC = subcutaneous; TEAE = treatment-emergent adverse event; URTI = upper respiratory tract infection; UTI = urinary tract infection.

aThe SA1 population included all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug during the 12-week induction period in the MOTIVATE or ADVANCE study.

bThe SA1 population included all patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug in FORTIFY maintenance substudy 1.

c|||||| |||||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| || ||||| ||| |||| || ||||| |||| ||||||||||||| || |||||||||||| || ||| ||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||| || ||||||| || ||||.

dFrequency of 2% or more of patients in the risankizumab groups.

eFrequency of 2 or more patients.

Sources: MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, FORTIFY, and SEQUENCE Clinical Study Reports.8-10,31

Concerns related to missing outcome data are low for most outcomes. In the induction trials, there was a higher number of discontinuations of the study drug in the placebo groups (10% in the MOTIVATE trial and 12% in the ADVANCE trial) compared to the risankizumab groups (2% in both the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE trials). In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), discontinuations were similar and just over 10% across groups. The most common reasons for discontinuation in the placebo groups were AEs followed by lack of efficacy, whereas in the risankizumab group, discontinuations were generally low with no single primary reason. In the placebo groups, the most frequently reported AE that led to discontinuation of the study drug was worsening CD. Missing data pertaining to the primary and secondary outcomes were addressed using appropriate methods. NRI while incorporating multiple imputation to handle missing data due to COVID-19 was the primary approach for the coprimary outcomes. This approach is considered appropriate and would be conservative. Appropriate sensitivity analyses were conducted using different imputation methods. The results of these analyses were comparable to the primary analysis. There is concern for bias due to missing outcome data for the HRQoL and fatigue outcomes, due to large and imbalanced amounts of missing data, particularly at the 12-week time point. The direction and magnitude of the potential bias is unclear.

Across trials, most outcomes were subjective (e.g., SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission or response, FACIT-F, IBDQ, SF-36) and were collected from patient diaries, except for endoscopic outcomes, which were read centrally by a blinded reviewer. Although the subjective outcomes were prone to risk of bias, the double-blind design of the trials mitigated this risk. There is some risk of unblinding that could have affected the subjective outcomes since dropout rates were higher in the placebo groups, which could allow investigators and patients to make inferences on treatment assignment regardless of blinding. However, the extent of the potential bias is unclear. In general, reported outcomes across trials were validated in patients with CD; however, MIDs for clinical remission and response, FACIT-F, and EQ-5D-5L were not identified in the literature search conducted by CADTH.

A hierarchical testing procedure was appropriately used in all 3 trials to account for multiplicity in coprimary and key secondary outcomes. The exploratory outcomes of CSS and EQ-5D-5L were not adjusted for multiplicity; therefore, there is a risk of false-positive conclusions. In the FORTIFY study, due to the adjusted treatment difference for the comparison of risankizumab 180 mg SC (not included in this review) versus placebo SC for the coprimary outcome of SF/APS clinical remission (OUS protocol) not achieving statistical significance, the hierarchical testing strategy prevented formal statistical testing of the significance of all subsequent secondary outcomes in the hierarchy, including SF and APS remission, maintenance of SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission, SF/APS or CDAI clinical remission with endoscopic response, and SF/APS or CDAI deep remission. This lack of adjustment for multiplicity may increase the likelihood of type I error.

In the ongoing SEQUENCE trial, there were 2 key limitations with the interim results that are at risk of overestimating the treatment effect in favour of risankizumab, although the potential presence and magnitude of the overestimation is unclear. There were missing data for all outcomes given that data were only available for 50% of patients. There was also bias in the selection of reported results, as the statistical analyses presented for all exploratory outcomes were not described in the statistical analysis plan. The analysis plan only aimed to describe the outcomes descriptively. Similar to the other trials, the analysis was based on an ITT population that included randomized patients who received at least 1 dose of the study drug. Although this is not a true ITT population, the risk of bias would be low because almost all included patients received the study drug. Overall, the interim results from the SEQUENCE trial cannot support definitive conclusions about the efficacy of risankizumab compared to ustekinumab.

External Validity

In the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies, the details of the screening period were not reported; therefore, the proportion of patients who may have been excluded is unknown. According to the clinical expert consulted by CADTH, the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the pivotal trials were generally aligned with selection criteria that they anticipated would be adopted by most Canadian clinicians when identifying suitable candidates for risankizumab.

The dosing and administration of risankizumab in all the trials were consistent with the product monograph. Based on the available trial data, the relative efficacy of risankizumab to other active treatments was not available. In the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY trials, placebo was the comparator while in the SEQUENCE study, ustekinumab was the comparator. Since ustekinumab is not used frequently in Canada, it is not considered the most relevant active treatment.

The trials included outcomes that were important to patients. Patient groups indicated that symptom relief, HRQoL, and clinical remission were important to them. The coprimary outcomes assessed in the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies were clinical remission and endoscopic response, defined by CDAI or SF/APS and SES-CD, respectively. Key secondary outcomes included the resolution of clinical symptoms (e.g., SF and APS remission), disease activity (e.g., CDAI clinical remission and response), and reductions in endoscopic inflammation (e.g., endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy). These outcomes were considered appropriate by the clinical expert, although the Harvey-Bradshaw Index was noted as a more common tool to assess clinical remission in patients with CD living in Canada.

The MOTIVATE and ADVANCE studies included 12 weeks of induction therapy and the FORTIFY study included 52 weeks of maintenance therapy. The clinical expert noted that these time frames were appropriate to determine short-term treatment effects with risankizumab; however, they may not be considered sufficient to fully understand the long-term safety for rare events and those events that take longer to develop, such as malignancy.

The patient population in the maintenance trial (FORTIFY) was likely enriched due to the study design of including clinical responders from the induction trials. As such, the maintenance withdrawal placebo group is not a true placebo group since patients are affected by residual drug exposure from the induction period.

Indirect Evidence

Objectives and Methods for the Summary of Indirect Evidence

A focused literature search for ITCs dealing with either risankizumab or CD was run in MEDLINE All (1946–) on November 23, 2022. No limits were applied to the search. Titles, abstracts, and full-text articles were screened for inclusion based on the population, intervention, comparator, and outcome criteria outlined in accordance with the protocol for the CADTH review. Two eligible ITCs12,13 were included from the CADTH literature search.

The objective of this section is to summarize and critically appraise the sponsor-submitted ITC as well as the 2 published ITCs conducted by Barberio et al.12 and Singh et al.13

Description of Indirect Comparison(s)

The sponsor-submitted ITC was an NMA11 assessing the efficacy and safety of risankizumab relative to vedolizumab, ustekinumab, adalimumab, infliximab, and placebo in patients diagnosed with moderately to severely active CD.

The 2 published ITCs12,13 identified from the CADTH literature search were also NMAs. Barberio et al. evaluated the efficacy of all biologic therapies and small molecules that have been investigated in phase III clinical trials in luminal CD, compared to placebo or each other. Singh et al. determined the relative efficacy and safety of infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and risankizumab (either alone or in combination with immunosuppressants) for the treatment of moderate to severe CD in patients with or without previous biologic exposure.

Methods of Sponsor-Submitted Indirect Treatment Comparison

Objectives

The objective of the sponsor-submitted ITC11 was to evaluate the relative efficacy and safety of risankizumab to vedolizumab, ustekinumab, adalimumab, infliximab, and placebo in 2 groups of patients with moderately to severely active CD, including patients who had previously failed conventional care and those who had previously failed a biologic treatment. CD |||||||| |||| ||| |||||||| || ||||| ||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| |||| ||| |||| |||||||||| || || ||| |||||| ||| ||||| |||||||| | |||| || | || ||| ||| ||| |||||| || |||| |||||||||| || ||||| || |||||||| |||| || |||| ||||||| || ||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||||| | ||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||| || ||||||| || ||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||||||| || |||| |||||||||| || ||||| |||||||| |||||||||.

Study Selection Methods

A systematic literature review (SLR)32 conducted by the sponsor served as the evidence base, on which eligible studies were identified for the ITC according to the eligibility criteria as outlined in Table 29. The literature searches, last updated on May 10, 2022, were conducted in multiple electronic databases for published primary studies, clinical trial registries for unpublished trials, relevant proceedings for conference abstracts, and regulatory and health technology agency websites for relevant documents. Bibliographies of key studies and systematic reviews were also scanned. The study screening and selection process was conducted by 2 independent reviewers, with disagreement resolved by consultation with a third reviewer. Data were extracted by 1 reviewer and verified by a second reviewer. Risk of bias assessment was carried out at the study level. The methods by which risk of bias appraisal was accomplished were not reported.

In addition to the RCTs identified from the SLR, 3 sponsor-conducted RCTs, including the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY trials, were also included in the ITC.

Indirect Treatment Comparison Analysis Methods

The sponsor conducted an NMA using the |||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||| ||||||| || ||| ||| ||| ||||| || Table 30.

Results of Sponsor-Submitted Indirect Treatment Comparison

Summary of Included Studies

|| |||||| || ||||| ||||||||| || |||||||||| |||| ||| ||| ||| | ||||||||||||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||||| ||| ||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||| ||| || ||| |||| |||| ||||| | |||||||| |||||| |||||| ||| ||||||| | ||||| || ||||| | |||||||| ||| ||| ||||| ||||||||| || |||||||| || ||| |||||| || ||||| ||| ||||||||| ||| ||| || |||| |||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||| ||| ||||||||||||||| || ||| || |||||||| ||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| ||||||||| ||

Table 29: Study Selection Criteria and Methods for Indirect Treatment Comparisons

Criterion

Sponsor-submitted ITC

Population

|||||| ||| |||||||||||| |||| |||||||||||||||||| |||||| || ||||||||| ||||| ||| || |||| ||| |||| ||| || |||||||||| |||||||| ||||| |||| |||||||| ||| || |||| |||||||||| || ||||||||| || ||||||| |||||||| |||||| ||||||||||| || ||||||||||||| || ||| |||| ||||||||||||||||| || |||| |||||||||||| ||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||| ||| || |||||||||||| ||||||||||||||

Intervention and comparator

|||||||||||| ||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || ||| | ||||||||||||| || ||| || ||||| | ||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || ||| |||||||||||||| || ||| || ||||| | ||||| || || ||| || ||||| | ||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||| || |||||| |||| ||||| || |||| |||||| || | |||||| |||| || || | ||| |||||| || || || | || || | ||| || |||| || || | ||| ||| || |||| ||||||||||||||| || || || ||||| || ||||| || || || || ||||| | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||| || ||| || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| || || || || || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| |||||||||||||| || || || ||||| ||||| |||||||||||||||||||||||||| || | ||||| || ||||| || || |||||||||||||| || | ||||| ||||| | |||||||||||||||||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| |||||||||||||| |||||||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||| ||||||||||||| |||| || ||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||| ||||||||| ||||||| ||||| | |||| || ||||||||| |||

Outcome

|||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| || ||||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||||| ||| |||||| ||| || |||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||| |||| |||||||||| ||| |||||| ||||||||| ||||| ||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||| |||||||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||| || |||||||| || || |||| ||| |||||||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||||||||| |||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| || |||||||| || || |||| | |||||| |||||||||||| |||||||| |||||| || |||||||| || || |||| | |||| || ||||||| ||||||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| |||||||||||||||||||| |||||||| |||| |||| |||||||| || ||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| |||

Study design

|||| |||||| | || || ||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||| |||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||||| | |||| |||||||| |||| || ||| ||||||| || ||||| ||| ||||||||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| |||||||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||| || ||| |||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| |||| |||||||| || ||| |||| || ||||||| |||| |||||||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||| |||||||||| |||| |||| |||| |||||||| |||| ||| ||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| || |||||||||

AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CD = Crohn disease; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; EMA = European Medicines Agency; HTA = health technology agency; ITC = indirect treatment comparison; RCT = randomized clinical trial; SC = subcutaneous; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SLR = systematic literature review; TNF = tumour necrosis factor.

aWatanabe et al. (2012)40 and (2020)53 enrolled patients aged 15 years and older while the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY studies enrolled patients aged 16 years and older; all other trials enrolled patients aged 18 years and older.

Sources: Sponsor-submitted systematic literature review and indirect treatment comparison.11,32

Table 30: Indirect Treatment Comparison Analysis Methods

Characteristic

Sponsor-submitted ITC

Network construction

||| |||| |||||||| |||||||| | |||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| || |||||||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| || |||||||||| |||| ||||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||||||||||| ||||| || ||||||| |||||| |||||| ||||||||||| ||||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||| ||||| || | |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||||||||| ||||| |||||| ||||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||| |||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||| || |||| || ||||||||||| |||||| ||||||||| | |||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| || ||||||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||| ||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| || ||||||| ||||||||||

Feasibility assessment

||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||| | ||||||| |||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||||||| |||| |||||||||| | |||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| || || ||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| ||||||||| || |||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||||||| ||||| |||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| || ||||||| ||||||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||| |||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| ||||| ||||| ||||| ||||| ||| |||||| |||||||| || |||||| |||||||| || |||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||| ||||| || |||||||| |||| || |||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||| |||||||||||||| |||||||||||||||| |||||||||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||| || ||| |||||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| || |||||||| ||||||||||| || |||||||||||||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||| |||||| ||| |||||||| ||||

Model information

||| |||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| ||| ||| ||||||||| || | ||||||||||| |||||| ||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||| ||||||| || ||| | ||||||||||| |||||||||||||| |||| |||||| |||| ||||||| |||| |||| |||| ||||||||| |||| | ||||||| |||| ||| |||| || ||| ||||||||||| |||||||| |||| |||| || ||||||| ||||||| |||||| ||||||| ||| |||| |||||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||| || ||| || |||||| |||| ||||||| |||| || |||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| |||| ||||||| ||||| |||||| ||| ||| ||| ||||| |||||||| ||| |||| ||| ||||||| ||||| |||||| ||||||| |||||| ||||||||| || ||| || |||| |||| |||||||||| ||| |||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||| |||||||||| || |||| |||| ||||||||| ||||| ||||| |||||||| ||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| || || ||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| ||||||||| | |||||||| ||||||| ||||||| ||||| ||| ||||||||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| || |||||||||| |||| |||||||| |||||| | |||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||| ||||| ||| |||||||| ||| ||||||||||| || |||| ||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| |||| || |||||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||| |||||||| || ||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||||| |||| ||||||||| |||

Assessment of model fit

||| ||||||| |||||| |||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||||| ||||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||||| || |||||||||| ||||| |||| |||||||| |||||| ||| ||| ||||||||| |||||||||||| || ||| ||||||||||||| || |||||||||| |||| ||| || |||||| ||||| || ||||| ||||||||| |||||| ||| || || || ||||| ||| |||||||| ||| | ||||| |||||

Assessment of convergence

||||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||| ||| ||||||||||||||||||| |||||| ||||| ||||| ||| |||| |||||| ||||||||| |||||| || ||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||| || ||||||||||| | ||||| || | |||| ||| |||| || |||||||| ||||||||||||

Priors

||||| ||||| ||||||||||||| |||| ||||| || ||| |||||||||| || || ||||||||| || |||||||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||| || || ||||||||| || | |||||||||| |||||| |||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| || |||||||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||| | |||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||| |||||||||||| | |||||| ||| ||||| ||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||| ||| || ||||||| |||| || ||||||| | ||||||| ||||| ||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||| ||| ||||| ||||||||| ||| | ||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| || || |||||| || |||||| |||||||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||| ||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||| ||| ||||||||||||| || |||| || |||||||| | ||||||| ||| || ||||| |||||||||||| |||

Assessment of consistency

|| ||| || |||||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||| ||||| ||||||||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| ||| ||| ||||||||||| || ||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| || |||||| ||||||||||| || |||||||| ||||||||

Outcomes

|||| ||||||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| || |||| ||||| | ||| |||||| || |||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || | | ||||||||| |||||||| |||| |||||||| || |||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || | | |||||||| |||||||| |||| |||||||| || |||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||||||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||||||||| || | ||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| || |||||| ||||||||||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| || ||||| |||||| ||||| || | |||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| || ||| |||||||| ||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||||| ||||| |||||||| ||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||| || || ||||| | ||||||||||| ||||||| || ||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| || | ||||||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| || |||||| ||||| || |||||||||||||| |||||||||||| || |||||||| || |||||||||||||||| ||| || || |||||||| |||||||||

Outcome time points

|||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||| || ||||||||| ||||| || | || || ||||| ||| | ||||||||||| ||||| || || || || |||||

Base-case analysis

||| |||| |||| ||| ||||||| ||| || |||||| ||||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| || ||| ||| || |||||||||||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||

Sensitivity analysis

|||||||| |||||||| || || |||||| |||||||||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| |||| |||||||| ||| || ||||| |||||||||||||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||||||||| || ||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| ||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||||||||||||||| || ||||| ||||| ||||||||||||||||||| || ||| |||||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| |||| | ||||||||| |||||||||||||||| || |||||| ||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||

AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; DIC = deviance information criteria; FE = fixed effects; ITC = indirect treatment comparison; MCMC = Markov Chain Monte Carlo; OR = odds ratio; PSRF = potential scale reduction factor; RD = risk difference; RE = random effects; SD = standard deviation; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; TNF = tumour necrosis factor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 31: Characteristics of Included Studies in the Sponsor-Submitted Network Meta-Analysis

Study

Total N

Intervention

Comparator

Biologic failure

Induction/ maintenance

Primary end point

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| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||||| || |||| || | || |||||| ||||||||| ||| |||| ||

CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; SC = subcutaneous.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Efficacy Results

||||| ||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| || ||||| || | |||| |||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||||||| ||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| || ||||| ||| ||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||| |||||| ||||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||||||| ||||| |||| |||||||||| |||| || ||| |||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||| || ||| |||| ||||||| ||||||| || ||| |||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||| || |||| ||||||||| ||| || ||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| |||||| ||||| |||||||||| |||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| || |||||||| |||| ||| |||||| ||||||| ||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| || ||| |||||| |||||||||| |||| |||||||||| |||||||||| || |||||| || ||| |||||| |||||| || ||| |||||||| |||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||| || || ||| |||| ||||| |||| |||| |||||||||||| || ||| |||||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||| || |||| |||||||| ||||||| |||||| ||||||||| || || |||| ||||||| || ||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||| |||| ||||| || |||||||| |.

CDAI Outcomes in the Induction Phase

||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| |||||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| ||||||||||||| |||| |||||| || ||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||| || ||||||||||| || ||||||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| || |||||||| |||| ||||||||||| || ||||||| ||| |||| ||||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| ||||| || ||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| ||| ||||||| | ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| || |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| |||||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| || |||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| |||||||| || ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| || ||||||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| ||||| |||||||| |||| ||| |||||| || ||||||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||| ||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||| |||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| |||||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| || || |||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||| |||||| || ||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||| ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||| ||||| |||||| |||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||| || |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| |||||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||| || |||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||| |||||| || ||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||| ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||| || ||| || || |||| ||| || || | | |||| ||||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || |||||| |||| ||| |||||||||| || ||||||||||| ||| |||||| || ||||||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||| ||.

Figure 4: Redacted

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Figure 5: Network Diagram for CDAI Outcomes in the BF Population — Induction Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

BF = biologic failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Endoscopic Outcomes at the Induction Phase

|||||| | ||| |||||| | ||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| |||| |||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| ||||| |||| |||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| |||||||| || ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| ||| ||||||||||| || |||||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||| |||| ||||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| || |||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||| || |||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| ||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||| ||||||| |||||| | ||||| ||| ||||| |||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || |||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| ||||| ||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||||| || ||||||||||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| ||| |||||||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| || ||| || ||||||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| | |||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||.

Figure 6: Redacted

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

CCF = conventional care failure.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Figure 7: Network Diagram for Endoscopic Outcomes in the BF Population — Induction Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

BF = biologic failure.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 32: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Efficacy Outcomes in the Induction Phase

RZB600 vs.

Absolute effect measure

RD

Median (95% CrI)a

Relative effect measure

OR

Median (95% CrI)a

CDAI clinical remission in the CCF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

CDAI clinical remission in the BF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

|||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| || || |||||

||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

CDAI-100 clinical response in the CCF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

CDAI-100 clinical response in the BF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

||||||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

Endoscopic remission in the CCF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

|||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

Endoscopic remission in the BF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

|||

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

|||||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

Endoscopic response in the CCF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

UST

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

Placebo

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

Endoscopic response in the BF population in the induction phase

FE model

FE model

UST

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || ||||||

Placebo

|||| ||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; RD = risk difference; RZB600 = risankizumab IV 600 mg; SC = subcutaneous; UST = ustekinumab; vs. = versus.

aA network estimate was considered statistically significant if the 95% CrI excluded 0.

||||||||| || |||||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||| || ||| || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| || || || || || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| |||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||| || |||||| || ||||| || || |||||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || ||| |||||| | |||||||||| ||||||||||| || |||||| |||| ||||| || |||| |||||| || |||| ||||| | |||||||||| |||||| | ||||| ||| ||||| |||| || |||||||||||||| | |||||||||| ||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || |||

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

CDAI Outcomes in the Maintenance Phase

|| || ||||||| || ||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||||||||||| ||||| || |||||||| |||| || ||| ||||||| |||||| |||||| ||||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| |||| | |||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||||||||| ||||| |||||| ||||||||||||| ||| ||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||| |||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||| |||||||| |||| ||||||| |||| ||| |||||| ||||||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||| ||||||| ||| ||| ||||||| |||||||||||| |||||| || ||| ||||| || ||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||||||| ||||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||| || ||||| ||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| | |||||||||| || ||||||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| || ||| || ||||| | ||||| |||||| |||||||| ||||||||||| || || || ||||| || ||||| || ||||||||||| || || || ||||| | |||||| |||| || |||||| ||| |||| ||||| || ||||| ||| || |||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||||||||| |||||||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||||| | ||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||| |||||||| ||||||||| || || |||||||| |||||||| || |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| | ||||||| |||||||||||| || ||| || ||||| | ||||| |||||| ||||||||||| || || || ||||| || ||||| || ||||||||||| || || || ||||| | |||||.

Figure 8: Network Diagram for CDAI Outcomes in the CCF Population — Maintenance Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

CCCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Figure 9: Network Diagram for CDAI Outcomes in the BF Population — Maintenance Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

BF = biologic failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 33: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Efficacy Outcomes in the Maintenance Phase

|||||||||| ||||||

Absolute effect measure

RD

Median (95% CrI)a

FE model

Relative effect measure

OR

Median (95% CrI)a

FE model

CDAI clinical remission in CCF population at maintenance phase

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||| ||||| || |||||

||||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

Placebo

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

CDAI clinical remission in BF population at maintenance phase

UST90 q.8.w.

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

UST90 q.12.w.

|||| |||||| || |||||

|||| ||||| || |||||

Placebo

|||| ||||| || |||||

||| ||||| || |||||

BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; q.8.w. = every 8 weeks; q.12.w. = every 12 weeks; RD = risk difference; SC = subcutaneous; UST90 = ustekinumab subcutaneous 90 mg.

aA network estimate was considered statistically significant if the 95% CrI excluded 0.

|||||||||| | |||||||||||| || ||| || ||||| | |||||||||||||| || |||||||||| | |||||||||||| ||||||||||| || || || ||||| || ||||| || || || || ||||| ||||||

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Harms Results

||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||| ||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| |||||||||| |||||| ||| ||| || ||||||||||| |||||||||| || ||||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| || ||| |||||| ||||||||||| |||| || ||||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| || ||| |||||| || ||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||||||| ||| ||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||||||||||||| ||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| |||||| ||||| || ||| |||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| | |||||||||| || ||| ||| ||| || ||||||||||| |||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| |||||| ||||||| || ||||| |||||| |||||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||||| | ||||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||||| ||| |||| || ||||||||||||||| ||| || |||| |||||||| || |||||||||| || || || ||||| |||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || ||||| ||| |||||||||| || || || ||||| ||||| |||| |||| ||||| ||| |||| |||| || |||||.

Figure 10: Network Diagram for Harms Outcomes in the CCF and BF Populations Combined — Induction Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Figure 11: Network Diagram for Harms Outcomes in the CCF and BF Populations Combined — Maintenance Phase (Redacted)

This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: This figure has been redacted at the request of the sponsor.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 34: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Harms Outcomes in the Induction Phase

RZB600 vs.

Absolute effect measure

RD

Median (95% CrI)

Any AEs

RE model

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||

|||| |||||| || |||||

Serious AEs

FE model

||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || ||||||

||||

||||| |||||| || ||||||

||||||

||||| |||||| || ||||||

|||||||

||||| |||||| || ||||||

Serious infections

RE model

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

Discontinuation due to AEs

RE model

||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

||||||||

||||| |||||| || |||||

|||||||

||||| |||||| || ||||||

AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; RD = risk difference; RE = random-effects; RZB600 = risankizumab IV 600 mg; vs. = versus.

||||||||| || |||||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||| || ||| || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| || || || || || || |||| | ||| || || || |||| ||||| | |||||||||||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || ||| |||||| | |||||||||| ||||||||||| || |||||| |||| ||||| || |||| |||||| || |||| |||||||| | |||||||||| ||||||||||| || ||| || || ||||| || || ||| |

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Critical Appraisal of Sponsor-Submitted Indirect Treatment Comparison

Overall, the SLR conducted by the sponsor to identify relevant studies for the NMA was methodologically sound. The sponsor adopted a comprehensive literature search strategy, performed study selection and data extraction in duplicate, described the characteristics of the included studies in adequate detail, and assessed the risk of bias within individual studies. |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||| ||| |||| || |||| |||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||| || | |||||| || |||||||| |||||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| |||| || |||| |||||||||| ||| |||| ||||||||| || ||| |||||||||| ||||| |||||| |||||||| ||| |||| || |||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||| ||| |||||||||||| |||| ||| ||| || ||||| ||||||||| ||||||| || ||| ||| |||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| |||||||||| ||||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||. There were several notable sources of heterogeneity in the sponsor-submitted NMA, which increase CADTH’s uncertainty in the NMA estimates. |||||| ||||||||||||| |||| ||||| || ||| ||||| |||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||| |||| ||||||| || ||| ||| || ||||||||||||| | |||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||||| || ||| |||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| | || ||||| || |||| | ||||||| ||||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| | || ||||| || |||| ||| ||| ||||||||| || |||||| |||||||| |||||||| | || ||||| || |||| || ||||||||| ||| ||||| || ||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||| ||||||||||| |||| || |||| ||||||| ||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| || ||| ||| ||||||||||| |||| || |||| ||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||| || |||||||| ||||| |||||||||||| || ||| || ||||||||||| |||| || |||| |||||| |||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| |||| |||| ||||||||| ||||||| || ||||||||||||| |||| ||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||||| || ||| |||| || ||||| ||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| |||| |||||| ||||||| ||| |||||||||||||| ||| |||||||| || ||| |||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||| | || |||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||||||| ||||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||| || || |||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||| ||||| ||||| || ||| |||||||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||| |||||| |||||| |||||| ||| |||||||| ||||| ||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||||||||| || ||| |||||||| || ||| ||| || ||||||||| |||||||||| ||| ||||| ||||| || ||| |||||||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| |||||| |||| || || |||| |||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| |||| ||||| || ||| ||||||||||| || |||| |||||||| || |||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| || |||||||| |||| ||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || | |||||||| || ||||| |||| ||||| || ||| || |||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||||| ||| ||||||| |||||| ||||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || | |||||||| || ||||| |||| ||||| || ||| || |||| |||||| |||| |||||||| || | ||||| |||| ||||| |||| |||| |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||| | |||| |||| ||||| |||||| ||||| |||||||| || |||| || |||||| || |||| ||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||| || |||| |||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||| || ||| |||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||| ||| |||||| || ||||||||||||| |||| ||| |||||||| ||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||||||||||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||.

Table 35: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Harms Outcomes in the Maintenance Phase

RZB360 q.8.w. vs.

Absolute effect measure

RD

Median (95% CrI)

Any AEs

FE model

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Serious AEs

FE model

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Serious infections

FE model

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Discontinuation due to AEs

FE model

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AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; q.8.w. = every 8 weeks; RD = risk difference; RZB360 = risankizumab subcutaneous 360 mg; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

||||||| |||| |||| |||| || |||||| |||||||||||||| ||| ||||||||| || |||||| ||| ||||||||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||| || ||| |||||||||||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||| |||| | |||||||| |||||||| || ||| |||| |||| |||||||| ||||| || ||||||| |||||||||| || |||||| || |||||||||| ||| |||||||| ||||||| ||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||| |||||||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||||| |||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||| |||| ||||||||||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| ||| ||||||| |||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||| |||||| || |||| | ||||||||||| |||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||| |||||| ||| ||| || || ||||||||||| |||||||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||| || |||||||||| |||||||| ||||| ||||| ||||||||| |||| || ||| ||||||| |||||||||| ||||||| ||| || ||| |||| || ||||||||| || ||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||| || |||||| || |||| ||| |||||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| |||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||||||||| || |||||||||||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||| ||||||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||| ||| |||||||||||||| |||| ||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| ||||| || |||||||||| || ||||| |||| |||||||||| ||| ||| || ||| ||||||| || | |||||||||| |||||| ||||||| || ||||||||| | |||||||||| |||||||||| |||| |||| ||||| ||||||||| ||| |||| ||| || ||||| ||||| |||| ||| ||||||| || |||||||||| | |||||||| |||| |||| |||||||||||| ||| || ||||| ||||||| |||| |||||||| || |||| ||||||| |||| |||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||| ||||||||||||| |||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||| ||| || |||||| || ||| ||||||||| || ||||||| || ||||| |||||| ||| || ||||| |||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||||| |||||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||| ||||| ||| ||||||| ||||||||||||| ||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||| |||| ||| || ||||| ||||| || |||||| |||| ||| ||||||| || |||||||| |||||||| |||||| |||| ||||||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| || |||||||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||| |||| ||| ||| || |||||||| || |||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| |||||||| || |||| |||||||||| || ||||||||||| || ||||||||||| ||||| || ||||||||||| |||| ||||||| || ||| |||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| || ||||| |||||| |||||||||| ||||||||| |||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| Given that there was a notable heterogeneity issue and that the |||| || |||| || |||||||||| ||||||| ||| ||| |||||||||||| || ||| ||| || ||| ||||||| |||||, there was a relatively large uncertainty in the NMA estimates. In many cases, the CrIs associated with the NMA estimates were affected by serious imprecision. Therefore, definitive conclusions could not be drawn. |||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||||| || |||| | |||||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| ||| ||||||| || ||||| |||||| |||||||||| || |||| || ||| ||||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||||| ||| ||||||||||| ||||||| || ||||||||| |||||| ||||||| ||||| || |||||| ||| || ||||||| |||| || |||||||||| ||||||||| || |||| ||| ||||||||| ||||||||||||| || |||||| ||||||| |||||||||||.

Summary and Critical Appraisal of Published Indirect Treatment Comparisons

Barberio et al.12
Methods

The NMA conducted by Barberio et al. aimed to examine the relative efficacy and safety between biologic therapies and small molecules licensed for luminal CD. Specifically, the NMA included phase III RCTs involving adults (≥ 18 years) with luminal CD, who were treated with infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab, vedolizumab, etrolizumab, ustekinumab, risankizumab, tofacitinib, filgotinib, or upadacitinib. The population was further classified into 2 subgroups: patients naive to biologic therapies and those exposed to biologic therapies previously. In terms of efficacy outcomes in the induction phase, the NMA assessed failure to achieve clinical remission (defined as CDAI ≥ 150) and failure to achieve clinical response (defined as a reduction in CDAI ≥ 70). For the efficacy outcomes in the maintenance phase, the authors assessed the occurrence of the relapse of disease activity (defined as CDAI ≥ 150). AEs (including the total numbers of AEs, SAEs, infections, and AEs leading to study withdrawal) were also assessed in the NMA. Relative risk (RR) along with a 95% CI were used as the effect measure.

There was no information on whether the protocol of the NMA was published or registered a priori. To identify potentially relevant studies, Barberio et al. searched MEDLINE (1946 to July 1, 2022), Embase and Embase Classic (1947 to July 1, 2022), and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL). The authors also searched conference proceedings and the bibliographies of all eligible articles. There were no language restrictions. Two reviewers independently conducted study screening and selection (agreement between investigators for study eligibility was reported; kappa statistic = 0.85), data extraction, and the assessment of risk of bias for individual studies using the Cochrane risk of bias tool (version not reported) at the study level. Disagreements were resolved by discussion. The NMA was carried out with the frequentist approach. In total, 23 articles reporting on 25 separate induction RCTs and 15 articles reporting on 15 separate maintenance trials, all of which were funded by pharmaceutical companies, were included for the NMA. For risankizumab, the NMA conducted by Barberio et al. incorporated the published results from the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY trials.28,29

Results

All 25 induction trials reported data with respect to clinical remission at between 4 weeks and 16 weeks. Patients who were diagnosed with moderate to severe luminal CD and treated with risankizumab 600 mg IV had a lower risk of failing to achieve clinical remission compared to those treated with placebo (RR = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.80), ustekinumab 6 mg/kg (RR = 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77 to 0.97), ustekinumab130 mg (RR = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.92), adalimumab 80 mg/40 mg (RR = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.96), and vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.89). In the subgroup of patients naive to biologic therapies, those treated with risankizumab 600 mg had a lower risk of failing to achieve clinical remission than those treated with placebo (RR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.85). In the subgroup of patients previously exposed to biologic therapies, the risk of experiencing failure to achieve clinical remission was lower in those treated with risankizumab 600 mg than those treated with placebo (RR = 0.74; 95% CI, 0.67 to 0.82), ustekinumab 6 mg/kg (RR = 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.94) and 130 mg (RR = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.92), adalimumab 80 mg/40 mg (RR = 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.94), or vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.77; 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.86). There were 15 maintenance trials reporting clinical remission at between 22 weeks and 60 weeks. The evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab 360 mg every 8 weeks and placebo or any other active treatments in all patients diagnosed with moderate to severe luminal CD, in patients naive to biologic therapies, or in patients previously exposed to biologic therapies.

Data with respect to clinical response was reported by 24 induction trials at between 4 weeks and 16 weeks. In patients who were diagnosed with moderate to severe luminal CD, those treated with risankizumab 600 mg had a lower risk of failing to achieve clinical response compared to those treated with placebo (RR = 0.54; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.70), ustekinumab 130 mg (RR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.98), vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.84), or infliximab 10 mg/kg (RR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.99). In the subgroup of patients naive to biologic therapies, the risk of failing to achieve clinical remission was lower in those treated with risankizumab 600 mg compared to those treated with placebo (RR = 0.51; 95% CI, 0.37 to 0.71), vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.42 to 0.90), or infliximab 10 mg/kg (RR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.99). In the subgroup of patients previously exposed to biologic therapies, those treated with risankizumab 600 mg had a lower risk of experiencing failure to achieve clinical remission compared with those treated with placebo (RR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.69), ustekinumab 6 mg/kg (RR = 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.95) and ustekinumab 130 mg (RR = 0.874; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.74), adalimumab 160 mg/80 mg (RR = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.95), and vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.80).

Based on available harms results provided by Barberio et al., the evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab 600 mg and placebo or other active treatments in the incidence of any AEs or any infection at the induction phase. However, in the induction phase, risankizumab 600 mg led to a lower risk of developing serious AEs compared to placebo (RR = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.62), ustekinumab 6 mg/kg (RR = 0.47; 95% CI, 0.27 to 0.84), and vedolizumab 300 mg (RR = 0.43; 95% CI, 0.24 to 0.77). In the induction phase, patients treated with risankizumab 600 mg had a lower risk of withdrawing from the study due to AEs compared to placebo (RR = 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.48). Yet the evidence was insufficient to show a difference between risankizumab 360 mg every 8 weeks and placebo or other active treatments in the incidence of withdrawal due to AEs at the maintenance phase.

Critical Appraisal

One of the key limitations that concerned CADTH’s certainty in the NMA results was heterogeneity across included studies along with the statistical method used to examine it. First, potential sources of heterogeneity across included studies were not narratively assessed in detail; however, they are likely to be similar to those mentioned in the sponsor-submitted NMA due to overlap in the included studies. For instance, the authors failed to discuss the heterogeneity in the event rates of the participants treated with placebo from across maintenance trials. Second, the authors relied on the network heat plot method54 to determine inconsistency between direct and indirect evidence. According to the authors, the heat plots showed no “hotspots” for efficacy networks signifying inconsistency. However, recent evidence suggested that the network heat plot might not be reliable in terms of signalling inconsistency. Applied to a network assessing overall survival in 7,531 lung cancer patients, the network heat plot method did not indicate evidence of inconsistency while other methods such as the Bucher approach, Cochran's Q statistic, node-splitting, and the inconsistency parameter approach did.55

Taken together, there was a high uncertainty in the effect estimates from the NMA conducted by Barberio et al. mainly due to the inadequately addressed heterogeneity issue and serious imprecision of some estimates. As a result, no definitive conclusions could be drawn.

Singh et al.13
Methods

The NMA conducted by Singh et al. included phase II and phase III RCTs and assessed the relative efficacy and safety of infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol, vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and risankizumab (either alone or in combination with immunosuppressants) for the treatment of moderate to severe CD in adult patients (≥ 18 years) with or without previous biologic exposure. Efficacy outcomes for induction trials included clinical remission (defined as CDAI < 150) as well as clinical response (defined as a reduction in the CDAI of ≥ 100 points compared to baseline). Efficacy outcomes for maintenance trials included clinical remission (defined as CDAI < 150). Safety outcomes for maintenance trials were serious AEs and infections, whereas those for induction trials were not assessed. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI were used as the effect measure.

No information was provided on whether the protocol of the NMA was published or registered a priori. A literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL from inception to June 3, 2021, with no language restrictions. Conference proceedings and unpublished data were also searched. Study screening and selection, data extraction, and assessment of the risk of bias at the individual study level using the Cochrane risk of bias tool were carried out by 2 reviewers independently. Disagreements were resolved by consensus or in consultation with a third reviewer. The NMA was conducted using a multivariate consistency model random effects meta-regression under the frequentist approach. The NMA conducted by Singh et al. identified 15 induction RCTs in patients naive to biologic therapies, 10 induction RCTs in patients with previous biologic exposure, and 15 maintenance trials for patients with moderate to severe CD. For risankizumab, results come from a phase II induction trial,56 the ADVANCE and MOTIVATE trials (a conference abstract),57 and the FORTIFY trial (an AbbVie press release).58

Results

In terms of the efficacy of risankizumab in the induction phase, patients naive to biologic therapies who were treated with risankizumab were more likely to achieve clinical remission compared to placebo (OR = 2.98; 95% CI, 1.33 to 6.64). However, the CIs surrounding estimates for clinical remission were too wide to draw conclusions for the comparison between risankizumab and any active treatment. No data with respect to the efficacy of risankizumab on clinical response were available for patients naive to biologic therapies. For patients with previous biologic exposure, those treated with risankizumab were more likely to achieve clinical remission (OR = 2.64; 95% CI, 1.89 to 3.68) and clinical response (OR = 3.31; 95% CI, 1.86 to 5.90) compared to placebo. For risankizumab versus active treatments, risankizumab was superior only to vedolizumab in terms of achieving clinical remission in patients with previous biologic exposure (OR = 2.10; 95% CI, 1.12 to 3.92). Estimates for comparisons to other treatments were imprecise.

In terms of the efficacy of risankizumab in the maintenance phase, all estimates of comparisons between risankizumab and placebo or any active treatment were affected by important imprecisions that precluded firm conclusions. In addition, no NMA estimates for harms outcomes (i.e., serious AEs or infections) were available for risankizumab, which was not involved in the evidence networks.

Critical Appraisal

CADTH considered the NMA results regarding risankizumab to be of considerable uncertainty and no definitive conclusions could be made. There were several important reasons. First, the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY trial data came from a conference abstract and a press release, which were unlikely to provide adequate details to inform the evidence networks. Second, a lack of adequate details on how the NMA was carried out hindered CADTH’s ability to determine the methodological quality of the NMA. Little information was found on how model fit was assessed; how convergence was evaluated; how feasibility assessment, including connectivity and heterogeneity across included studies, was conducted; and how assessment for inconsistency was carried out.

Other Relevant Evidence

No other relevant evidence was submitted by the sponsor or identified from the literature.

Discussion

Summary of Available Evidence

Four phase III RCTs submitted by the sponsor were included in the systematic review: the MOTIVATE induction study (N = 413); the ADVANCE induction study (N = 559); the FORTIFY substudy 1, maintenance (N = 363); and the SEQUENCE study, part 1, induction and maintenance ongoing (N = 272). The objectives of all 4 trials were to evaluate the efficacy and safety of risankizumab in patients with moderately to severely active CD who had an inadequate response, loss of response, or were intolerant to either non-bio-IR therapy or bio-IR therapy. Both induction trials were of similar design, except that the MOTIVATE trial enrolled patients who were bio-IR, and the ADVANCE trial enrolled patients who were bio-IR or non-bio-IR. In these 2 trials, eligible patients were randomized to receive risankizumab 600 mg IV administered at week 0, week 4, and week 8 or matching placebo, in a double-blind manner. Patients without clinical response to risankizumab at week 12 entered an additional exploratory open-label 12-week induction period (period 2) and were rerandomized to risankizumab 1,200 mg IV, risankizumab 360 mg SC, or risankizumab 180 mg SC. Clinical responders from the induction trials were eligible to enter the maintenance study (FORTIFY), as were patients from induction period 2 who achieved clinical response at week 24. Patients who entered the maintenance study were rerandomized to receive blinded risankizumab 360 mg SC or matching placebo every 8 weeks for 52 weeks. Clinical remission (a CDAI score of less than 150 or SF/APS clinical remission) and endoscopic response were coprimary outcomes. Key secondary outcomes included clinical remission, clinical response, fatigue (FACIT-F score), HRQoL (SF-36 PCS score, IBDQ total score), enhanced SF/APS clinical response and endoscopic response, endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy, and corticosteroid-free clinical remission.

In the ongoing trial SEQUENCE, patients were randomized to receive blinded risankizumab 600 mg IV induction at weeks 0, 4, and 8, then risankizumab 360 mg SC maintenance every 8 weeks thereafter or an ustekinumab weight-based IV induction dose at week 0 and then ustekinumab 90 mg SC maintenance every 8 weeks thereafter. The results of the SEQUENCE study, part 1, which consist of an interim data lock that includes approximately 50% of planned patients (n = 272), included exploratory outcomes of clinical remission, clinical response, endoscopic remission, mucosal healing, deep remission, biologic remission, SF-36 PCS and MCS scores, and IBDQ total score.

Patients in the trial populations were predominantly white (77% to 91%), with an approximate mean age of 40 years and a mean CD disease duration of approximately 8 years to 12 years. In the MOTIVATE trial, approximately 48% and 52% of patients were bio-IR of 1 and greater than 1, respectively. In the ADVANCE trial, 23% to 30% of patients were bio-IR, 28% to 32% of patients were bio-IR greater than 1, and 42% to 45% of patients were non-bio-IR. Between 29% and 36% of patients across treatment groups were on concomitant corticosteroids and about 19% to 28% of patients were on immunomodulators. In the maintenance trial, patients’ baseline characteristics were generally comparable to those in the induction trials. In the SEQUENCE study, demographic characteristics were generally balanced between the treatment groups. Most patients were white and the mean age was approximately 39 years. Disease characteristics were also relatively similar between the treatment groups.

Indirect evidence from 3 NMAs was included in this review; the NMAs comprised 1 sponsor-submitted NMA and 2 NMAs12,13 published in academic journals that were identified by CADTH through a literature search. ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||||| ||| |||||| || |||||||||||| |||||||| || |||||||||||| |||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||| || || |||||||| |||| ||| ||| ||||| |||| ||| ||||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||| |||||||| ||| |||||||||| |||||||| |||| |||||||| || ||| ||||||| ||||||||| ||| ||| |||||||| ||||||||| ||||| |||| ||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||||||| ||| ||||||||||||||| ||| || ||| |||| |||||||| ||| ||||| ||||||||.

Interpretation of Results

Efficacy

Evidence from 3 pivotal trials supported a clinically meaningful superiority of risankizumab over placebo for the coprimary outcomes of clinical remission and endoscopic response at a 12-week induction period and a 52-week maintenance period in adults with moderate to severe CD who had inadequate response or were intolerant to prior conventional or biologic therapies. There is some potential for bias in these results due to the selection of the analysis population, which included only those who had received at least 1 dose of the study drug (i.e., this was not a true ITT population). These findings were consistent in prespecified subgroup analyses based on prior exposure to biologics and addressed key treatment outcomes noted to be important by both patients and clinicians. Patient groups indicated that symptom relief, HRQoL, and clinical remission are important to them. The clinical expert consulted by CADTH considered the benefits of risankizumab on the key secondary outcomes in the induction trials that evaluated the resolution of clinical symptoms (e.g., SF and APS remission), disease activity (e.g., CDAI clinical response), and reductions in endoscopic inflammation (e.g., endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy) to be clinically meaningful. In the induction trials, compared to placebo, higher rates of clinical response and remission were observed as early as week 4. Risankizumab treatment was also associated with improvement in symptoms (fatigue measured using FACIT-F) and HRQoL (measured with IBDQ and SF-36), although in general these improvements could have been affected by bias due to the subjective nature of the outcomes and the fact that CIs include the potential for effects that are not clinically important. In addition, MIDs for clinical remission and response, FACIT-F, and EQ-5D-5L were not identified in the literature search conducted by CADTH.

In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), key secondary outcomes including clinical symptoms, disease activity, and reductions in endoscopic inflammation favoured risankizumab, except for corticosteroid-free clinical remission and HRQoL measures. However, except for SF/APS clinical remission (US protocol), these were tested after failure of the statistical hierarchy; therefore, there is a risk of false-positive conclusions.

Overall, the evidence from the 3 pivotal trials did not address the long-term efficacy of risankizumab, given the approximately 1-year study duration.

In the SEQUENCE trial, preliminary data from a 24-week interim lock analysis showed ||||||||||||||| || |||||||||||| |||||||| |||| ||||||||||| ||||| || ||| |||||||||| || |||||||| ||| |||||||| |||||||| |||||||||. However, these interim results are at risk of overestimating the treatment effect as they represent only ||| of the patients participating in the ongoing trial; therefore, these interim results cannot support definitive conclusions about the efficacy of risankizumab compared to ustekinumab.

Based on the sponsor-submitted ITC, the results of efficacy outcomes (i.e., CDAI clinical remission, a 100-point CDAI reduction clinical response, endoscopic response, and endoscopic remission) consistently indicated that risankizumab was superior to placebo among both conventional care failure patients and biologic failure patients in both the induction and maintenance trials. However, no consistent superiority or inferiority could be established with respect to the relative efficacy of risankizumab to other active treatments including vedolizumab, ustekinumab, adalimumab, and infliximab, due to serious imprecision in most estimates. Overall, no definitive conclusions could be drawn due to several limitations. Most importantly, there were several notable sources of heterogeneity across included RCTs, making it likely that the assumption of exchangeability underlying the NMA was violated.

High uncertainty was found in the results of both published NMAs due to limitations such as inadequately addressed heterogeneity and the lack of details on how the NMA was carried out. As a result, no definitive conclusions could be drawn.

Harms

Evidence from the pivotal trials showed induction therapy (600 mg IV) and maintenance therapy (360 mg SC) with risankizumab in patients with CD was generally safe and well tolerated. No new safety risks were observed and overall, the safety profile of risankizumab in CD was similar to its known safety profile in other approved indications, based on the Health Canada–approved product monograph.7 In MOTIVATE (induction study), TEAEs, SAEs, and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation were higher in the placebo group than in the risankizumab group, primarily due to worsening CD. In ADVANCE (induction study), TEAEs occurred with similar frequency in both treatment groups, while SAEs and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation occurred with higher frequency in the placebo group. In both induction trials, the most common TEAEs with risankizumab during the 12-week induction period (> 2% of patients) were headache, arthralgia, and nasopharyngitis. In both induction trials, the most frequently reported TEAE leading to study drug discontinuation was CD worsening. Two deaths across all pivotal trials were reported, both of which occurred in the ADVANCE placebo group. In the maintenance trial (FORTIFY), TEAEs, SAEs, and AEs leading to discontinuation were similar between treatment groups and induction trials. Across the 3 trials, the incidence of notable harms in treatment groups was comparable and infrequent. In the FORTIFY trial, the 2 notable harms experienced by the highest proportion of patients in each group were hypersensitivity, of which most were injection-site reactions (risankizumab group = 6.1%; placebo group = 4.9%), and serious infections (risankizumab group = 4.5%; placebo group = 3.8%). In the SEQUENCE study, | |||||||| |||| ||||||| ||||||| |||||||||||| || |||||||||||. In general, the incidence of notable harms in both treatment groups was similarly low, with the most common in both groups being hepatic events (risankizumab group = ||||; ustekinumab group = ||||). No deaths were reported.

The clinical expert noted that most AEs of biologic therapies used to treat CD are generally mild in their clinical experience. However, the clinical expert noted that the duration of follow-up in these trials may not be sufficient to fully understand the long-term safety for rare events and those events that take longer to develop, such as malignancy.

Due to the limitations in the sponsor-submitted ITC, credible conclusions regarding the relative safety of risankizumab to placebo and other active treatments cannot be drawn. While there may be expectations that risankizumab has a comparable safety profile with other biologic drugs based on its mechanism of action, currently there is insufficient evidence to determine its relative safety to active comparators.

Conclusions

Evidence from 3 double-blind randomized trials (the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY trials) showed that compared to placebo, treatment with risankizumab resulted in clinically important improvements in clinical remission and endoscopic response at a 12-week induction period (600 mg IV) and a 52-week maintenance period (360 mg SC) in adults with moderate to severe CD who had inadequate response or were intolerant to prior conventional or biologic therapies. These results addressed key treatment outcomes noted as important by both patients and clinicians. The clinical expert consulted by CADTH considered the benefits of risankizumab on clinical remission and endoscopic response, as well as the resolution of clinical symptoms (e.g., SF and APS remission) and disease activity (e.g., CDAI clinical response), and reductions in endoscopic inflammation (e.g., endoscopic remission, ulcer-free endoscopy) to be clinically meaningful. In the maintenance trial, the secondary outcomes were generally supportive of the induction trials; however, there is some risk of false-positive conclusions due to the outcomes being tested outside the statistical testing hierarchy and/or after failure. In the induction trials, risankizumab treatment was also associated with improvement in HRQoL outcomes that met most identified MIDs; however, these findings were affected by bias and the CIs included the potential for effects that are not clinically important. The evidence was insufficient to show a difference for change in HRQoL compared to placebo in the maintenance trial. In general, risankizumab seemed safe and well tolerated compared to placebo, but long-term data are needed to further evaluate its efficacy and safety profile. Due to limitations of the preliminary data from the SEQUENCE trial comparing risankizumab to ustekinumab and ITCs, no conclusions can be drawn on the relative efficacy and safety of risankizumab compared to other active treatments.

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Appendix 1: Literature Search Strategy

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Clinical Literature Search

Overview

Interface: Ovid

Databases:

Date of search: November 23, 2022.

Alerts: Biweekly search updates until project completion.

Search filters applied: none.

Limits: No language or date limits. Conference abstracts excluded.

Table 36: Syntax Guide

Syntax

Description

/

At the end of a phrase, searches the phrase as a subject heading

MeSH

Medical Subject Heading

exp

Explode a subject heading

*

Before a word, indicates that the marked subject heading is a primary topic; or, after a word, a truncation symbol (wildcard) to retrieve plurals or varying endings

.ti

Title

.ab

Abstract

.kf

Keyword heading word

.ot

Original title

.hw

Heading word; usually includes subject headings and controlled vocabulary

.rn

Registry number

.nm

Name of substance word (MEDLINE)

.dq

Candidate term word (Embase)

.pt

Publication type

medall

Ovid database code: MEDLINE All, 1946 to present, updated daily

oemezd

Ovid database code; Embase, 1974 to present, updated daily

Multidatabase Strategy

  1. (Skyrizi* or risankizumab* or ABBV-066 or ABBV066 or BI-655066 or BI655066 or 655066-01 or L04AC18 or 90ZX3Q3FR7).ti,ab,kf,ot,hw,rn,nm.

  2. 1 use medall

  3. *risankizumab/

  4. (Skyrizi* or risankizumab* or ABBV-066 or ABBV066 or BI-655066 or BI655066 or 655066-01 or L04AC18).ti,ab,kf,dq.

  5. 3 or 4

  6. use oemezd

  7. not (conference abstract or conference review).pt.

  8. 2 or 7

  9. remove duplicates from 8

Clinical Trials Registries

ClinicalTrials.gov

Produced by the US National Library of Medicine. Targeted search used to capture registered clinical trials.

Strategy: (Other terms: Skyrizi OR risankizumab OR ABBV-066 OR ABBV066 OR BI-655066 OR BI655066 OR 655066 to 01 OR L04AC18 OR 90ZX3Q3FR7 OR 1612838 to 76 to 2) AND (Condition: Crohn OR Crohn OR Crohns OR healthy)

WHO ICTRP

International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, produced by the WHO. Targeted search used to capture registered clinical trials.

Strategy, Advanced Search: (Intervention: Skyrizi* OR risankizumab* OR ABBV-066 OR ABBV066 OR BI-655066 OR BI655066 OR 655066 to 01 OR L04AC18 OR 90ZX3Q3FR7 OR 1612838 to 76 to 2) AND (Condition: Crohn OR Crohn OR Crohns OR healthy); Recruitment status: all.

Health Canada’s Clinical Trials Database

Produced by Health Canada. Targeted search used to capture registered clinical trials.

Search terms: Drug = risankizumab, Filter = Crohn; plus Condition = Crohn, Filter = ABBV

EU Clinical Trials Register

European Union Clinical Trials Register, produced by the European Union. Targeted search used to capture registered clinical trials.

Strategy: (Skyrizi OR risankizumab OR ABBV-066 OR ABBV066 OR BI-655066 OR BI655066 OR 655066 to 01 OR L04AC18 OR 90ZX3Q3FR7 OR 1612838 to 76 to 2) AND (Crohn OR Crohn OR Crohns)

EU Clinical Trials Information System (CTIS)

New European Union clinical trials register launched January 31, 2022, produced by the European Union. Targeted search used to capture registered clinical trials.

Strategy: Viewed all trials in the database and searched for Crohn

Grey Literature

Search dates: November 15 to 21, 2022.

Keywords: risankizumab, Skyrizi; Crohn disease, Crohn

Limits: no date limits.

Updated: Search updated before the completion of stakeholder feedback period

Relevant websites from the following sections of the CADTH grey literature checklist Grey Matters: A Practical Tool for Searching Health-Related Grey Literature were searched:

Appendix 2: Description and Appraisal of Outcome Measures

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Aim

To describe the following outcome measures and review their measurement properties (validity, reliability, responsiveness to change, and MID):

Findings

Table 37: Summary of Outcome Measures and Their Measurement Properties

Outcome measure

Type

Conclusions about measurement properties

MID

CDAI

CDAI is a disease-specific index used to assess severity of CD. The CDAI consists of 8 items, each of which is independently weighted, including stool frequency (weight: 2), abdominal pain (weight: 5), general well-being (weight: 7), sum of 6 findings (weight: 20), antidiarrheal use (weight: 30), hematocrit (weight: 6), and body weight (weight: 1).

The overall CDAI score is based on the sum of the weighted value of each item and ranges from 0 to 600, where a score of 150 is defined as the threshold between remission and active disease. Scores ranging between 150 and 219 indicate mild to moderate CD and scores ranging between 220 and 450 indicate moderate to severe CD, whereas scores above 450 indicate very severe CD.33,34 Item scores are derived using patient diaries, which are based on the 7 days preceding each visit.

Construct validity: The items included in the CDAI were selected by gastroenterologists and are based on accepted features of CD.34

Criterion validity: Generally, the CDAI does not demonstrate any significant correlation between the overall score and objective measurements such as mucosal healing. However, the lack of correlation may not be indicative of a lack of criterion validity due to the multifaceted nature of CD.34 Predictability is another component of criterion validity. One study demonstrated that CDAI scores increased 2 months preceding exacerbations of CD and decreased 1 month following exacerbations of CD, therefore demonstrating criterion validity.34

Test-retest reliability: the index provided good to very good test-retest reliability evaluated based on 2 successive visits for 32 patients.34,59 The CDAI was subsequently re-evaluated and re derived using data collected from 1,058 patients and demonstrated little difference compared to the original formulation; therefore, the original version was recommended.60

No information regarding MID of CDAI in patients with CD was identified.

More recently, the FDA and EMA have suggested that a change of 100 points in CDAI is considered to be a more meaningful response (i.e., enhanced clinical response).33

SF/APS

According to the sponsor’s description,32 SF/APS consists of the SF (i.e., number of liquid or very soft stools) and APS (i.e., abdominal pain rating) components of CDAI.59

Construct validity: Based on data from a trial investigating methotrexate vs. placebo in 141 patients with chronically active CD who had received prednisone therapy for a minimum of 3 months,61 Khanna et al. (2015)62 conducted regression analyses against CDAI and found that SF/APS scores of 8, 14, and 34 points correlated with CDAI scores of 150, 220, and 450 points (R2 = 0.76), respectively, and that SF/APS change scores of 4, 5, and 8 points correlated with CDAI change scores of 50, 70, and 100 points (R2 = 0.71), respectively.

Responsiveness: the Guyatt responsiveness statistic was 0.48 (95% CI, 0.30 to 0.75) for SF/APS (conventional thresholds of 0.2, 0.5 and 0.8 indicate small, moderate, and large degrees of responsiveness, respectively).62

No information regarding the MID of SF/APS in patients with CD was identified.

SES-CD

The SES-CD was designed for the assessment of 4 endoscopic items, including size of ulcers, ulcerated surface, affected surface, and presence of narrowing.35 Each item is to be scored 0 to 3 with a total score ranging from 0 to 56. Higher scores indicate more severe disease.

Construct validity: Zheng et al.63 validated SES-CD against CDEIS in 70 patients with CD and found a strong correlation between the 2 instruments (multiple correlation coefficient: 0.920, 95% CI, 0.8740 to 0.9497). After construction of SES-CD, Zheng et al.63 validated SES-CD against CDEIS in a sample of 121 patients with CD. The Pearson and the Spearman rank correlation coefficients between SES-CD and CDEIS were 0.887 (95% CI, 0.8418 to 0.9199) and 0.910 (95% CI, 0.8734 to 0.9364) (P < 0.001), respectively. In a review, estimates of correlation between SES-CD and the CDAI ranged from 0.15 to 0.92.64

Intra- and interrater reliability: Khanna et al. (2016)65 found in 50 patients with CD that the ICC for intrarater agreement for SES-CD was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.89 to 0.95). The corresponding ICC for interrater agreement was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75 to 0.88).

No information regarding the MID of SES-CD in patients with CD was identified.

IBDQ-32

The IBDQ is a physician-administered questionnaire developed by Guyatt et al. to assess HRQoL in patients with IBD.66-68 It is a 32-item Likert-based questionnaire, divided into 4 dimensions (i.e., bowel symptoms [10 items], systemic symptoms [5 items], emotional function [12 items], and social function [5 items]). Patients are asked to recall symptoms and quality of life from the last 2 weeks, with responses graded on a 7-point Likert scale (1 being the worst situation, 7 being the best) with the total IBDQ score ranging between 32 and 224 (i.e., higher scores representing better quality of life). Scores of patients in remission typically range from 170 to 190.

This questionnaire has been validated in a variety of settings, countries, and languages.68,69

Discriminant validity: A review68 of 9 validation studies on the IBDQ in patients with IBD reported that the IBDQ was able to differentiate clinically important differences between patients with disease remission and patients with disease relapse.

Responsiveness: Six studies evaluated the IBDQ for sensitivity to change and all found that changes in HRQoL correlated to changes in clinical activity in patients with CD.68

A study conducted by Gregor et al.36 noted that a clinically meaningful improvement in quality of life would be an increase of at least 16 points in the IBDQ total score or 0.5 points or more per question in patients with CD.

FACIT-F

The FACIT-Fatigue scale is a patient-reported, fatigue questionnaire which consists of 13 measurement items and was first designed to assess self-reported fatigue associated with anemia in patients with cancer, such as breast cancer, lung cancer, and colorectal cancer.70 Patients are asked to respond to each of the 13 measurement items based on the prior 7 days. The response for each measurement item is scored on a 5-point Likert scale from 0 (not at all) to 4 (very much). The total score of the FACIT-Fatigue scale is calculated by summing the scores of all 13 measurement items and ranges from 0 to 52 with a lower score indicating more fatigue.70,71

Internal consistency: Tinsley et al.72 involving 111 patients with CD found that the internal consistency of the FACIT-F measured by Cronbach alpha was 0.95 for CD.

Construct validity: Tinsley et al.72 found that the FACIT-F correlated with the HBI at –0.49 (Pearson correlation coefficient, 95% CI, –0.61 to –0.35, P ≤ 0.001). There was no significant correlation between FACIT-F scores with erythrocyte sedimentation rate (Pearson correlation coefficient = –0.02; 95% CI, –0.29 to 0.26; P = 0.92), CRP (Pearson correlation coefficient = –0.07; 95% CI, –0.33 to 0.22; P = 0.65) or with hematocrit (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.20; 95% CI, –0.04 to 0.41; P = 0.10).

Test-retest reliability: Tinsley et al.72 found that the intraclass correlation coefficient between FACIT-F assessments was 0.78 for patients with CD (n = 47) with FACIT-F assessments completed within 180 days of each other in patients in stable health.

Studies that determined the MID of FACIT-F in patients with CD were not identified.

SF-36

The SF-36 is a generic self-reported health assessment questionnaire that has been used in clinical trials to study the impact of chronic disease on HRQoL. The original version (SF-36v1) was released in 1992; however, a revised version (SF-36v2), released in 1996, is used more commonly. The SF-36 consists of 8 domains: physical functioning, role limitations due to physical health problems, bodily pain, general health, vitality, social functioning, role limitations due to emotional health problems, and mental health. The SF-36 also provides 2 component summaries: the PCS and the MCS, which are scores created by aggregating the 8 domains. The SF-36 PCS and MCS and individual domains are each measured on a scale of 0 to 100, with an increase in score indicating improvement in health status.73

Internal consistency: In 166 patients with CD, the internal consistency estimates for the scales of SF-36 (Cronbach alpha) ranged from 0.72 to 0.90.74

Discriminant validity: SF-36 showed good discriminant ability for patients with CD (data not shown by authors).74

Test-retest reliability: intraclass correlation coefficients ranged from 0.56 to 0.89 for patients with CD.74

Responsiveness: the Guyatt statistics were –0.18 and –0.14 for physical functioning and role-physical subscales for patients with CD, respectively.74 Guyatt statistic greater than –0.2 was considered acceptable responsiveness.74

A study by Coteur et al.75 explored MID estimates within the CD patient population using data from multinational, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled parallel-group clinical trials in which clinical remission of CD was assessed using the CDAI measure as the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included the IBDQ and SF-36. All end points were measured at week 0, week 6, week 16, and week 26, and used standardized procedures. A total of 6 estimates of MID were evaluated for each SF-36 scale summary score to determine the most appropriate measure to use as the anchor: 2 analyses utilizing anchor-based methods and 4 analyses utilizing distribution-based methods. For the anchor-based estimates, a linear regression was performed using the 2 anchors, the CDAI and IBDQ. The MID estimates for the SF-36 were then extracted from the regression equations using a change of 16 points for the IBDQ total score or a score change of 50 points for the CDAI score considered as meaningful. For distribution-based estimates, measures rely on the statistical distributions of HRQoL data and include effect size measures (effect sizes of 0.2 and 0.5 were used and suggested as small to moderate effect sizes), the standard error of measurement, and the standard error of the difference. Overall, the MID for the SF-36 PCS and MCS summary scores ranged from 1.6 to 7.0 and 2.3 to 8.7, respectively, depending on the approach. Because score changes in the SF-36 showed greater correlations with score changes in the IBDQ than with the CDAI, the IBDQ was selected as the “best anchor,” with corresponding MID values of 4.1 and 3.9, respectively. The values derived by the IBDQ anchor-based method were similar to the values obtained by the distribution-based methods and were representative of small to moderate effect sizes.

EQ-5D-5L

The EQ-5D-5L is a generic self-reported HRQoL outcome measure that may be applied to a variety of health conditions and treatments.37 The first 2 components of the EQ-5D-5L assess 5 domains: mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort and anxiety/depression.37 Each domain has 5 levels: no problem; slight problems; moderate problems; severe problems; and extreme problems. A descriptive system that classifies respondents (aged ≥ 12 years) based on the following 5 dimensions: mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort, and anxiety/depression.

The EQ-5D-5L has 5 possible levels for each domain and respondents are asked to choose the level that reflects their health state for each of the 5 domains resulting in 3,125 possible health states.37 The EQ-5D-5L tool has been applied to a wide range of health conditions and treatments, including IBD.76,77 The EQ-5D-5L index score is generated by applying a multiattribute utility function to the descriptive system.78 Different utility functions are available that reflect the preferences of specific populations (e.g., US, UK). Scores less than 0 represent health states that are valued by society as being worse than dead, while scores of 0 and 1.00 are assigned to the health states ‘dead’ and ‘perfect health,’ respectively. The second component of the EQ-5D-5L is a 10 cm EQ VAS that has end points labelled 0 and 100, with respective anchors of “worst imaginable health state” and “best imaginable health state.” Respondents are asked to rate their health by drawing a line from an anchor box to the point on the EQ VAS which best represents their health on that day. Thus, the EQ-5D-5L produces 3 types of data for each respondent:

  • A profile indicating the extent of problems on each of the 5 dimensions represented by a 5-digit descriptor (e.g., 15121, 33211)

  • A population preference-weighted health index score based on the descriptive system

  • A self-reported assessment of health status based on the EQ VAS

Discriminant validity: In a study validating EQ-5D-5L in 206 patients with CD,79 EQ-5D-5L had an average Shannon index H’ of 1.18. and an average Shannon Evenness index, J′ of 0.51.

Convergent validity: In a single study,79 the correlation coefficients between EQ-5D-5L and EQ VAS ranged from −0.091 for self-care to −0.525 for pain/discomfort. Between EQ-5D-5L and CDAI scores across all dimensions, the correlation coefficients ranged from –0.028 for mobility to 0.182 for pain/discomfort. The correlation coefficients between EQ-5D-5L and PDAI ranged from 0.044 for anxiety/depression to 0.285 for pain/discomfort.

No information regarding the MID of EQ-5D-5L in patients with CD was identified.

CSS

The CSS, developed by AbbVie Inc.,32 is used to evaluate patient-reported symptoms and impact associated with CD during the past week. CSS has 14 items (i.e., bowel movement frequency, passing large amounts of gas, abdominal pain, feeling tired or lacking energy, nausea, loss of appetite, joint pain, difficulty sleeping, bloating, diarrhea, bloody stools, constipation, vomiting, and stomach gurgling or growling) and assesses CD symptom severity on a 5-level verbal rating scale ranging from 1 (“not at all”) to 5 (“very much”) for Items 1 to 8 and 1 (“never”) to 5 (“always”) for Items 9 to 14. The total score of CSS, which is calculated by summing the individual item scores, ranges from 14 to 70 with a higher score indicating worse symptoms.

Internal consistency validity: The measurement properties of CSS were measured in an observational study with 153 adults with CD (ages: 18 to 64 years).32 Results indicated a high level of internal consistency (Cronbach alpha = 0.85)

Known groups validity: the mean CSS scores were higher with significant linear trends across all groups of increasing CD severity (as measured by the PGI-S and IBDQ).32

Convergent validity: CSS had significant negative moderate correlations with IBDQ physical domains (lower scores denote greater functional impairment, Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.77 [IBDQ Systemic Symptoms], Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.88 [IBDQ Bowel Symptoms], Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.83 [mean]).32

Divergent validity: CSS had significant negative moderate to large correlations with IBDQ emotional and social domains (Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.73 [IBDQ Emotional Function], Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.71 [IBDQ Social Function], Spearman correlation coefficients = –0.72 [mean]).32

Test-retest reliability: Tn an observational study with 153 adults with CD (ages: 18 to 64 years)32 there was good test-retest reliability (ICC: 0.78).

The sponsor estimated that CSS score changes between groups that exceed 4 points are considered clinically meaningful.32

CD = Crohn disease; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CDEIS = Crohn Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity; CRP = C-reactive protein; CSS = Crohn’s Symptom Severity; CI = confidence interval; EMA = European Medicines Agency; EQ VAS = EQ-5D visual analogue scale; FACIT-F = The 13-item Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy–Fatigue scale; HBI = Harvey-Bradshaw Index; HRQoL = health-related quality of life; IBD = inflammatory bowel disease; IBDQ-32 = 32-Item Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; ICC = intraclass correlation coefficient; MCS = mental component summary; MID = minimal important difference; PDAI = Perianal Disease Activity Index; PCS = Physical Component Summary; PGIS = Patient Global Impression of Severity; SES-CD = Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF-36 = Short Form (36) Health Survey; SF/APS = stool frequency/abdominal pain score; UC = ulcerative colitis; VAS = visual analogue scale; vs. = versus.

Appendix 3: Indirect Treatment Comparison Estimates (Reference — Placebo)

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Table 38: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Efficacy Outcomes in the Induction Phase (Reference — Placebo)

Treatment

Absolute effect measure

Relative effect measure

RD (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

OR (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

CDAI clinical remission in CCF population in the induction phase

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CDAI clinical remission in BF population in the induction phase

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CDAI-100 clinical response in CCF population in the induction phase

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CDAI-100 clinical response in BF population in the induction phase

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BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; RD = risk difference; Ref = reference; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

*A network estimate was considered statistically significant if the 95% CrI excluded 0.

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Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 39: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Efficacy Outcomes in the Maintenance Phase (Reference — Placebo)

Treatment

Absolute effect measure

Relative effect measure

RD (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

RD (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

CDAI clinical remission in CCF population in the induction phase

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BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; CDAI = Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; q.8.w. every 8 weeks; q.12.w. = every 12 weeks; RD = risk difference; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

*A network estimate was considered statistically significant if the 95% CrI excluded 0.

RZB360 q.8.w. = Maintenance: SC 360 mg every 8 week

UST90 q.8.w. or UST90 q.12.w. = Maintenance: ustekinumab SC 90 mg every 12 weeks or SC 90 mg every 8 weeks

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 40: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Safety Outcomes in the Induction Phase (Reference — Placebo)

Treatment

Absolute effect measure

RD (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

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AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; RD = risk difference; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

ADA160/80 or ADA80/40 = Induction: adalimumab SC 160 mg at week 0 and 80 mg at week 2, or SC 80 mg at week 0 and 40 mg at week 2

PBO = placebo

RZB600 = Induction: risankizumab IV 600 mg at week 0, week 4, and week 8.

UST6 = Induction: ustekinumab IV Single dose based on body weight at week 0.

VDZ300 = Induction: vedolizumab IV 300 mg at week 0, week 2, and week 6.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Table 41: Network Meta-Analysis Estimates of Safety Outcomes in the Maintenance Phase (Reference — Placebo)

Treatment

Absolute effect measure

RD (vs. placebo)

Median (95% CrI)

Absolute event rate (%)

Median (95% CrI)

Any AEs

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AE = adverse event; BF = biologic failure; CCF = conventional care failure; Crl = credible interval; FE = fixed-effects; OR = odds ratio; RD = risk difference; Ref = reference; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Source: Sponsor-submitted indirect treatment comparison.11

Appendix 4: Graphical Representation of the Prespecified Multiple Testing Procedure in the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY Studies

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Figure 12: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Studies Graphical Multiple Testing Procedure for the US Protocol

Testing for the difference between treatment groups across the co-primary and secondary end points was performed using a graphical multiplicity adjustment to control the family-wise type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05. The co-primary end points were first tested, each using a two-sided significance level of 0.025. If those end points both reached statistical significance, the alpha was allocated to the ranked secondary end points which were tested sequentially.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Figure 13: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Graphical Multiple Testing Procedure for the OUS Protocol

Testing for the difference between treatment groups across the co-primary and secondary end points was performed using a graphical multiplicity adjustment to control the family-wise type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05. The co-primary end points were first tested, each using a two-sided significance level of 0.025. If those end points both reached statistical significance, the alpha was allocated to the ranked secondary end points which were tested sequentially.

Sources: MOTIVATE and ADVANCE Clinical Study Reports.8,9

Figure 14: FORTIFY Graphical Multiple Testing Procedure for the US Protocol

Testing for the difference between treatment groups across the co-primary and secondary end points was performed using a graphical multiplicity adjustment to control the family-wise type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Figure 15: FORTIFY Graphical Multiple Testing Procedure for the OUS Protocol

Testing for the difference between treatment groups across the co-primary and secondary end points was performed using a graphical multiplicity adjustment to control the family-wise type I error rate at a 2-sided significance level of 0.05.

Source: FORTIFY Clinical Study Report.10

Pharmacoeconomic Review

Abbreviations

CCC

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

CD

Crohn disease

CDAI

Crohn’s Disease Activity Index

CR-100

Clinical Response 100

ICER

incremental cost-effectiveness ratio

NMA

network meta-analysis

QALY

quality-adjusted life-year

SC

subcutaneous

WTP

willingness to pay

Executive Summary

The executive summary comprises 2 tables (Table 1 and Table 2) and a conclusion.

Table 1: Submitted for Review

Item

Description

Drug product

Risankizumab (Skyrizi), IV infusion or SC injection

Submitted price

Risankizumab:

600 mg in 10 mL vial for IV infusion: $4,593.14

360 mg in 2.4 mL prefilled cartridge for SC injection: $4,593.14

Indication

The treatment of adults with moderately to severely active Crohn disease who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies

Health Canada approval status

NOC

Health Canada review pathway

Standard

NOC date

October 19, 2022

Reimbursement request

As per indication

Sponsor

AbbVie Corporation

Submission history

Previously reviewed: Yes

Indication: Psoriasis, moderate to severe plaque

Recommendation date: May 28, 2019

Recommendation: Reimburse with clinical criteria and/or conditions

NOC = Notice of Compliance; SC = subcutaneous.

Table 2: Summary of Economic Evaluation

Component

Description

Type of economic evaluation

  • Cost-utility analysis

  • Decision tree and Markov model

Target populations

Adults with moderately to severely active Crohn disease who have had an inadequate response to, intolerance to, or demonstrated dependence on corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies (i.e., TNF alpha antagonists, gut-selective anti-inflammatory biologics, and interleukin-12 and interleukin-23 inhibitors).

Treatment

Risankizumab

Comparators

  • Adalimumab and adalimumab-biosimilar

  • Infliximab and infliximab-biosimilar

  • Ustekinumab

  • Vedolizumab and vedolizumab-SC

  • Conventional care (consisting of corticosteroids, aminosalicylates, and immunomodulators)

Perspective

Canadian publicly funded health care payer

Outcomes

QALYs, LYs

Time horizon

Lifetime (60 years)

Key data sources

MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY trials

Submitted results

  • For patients with inadequate response, lost response, or intolerance to conventional care, risankizumab was not considered a cost-effective option (extendedly dominated by vedolizumab-SC and infliximab-biosimilar).

  • For patients with inadequate response, lost response or intolerance to biologics, the ICER for risankizumab was $325,990 per QALY gained when compared to vedolizumab-SC (incremental cost = $190,704; incremental QALYs = 0.585).

Key limitations

  • The CADTH clinical review found insufficient evidence to draw conclusions about the comparative effectiveness of risankizumab compared to all comparators in conventional care failure and biologic failure populations. The sponsor’s base case relied on long-term extrapolations of clinical benefits and an assumption of no treatment waning; these were not supported by trial evidence and clinical experts felt that the extrapolations and assumption were overly optimistic.

  • The sponsor’s model did not differentiate between causes of surgery and types of surgery, and does not account for the impacts of surgery and surgical complications on quality of life, risk of recurrence, and future complications.

  • The sponsor assumed dose escalation during the maintenance period for all biologics except risankizumab, which clinical experts felt to be overly optimistic; this resulted in underestimating the total costs for risankizumab.

  • How patients moved between health states in the model (transition probabilities) relied on limited evidence and assumptions that propagated uncertainties. The resulting direction and magnitude of the impact on risankizumab’s cost-effectiveness results is unknown.

  • The sponsor’s model is associated with extremely long processing times and programming errors that prevented CADTH from conducting a probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for uncertainty around model estimates. In its absence, CADTH conducted all reanalyses deterministically.

  • Assumptions regarding severe infections arising from adverse events lacked face validity. The sponsor assumed disutilities for severe infections would last a year, which did not represent the expectation of clinical experts consulted by CADTH.

CADTH reanalysis results

  • CADTH made the following revisions to address the identified limitations, including correcting the disutility of severe infection adverse events and adopting the same rate of dose escalation for all biologics.

  • In the CADTH base case, the following results were obtained:

    • In patients with inadequate response, lost response, or intolerance to conventional care, infliximab-biosimilar was associated with an ICER of $188,134 per QALY gained compared to conventional care. Risankizumab was dominated by ustekinumab (i.e., risankizumab is associated with greater total costs [$6,903] and fewer QALYs [0.364]).

    • In patients with inadequate response, lost response, or intolerance to biologic failure, risankizumab was associated with an ICER of $535,031 per QALY gained compared to vedolizumab-SC. A price reduction of at least 41.1% would be needed for risankizumab to be cost-effective compared to vedolizumab at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY.

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LY = life-year; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; TNF = tumour necrosis factor; WTP = willingness to pay.

Conclusions

Evidence from the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY trials suggest that risankizumab is well-tolerated and effective compared to placebo as an induction and maintenance therapy for adults with moderate to severe Crohn disease (CD) who have previously shown intolerance or inadequate response to either conventional care or another biologic. However, due to limitations of the preliminary data from the SEQUENCE trial comparing risankizumab to ustekinumab, and the uncertainty in the sponsor-submitted network meta-analysis (NMA) due to notable heterogeneity across included randomized controlled trials and — in many cases — credible intervals affected by serious imprecision, no definitive conclusions on the efficacy and safety of risankizumab relative to active comparators in both conventional care failure and biologic failure patients with CD could be drawn.

CADTH identified several key limitations with the sponsor’s economic analysis. Specifically, there was uncertainty associated with the comparative and long-term efficacy of risankizumab; there were uncertain transition probabilities given the low sample size, low sampling frequency, and the calibration method used; there was a lack of differentiation between causes and types of surgeries and their downstream effects on quality of life and future complications; there were overly optimistic assumptions that patients on risankizumab would not require dose escalation; there was inappropriately high disutility for severe infection adverse events; and, there were errors in calculating disutility values for severe infections associated with treatment. CADTH undertook its reanalysis by correcting disutility values for severe infection adverse events and aligning dose escalation for all used biologics. Issues regarding the available comparative clinical evidence and information on the durability of effect could not be addressed.

Based on the CADTH base case, risankizumab was dominated by ustekinumab (risankizumab was more costly and less effective) in the conventional care failure group. CADTH’s base case for the biologic failure population resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $535,031 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for risankizumab compared to vedolizumab-SC. A price reduction analysis showed that a price reduction of at least 41.1% would be required for risankizumab to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $50,000 per QALY in the biologic failure group.

There remains a significant degree of uncertainty in the cost-effectiveness results, where issues regarding the available comparative clinical evidence and information on the durability of effect could not be addressed in CADTH reanalysis. No definitive conclusions can be drawn from the sponsor’s NMA — specifically, whether patients receiving risankizumab will benefit more than with other biologics. Yet the pharmacoeconomic model assumes that improvement in remission rates for risankizumab observed in the 52-week trial versus placebo would be maintained over a number of decades without waning. The clinical benefits with risankizumab are expected over a long time horizon; in the CADTH base case for the biologic failure population, 97% of the total 22.43 QALYs were estimated to occur beyond the 52-week trial period. While the cost of treatment with risankizumab is higher than currently available biologics, the benefit to patients and the overall impact on health care system costs are highly uncertain.

Stakeholder Input Relevant to the Economic Review

This section is a summary of the feedback received from the patient groups, registered clinicians, and drug plans that participated in the CADTH review process.

CADTH received patient input from 2 organizations, Crohn and Colitis Canada (CCC) and the Gastrointestinal Society. The CCC input contained information from a report published in 2018 (i.e., the Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Canada report),1 a 2022 survey involving 687 respondents with moderate to severe CD, and interviews with 3 patients with CD who participated in a risankizumab clinical trial. Both the CCC and the Gastrointestinal Society agreed that CD negatively impacts patients’ personal and social lives due to being unable to predict bowel movements and being unable to control flares. The CCC found that 6 in 10 respondents felt isolated because of having CD.

CADTH received clinical input from the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group, which consists of specialists in gastroenterology from across Canada with experience caring for patients with CD. The group emphasized that the goal of treatment should focus on improvements in endoscopic response, endoscopic remission, and mucosal healing. The group noted that these long-term goals could not be met with the current treatment landscape, due to the lack of safe and effective treatments that rapidly improve endoscopic appearance and maintain those improvements over the long-term. The group also claimed that there was still a high rate of surgery and postoperative recurrence in CD despite current available treatment options, such as corticosteroids (e.g., prednisone, budesonide), immunomodulators (e.g., azathioprine, methotrexate), and biologics (anti–tumour necrosis factors such as infliximab and adalimumab, anti–interleukin 12 and anti–interleukin 23 drugs such as ustekinumab, and anti-integrin drugs such as vedolizumab). They recognized the potential of risankizumab in improving both clinical and endoscopic outcomes in patients with CD, and suggested the use of risankizumab in patients with moderate to severe CD as the first-line biologic, and as a second-line drug in patients still experiencing flares or inadequate response on other existing biologics.

Feedback from drug plans stated that ustekinumab is not an appropriate comparator as it is not listed under most public drug plans in Canada. They also expressed concerns with the inclusion criteria used in 2 of the trials submitted by the sponsor, where the trials only included patients with CD with a Crohn Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score between 220 and 450 at baseline. Drug plans noted that it was unclear if this criteria were appropriate to determine whether physicians should initiate treatment with risankizumab, as not all gastrointestinal specialists may use the CDAI scoring system in Canadian clinical practice.

CADTH addressed some of these concerns as follows:

CADTH was unable to address the following concerns raised from stakeholder input:

Economic Review

The current review is for risankizumab (Skyrizi) for adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies.

Economic Evaluation

Summary of Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation

Overview

The sponsor submitted a cost-utility analysis of risankizumab compared with adalimumab, adalimumab-biosimilar, infliximab, infliximab-biosimilar, ustekinumab, vedolizumab, vedolizumab-subcutaneous (SC), and conventional care that consisted of corticosteroids (e.g., prednisone), aminosalicylates, and immunomodulators (e.g., azathioprine, cyclosporine, methotrexate, 6-mercaptopurine). The model population consisted of adults with moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response to, intolerance to, or demonstrated dependence on corticosteroids, or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies. The modelled population was in line with the reimbursement request and Health Canada–indicated population.

Risankizumab is available as a 600 mg/10 mL IV infusion, and a 360 mg/2.4 mL SC injection. The recommended dosage is 600 mg IV infusion for induction therapy at week 0, week 4, and week 8, followed by maintenance therapy with risankizumab 360 mg by SC injection at week 12, and every 8 weeks thereafter. At the submitted price of $4,593.14 per 600 mg IV infusion and $4,593.14 per 360 mg SC injection, the average annual cost for risankizumab is $41,338 in the first year and $29,855 in subsequent years.

The clinical outcome was QALYs and life-years. The economic analysis was undertaken over a time horizon of 60 years from the perspective of a Canadian publicly funded health care system. Costs and QALYs were discounted at a rate of 1.5% per annum.

Model Structure

The sponsor submitted a model consisting of a decision tree that covered up to 2 induction periods of initial treatments and a long-term Markov model with 17 health states using 2-week cycles (Appendix 3, Figure 1 and Figure 2). The model was developed in Microsoft Excel and had 3 time periods: the primary response period (the period from treatment initiation up to initial assessment of the condition), a delayed response period (in the scenario analysis), and the maintenance period (the period following primary response). The length of the induction period differed among different biologics, based on their label. At the end of each induction period, patient response status was evaluated based on Clinical Response 100 (CR-100), which defined positive response as a drop of 100 or more points in the CDAI score from the baseline to the end of the induction period. Nonresponders were switched back to conventional care after the induction period. Patients who initiated the treatment on conventional care remained on conventional care irrespective of their response status.

Those who responded to the treatment were treated with a biologic maintenance regimen. Responders entered a Markov model and were split into different health states based on their CDAI score. The Markov model included 16 alive health states that comprised 4 health states of moderate to severe (220 ≤ CDAI < 600), mild (150 ≤ CDAI < 220), remission (CDAI < 150), and surgery, repeated for 4 sets. These 4 sets included “low dose biologics after response,” “high dose biologics after response,” “conventional care after no response,” and “conventional care after response.” In each cycle, patients could transition between different CDAI-based health states or remain in their current state. Responders stayed on the same biologic treatment unless they either discontinued the treatment or escalated their dose.

Transitions to the surgery state only came from the patients in the moderate to severe health state. After undergoing surgery, patients stayed in a postsurgery tunnel state for 8 weeks and would then return to 1 of the CDAI-based health states, unless they died.

Based on the indication, the sponsor performed the analysis and reported results separately for 2 subpopulations, conventional care failure and biologic failure.

Model Inputs

The modelled population reflected the baseline characteristics of the risankizumab induction trials, based on a joint post hoc analysis of the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE intention-to-treat populations, the primary efficacy analysis for the MOTIVATE, ADVANCE, and FORTIFY studies (ITT1A populations). Based on these trials, the submitted model assumed a female sex for 45.1% of the population and a mean age of 38.83 years (standard error = 0.73) for the conventional care failure subpopulation, and a female sex for 47.5% of the population and a mean age of 38.20 years (standard error = 0.40) for the biologic failure subpopulation. Overall, 44.5% of the patients were assumed to have moderately severe disease (220 ≤ CDAI < 300), while 55.5% of the patients were assumed to have severe disease (CDAI 300+). The baseline sample consisted of 359 patients in the conventional care failure group and 1,060 patients in the biologic failure group.

Clinical efficacy inputs in the model included CDAI response rates (only for the induction phase), CDAI remission rates (for both the induction and maintenance phases), the classification of patients as mild or moderate based on CDAI score at the end of the induction phase, dose escalation, adverse events, discontinuation rates for the biologics, and the rate of surgery. The sponsor estimated the relative efficacy and safety of risankizumab versus other biologics during the induction and maintenance periods through an in-house Bayesian NMA. For patients in the conventional care failure group, positive CR-100 response rates after the induction period were assumed to be ||||% for risankizumab, ||||% for ustekinumab, ||||% for adalimumab, ||||% for infliximab, ||||% for vedolizumab, and ||% for conventional care, based on the NMA. There was significant uncertainty around these estimates with credible intervals overlapping when comparing treatments.2 For patients in the biologic failure group, positive CR-100 response rates after the induction period were assumed to be ||||% for risankizumab, ||||% for ustekinumab, ||||% for adalimumab, ||||% for vedolizumab, and ||||% for conventional care.2 A response rate was not estimated for infliximab in the biologic failure group but was assumed to be equal to that of adalimumab (which had |||| ||||| response rate when compared to infliximab in the conventional care failure group). There was significant uncertainty around these estimates with credible intervals overlapping when comparing treatments. Notably, all treatments were assumed to have ||||| CR-100 response in the biologic failure group compared to the conventional care failure group, with the exception of risankizumab. Similarly, the sponsor estimated |||||| remission rates (CDAI < 150) for infliximab when compared to risankizumab among the conventional care failure group, and did not estimate remission rates for infliximab in the biologic failure group due to lack of data (instead, the sponsor assumed that infliximab was equal to adalimumab and thus ||||| than risankizumab). Another clinical efficacy input was the rate of surgery; transitions to the surgery state only came from patients in the moderate to severe health state, who had an annual 7% probability of surgery based on NHS [National Health Service] Hospital Episode Statistics data. Incidence rates for adverse events (serious infections, tuberculosis, lymphoma, hypersensitivity, and skin reactions) were estimated using the induction and maintenance clinical trials as well as the published literature. Background mortality was obtained from Statistics Canada Life Tables based on a patient’s age and gender. CD was assumed to not cause any excess mortality.

Health utility values were based on 5-Level EQ-5D patient scores collected in the MOTIVATE and ADVANCE risankizumab induction trials and the FORTIFY maintenance trial. Patients were assumed to have the same health state utility values irrespective of treatment. The EQ-5D sample included 1,417 patients (mean age of 38.5, 47% female, 81% white, 15% Asian, 4% Black or African American, 1% of multiple racial background, and 0.3% Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander). The mean EQ-5D score associated with each health state was estimated by fitting an ordinary least squares regression to predict EQ-5D based on CDAI health state (remission, mild CD, and moderate to severe CD). The model included utility decrements to account for the impact of adverse events. Disutility values for each adverse event were based on the literature. It was assumed surgical complications did not incur health utility decrements in the model, but only affected costs. The utility value used for surgery was assumed to be equal to the moderate to severe health state.

Costs included drug acquisition and administration, disease management, adverse events, surgery, and surgical complications. Cost inputs from previous years were inflated to 2022 values using the general consumer price index from Statistics Canada. Drug acquisition costs for biologics were sourced from IQVIA DeltaPA. The sponsor’s base case included wastage for infliximab doses. For conventional care, the sponsor consulted 4 clinical experts to determine the type and proportion of conventional drugs that patients would be typically prescribed. Costs for conventional care were sourced from the Ontario Drug Benefit Formulary. The administration cost for the initial SC dose was based on the Ontario Hospital Insurance Plan Schedule of Benefits and Fees. Subsequent SC doses were assumed to be self-injections with no administration cost. The cost for both initial and subsequent IV administrations was sourced from the literature (Hughes et al.3). Ongoing monitoring, tests, and physician visits were estimated based on a survey of 4 specialists from across Canada. Unit costs for physician visits, tests, small intestine resection and anastomosis surgery, surgical complications (including wound infection, prolonged ileus or bowel obstruction, intra-abdominal abscess, and anastomotic leak), and serious adverse events (including serious infection, tuberculosis, lymphoma, hypersensitivity, and skin reactions) were obtained from the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-term Care’s Schedule of Benefits for Professional Services, the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care’s Schedule of Benefits for Laboratory Services, and the Ontario Case Costing Initiative for hospitalizations.

Summary of Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation Results

All analyses were run probabilistically with 5,000 iterations for the base case and 1,000 iterations for scenario analyses. The deterministic and probabilistic results were similar. The probabilistic findings are presented as follows.

Base-Case Results

The sponsor reported results separately for 2 groups of patients: those who previously experienced failure with conventional care, and those who previously experienced failure with biologic therapy. Among the conventional care failure group, risankizumab was extendedly dominated by conventional care and vedolizumab-SC (refer to Table 3). Among the biologic failure group, risankizumab was associated with an ICER of $325,990 per QALY gained compared to vedolizumab-SC over a 60-year time horizon (Table 4)). Vedolizumab, adalimumab, adalimumab-biosimilar, infliximab, and infliximab-biosimilar were dominated by risankizumab as they as they were more costly and generated fewer QALYs. At a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY, the probability of risankizumab being cost-effective was 0% in the biologic failure group. Based on the sponsor’s base case for the biologic failure group, a price reduction of at least 31.3% is required for risankizumab to be deemed cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY.

The main cost driver was the drug acquisition cost, followed by adverse events, and surgery-related costs. In the conventional care failure group, 66% of the total cost of $652,360 for risankizumab was drug acquisition costs ($430,327). In comparison, 51% of the total cost of $499,060 for vedolizumab-SC was drug acquisition costs ($255,088). Similarly, in the biologic failure group, 66% of the total cost of $644,341 for risankizumab was drug acquisition costs ($423,524). In comparison, 44% of the total cost of $453,637 for vedolizumab-SC in the biologic failure group was drug acquisition costs ($201,464).

Given that CD was assumed to not cause any excess mortality, life-years were similar across all comparators (16.24 for the conventional care failure group and 15.60 for the biologic failure group).

Table 3: Summary of the Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation Results — Conventional Care Failure Group

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

Sequential ICER ($/QALY)

Conventional care

284,723

19.573

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

499,060

20.644

200,097 vs. conventional care

Risankizumab

652,360

21.071

Extendedly dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

724,185

21.404

296,192 vs. vedolizumab-SC

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Note: Except for risankizumab, the only treatments that are on the efficiency frontier are reported. In the conventional care failure subgroup, ustekinumab, vedolizumab, adalimumab, adalimumab-biosimilar, and infliximab were dominated by vedolizumab-SC, while risankizumab was extendedly dominated by conventional care and vedolizumab-SC.

Source: Sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.4

Table 4: Summary of the Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation Results — Biologic Failure Group

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

Sequential ICER ($/QALY)

Vedolizumab-SC

453,637

20.569

Reference

Risankizumab

644,341

21.154

325,990 vs. vedolizumab-SC

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Note: Except for risankizumab, only treatments that are on the efficiency frontier are reported. In the biologic failure subgroup, vedolizumab, adalimumab, adalimumab-biosimilar, infliximab, and infliximab-biosimilar were dominated by risankizumab, while ustekinumab was extendedly dominated by vedolizumab-SC and risankizumab.

Source: Sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.4

Additional results from the sponsor’s submitted economic evaluation base case, including cost-effectiveness acceptability curves and cost-effectiveness acceptability frontiers, are provided in Appendix 3.

Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis Results

The sponsor performed scenario analyses that included a societal perspective, alternative discount rates, time horizons of 10 years and 20 years, alternative data sources for maintenance treatment efficacy, response criteria, alternate utility values from the literature, the separation of moderate and severe health states, the adjustment of utility values for age, and vial sharing for infliximab. Base-case results remained robust across most scenario analyses. One exception was the comparison between risankizumab and vedolizumab-SC, where risankizumab was not cost-effective in the base-case analysis but would become cost-effective when the societal cost perspective and an alternative response criterion (3 70-point decrease from baseline in CDAI score [CDAI-70]) were adopted.

In the sensitivity analysis, the conventional care Markov transition matrix, the probability of remission with low-dose risankizumab maintenance therapy, the risankizumab induction response, remission probabilities, and whether the NMA or raw efficacy data were used for induction had the greatest impact on the results.

CADTH Appraisal of the Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation

CADTH identified several key limitations to the sponsor’s analysis that have notable implications for the economic analysis.

Additionally, the following key assumptions were made by the sponsor and have been appraised by CADTH (refer to Table 5).

Table 5: Key Assumptions of the Submitted Economic Evaluation (Not Noted as Limitations to the Submission)

Sponsor’s key assumption

CADTH comment

The sponsor divided up the target population into patients who had failed conventional care and patients who had previously failed a biologic therapy and assessed them separately.

Reasonable. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was acceptable.

The sponsor did not estimate rates of positive response and remission after the induction period for infliximab in the biologic failure group due to lack of data. The sponsor assumed that infliximab will have the same response and remission rates as adalimumab.

Reasonable. However, the clinical experts consulted by CADTH noted that although data are limited, in general it is believed that infliximab has a higher positive response rate than adalimumab, and thus the sponsor’s assumption is unacceptable.

Patients on adalimumab were assumed to discontinue due to lack of efficacy at the same rate as infliximab patients.

Reasonable. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was acceptable.

Patients using infliximab-SC or vedolizumab-SC were assumed to follow the same discontinuation rate as their respective IV formulations considering comparable efficacy.

Reasonable. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was acceptable.

Crohn disease is assumed to cause no excess mortality.

Reasonable. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was acceptable.

The efficacy of biosimilar drugs was assumed to be equal to that of the brand name original drug.

Reasonable. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was acceptable.

CDAI response was assumed to be a surrogate to define patient response and disease severity.

Not appropriate. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH agreed that CDAI is an acceptable scoring system but noted that in clinical practice, HBI is often favoured as it is easier to calculate.

In sourcing disutility value for adverse events, the sponsor implicitly assumed a 1-year duration for each episode of severe infections.

Not appropriate. The clinical experts consulted by CADTH found this assumption was unreasonable and estimated the severe infections to last 2 weeks to 4 weeks on average.

The same utility values were assumed for each health state, irrespective of the treatment arm.

Reasonable.

CDAI = Crohn Disease Activity Index; HBI = Harvey-Bradshaw Index; SC = subcutaneous.

CADTH Reanalyses of the Economic Evaluation

Base-Case Results

CADTH corrected the sponsor’s model by changing the disutility for severe infections from –0.52 in the sponsor’s base case (based on an implicit assumption that episodes of severe infections last a year) to –0.04 (based on a 4-week duration for a severe infection). The CADTH base case was derived by making changes in model parameter values and assumptions, in consultation with clinical experts. CADTH’s base case assumed that patients on a maintenance dose of all biologics have an annual dose escalation probability of 15%. The CADTH changes were unable to address several major issues of the submission — namely, the uncertainty of risankizumab’s comparative efficacy and the uncertainty of its effectiveness and safety over time.

Table 6: CADTH Revisions to the Submitted Economic Evaluation

Stepped analysis

Sponsor’s value or assumption

CADTH value or assumption

Corrections to sponsor’s base case

1. Disutility for severe infections

–0.52

–0.04

Changes to derive the CADTH base case

1. Inconsistent dose escalation

No dose escalation for risankizumab, 40% annual dose escalation for ustekinumab and vedolizumab, and 55% annual dose escalation for adalimumab and infliximab

15% annual dose escalation for all biologics

CADTH base case

1

Results from the CADTH base case suggest that in the conventional care failure group, infliximab-biosimilar was associated with higher costs ($353,316) and improved QALYs (1.878), with an ICER of $188,134 per QALY gained compared to conventional care. In the conventional care failure group, risankizumab was dominated by ustekinumab, which itself was extendedly dominated (refer to Appendix 4, Figure 4). In the biologic failure group, risankizumab was associated with higher costs ($191,541) and improved QALYs (0.358), with an ICER of $535,031 per QALY gained compared to vedolizumab-SC (refer to Figure 5 in Appendix 4 for other comparators that were dominated); risankizumab had a 0% probability of being cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY.

In the biologic failure group, of the 22.433 QALYs estimated for risankizumab compared to vedolizumab-SC in the CADTH base case, only 0.684 (3%) were estimated to occur during the pivotal trial time frame (52 weeks). Of the $644,562 total cost for patients receiving risankizumab, $423,149 (66%) was treatment acquisition costs.

Table 7: Summary of the Stepped Analysis of the CADTH Reanalysis Results for Conventional Care Failure Group

Stepped analysis

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

ICER ($/QALY)

Sponsor’s base case (probabilistic)

CC

284,723

19.573

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

499,060

20.644

200,097 vs. CC

Risankizumab

652,360

21.071

Extendedly dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

724,185

21.404

296,192 vs. CC

Sponsor’s base case (deterministic)

CC

285,396

19.597

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

492,784

20.609

204,896 vs. CC

Risankizumab

633,435

20.940

Extendedly dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

720,868

21.287

336,333 vs. CC

Sponsor’s corrected base case (deterministic)

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

492,784

22.136

189,395 vs. CC

Risankizumab

633,435

22.261

Extendedly dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

720,868

22.916

292,415 vs. CC

CADTH reanalysis 1
(deterministic)

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Risankizumab

633,325

22.259

Dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

638,712

22.919

188,134 vs. CC

CADTH base case (deterministic)

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Risankizumab

633,325

22.259

Dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

638,712

22.919

188,134 vs. CC

CC = conventional care; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Note: Reanalyses are based on publicly available prices of the comparator treatments. Besides risankizumab, the only treatments that are on the efficiency frontier are reported. Additional details are provided in Appendix 4.

Table 8: Summary of the Stepped Analysis of the CADTH Reanalysis Results for Biologic Failure Group

Stepped analysis

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

ICER ($/QALY)

Sponsor’s base case (probabilistic)

Vedolizumab-SC

453,637

20.569

Reference

Risankizumab

644,341

21.154

325,990

Sponsor’s base case (deterministic)

Vedolizumab-SC

452,985

20.584

Reference

Risankizumab

644,681

21.161

332,229

Sponsor’s corrected base case (deterministic)

Vedolizumab-SC

452,985

22.074

Reference

Risankizumab

644,681

22.435

531,014

CADTH reanalysis 1
(deterministic)

Vedolizumab-SC

453,021

22.075

Reference

Risankizumab

644,562

22.433

535,031

CADTH base case (deterministic)

Vedolizumab-SC

453,021

22.075

Reference

Risankizumab

644,562

22.433

535,031

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous.

Note: Reanalyses are based on publicly available prices of the comparator treatment. Only treatments that are on the efficiency frontier are reported. Additional details are provided in Appendix 4.

Scenario Analysis Results

Based on CADTH’s base case, a series of scenario analyses was conducted. These analyses explored the impact of setting a similar rate of serious infection adverse events for all biologics, of limiting analysis time horizon to 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years, and of considering dose escalation only for treatments that reported dose escalation rates in their pivotal trials.

For patients in the conventional care failure group, repeating the analysis with time horizons of 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years resulted in ICERs of $195,939, $154,371, and $159,112 per QALY gained, respectively, when comparing infliximab-biosimilar against conventional care. For patients in the biologic failure group, repeating the analysis with time horizons of 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years resulted in ICERs of $483,167, $476,635, and $503,814 per QALY gained, respectively, when comparing risankizumab against vedolizumab-SC. Of the total 22.435 QALYs estimated for risankizumab in the CADTH base case, 0.684 (3%) were accumulated during the first year, 3.395 (15%) were accumulated during the first 5 years, and 6.529 (29%) were accumulated during the first 10 years of follow-up. Assuming no dose escalation for vedolizumab, infliximab, and risankizumab resulted in an ICER of $533,752 per QALY for risankizumab compared to vedolizumab-SC in the biologic failure group and did not change the dominated status of risankizumab in the conventional care failure group.

A price reduction analysis was conducted for the conventional care failure group based on sponsor’s base case and CADTH’s reanalysis (refer to Table 9). The sponsor argued that conventional care should not be included in this analysis since, by definition, those in the conventional care failure group will not respond to conventional care. Therefore, compared to the second least expensive comparator, vedolizumab-SC, a price reduction of at least 33.1% (based on the CADTH base case) is required for risankizumab to be considered cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY. When conventional care is included in the price reduction analysis, the results indicate that a price reduction of at least 70.6% (based on the CADTH base case) is required for risankizumab to be considered cost-effective compared to conventional care at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY.

Table 9: CADTH Price Reduction Analyses for Conventional Care Failure Group

Analysis

ICERs ($/QALY)

Price reduction

Sponsor’s base case

CADTH reanalysis

No price reduction

Extendedly dominated = risankizumab

WTP < $296,217 = vedolizumab

WTP ≥ $296,217 = INF-BIO

Dominated = risankizumab

WTP < $186,549 = vedolizumab

WTP ≥ $186,549 = INF-BIO

10%

WTP < $263,691 = vedolizumab

$263,691 ≤ WTP < $337,924 = risankizumab

WTP ≥ $337,925 = INF-BIO

Extendedly dominated = risankizumab

WTP < $186,549 = vedolizumab

WTP ≥ $186,549 = INF-BIO

20%

WTP < $168,365 = vedolizumab

$168,365 ≤ WTP < $460,159 = risankizumab

WTP ≥ $460,159 = INF-BIO

Extendedly dominated = risankizumab

WTP < $186,549 = vedolizumab

WTP ≥ 186,549 = INF-BIO

30%

WTP < $73,040 = vedolizumab

$73,040 ≤ WTP < $582,392 = risankizumab

WTP ≥ $582,393 = INF-BIO

WTP < $150,672 = vedolizumab

$150,672 ≤ WTP < $193,179 = risankizumab

WTP ≥ $193,180 = INF-BIO

40%

Dominant = risankizumab

Dominant = risankizumab

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; INF-BIO = infliximab-biosimilar; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; WTP = willingness to pay.

Note: Calculations used deterministic results. Conventional care was excluded as a comparator.

A price reduction analysis was conducted for the biologic failure group based on the sponsor’s base case and CADTH’s reanalysis (refer to Table 10). The results indicate that a price reduction of at least 41.1% (based on the CADTH base case) is required for risankizumab to be considered cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY.

Table 10: CADTH Price Reduction Analyses for Biologic Failure Group

Analysis

ICERs for risankizumab vs. vedolizumab-SC ($/QALY)

Price reduction

Sponsor base case

CADTH reanalysis

No price reduction

332,229

535,031

10%

242,194

416,821

20%

152,159

298,623

30%

62,125

180,425

40%

Dominant

62,226

50%

Dominant

Dominant

ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Note: Calculations used deterministic results.

Overall Conclusions

Evidence from the ADVANCE, MOTIVATE, and FORTIFY trials suggest that risankizumab is well-tolerated and effective compared to placebo as an induction and maintenance therapy for adults with moderate to severe CD who have previously shown intolerance or inadequate response to either conventional care or another biologic. However, due to limitations of the preliminary data from the SEQUENCE trial comparing risankizumab to ustekinumab, and the uncertainty in the sponsor-submitted NMA due to notable heterogeneity across included randomized controlled trials and — in many cases — credible intervals affected by serious imprecision, no definitive conclusions on the efficacy and safety of risankizumab relative to active comparators in both conventional care failure and biologic failure patients with CD could be drawn.

CADTH identified several key limitations with the sponsor’s economic analysis. Specifically, there was uncertainty associated with the comparative and long-term efficacy of risankizumab; there were uncertain transition probabilities given the low sample size, low sampling frequency, and the calibration method used; there was a lack of differentiation between causes and types of surgeries and their downstream effects on quality of life and future complications; there were overly optimistic assumptions that patients on risankizumab would not require dose escalation; and there were errors in calculating disutility values for severe infections associated with treatment. CADTH undertook its reanalysis by correcting disutility values for severe infection adverse events and aligning dose escalation for all used biologics. Issues regarding the available comparative clinical evidence and information on the durability of effect could not be addressed.

CADTH’s base case for the biologic failure population resulted in an ICER of $535,031 per QALY gained for risankizumab compared to vedolizumab-SC. A price reduction analysis showed that a price reduction of at least 41.1% would be required for risankizumab to be cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY in the biologic failure group.

Based on the CADTH base case, risankizumab was dominated by ustekinumab (risankizumab was more costly and less effective) in the conventional care failure group. A price reduction analysis showed that a price reduction of at least 33.1% would be required for risankizumab to be cost-effective at a WTP threshold of $50,000 per QALY in the conventional care failure group. However, if conventional care is deemed a reasonable comparator in the conventional care failure group, the price reduction would rise to 70.6%.

There remains a significant degree of uncertainty in the cost-effectiveness results, where issues regarding the available comparative clinical evidence and information on the durability of effect could not be addressed in CADTH reanalyses. No definitive conclusions can be drawn from the sponsor’s NMA — specifically, whether patients receiving risankizumab will benefit more than with other biologics. Yet the pharmacoeconomic model assumed that improvement in remission rates for risankizumab observed in the 52-week trial versus placebo would be maintained over a number of decades without waning. The clinical benefits with risankizumab are expected over a long time horizon; in the CADTH base case for the biologic failure population, 97% of the total 22.43 QALYs were estimated to occur beyond the 52-week trial period. While the cost of treatment with risankizumab is higher than currently available biologics, the benefit to patients and overall impact on health care system costs are highly uncertain.

References

1.2018 Impact of inflammatory bowel disease in Canada. Toronto (ON): Crohn's and Colitis Canada; 2018: https://crohnsandcolitis.ca/About-Us/Resources-Publications/Impact-of-IBD-Report. Accessed 2023 Feb 2.

2.The relative efficacy and safety of risankizumab (RZB) versus other biologics for treating patients with active moderate-to-severe Crohn’s disease (CD): a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA). Version 4.0. [internal sponsor's report]. In: Drug Reimbursement Review sponsor submission: Skyrizi (risankizumab); 360 mg in 2.4 mL sterile solution (150 mg/mL) subcutaneous Injection, 600 mg in 10 mL sterile solution (60mg/mL) for intravenous infusion. St. Laurent (QC): AbbVie; 2022.

3.Hughes A, Marshall JK, Moretti ME, Ungar WJ. A Cost-Utility Analysis of Switching from Reference to Biosimilar Infliximab Compared to Maintaining Reference Infliximab in Adult Patients with Crohn’s Disease. Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology. 2020;4(1):48-48. PubMed

4.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation [internal sponsor's report]. In: Drug Reimbursement Review sponsor submission: Skyrizi (risankizumab); 360 mg in 2.4 mL sterile solution (150 mg/mL) subcutaneous Injection, 600 mg in 10 mL sterile solution (60mg/mL) for intravenous infusion. St. Laurent (QC): AbbVie; 2022.

5.Brown RE, Hutton J, Burrell A. Cost effectiveness of treatment options in advanced breast cancer in the UK. Pharmacoeconomics. 2001;19(11):1091-1102. PubMed

6.Worbes-Cerezo M, Nafees B, Lloyd A, Gallop K, Ladha I, Kerr C. Disutility study for adult patients with moderate to severe Crohn's disease. J Health Econ Outcomes Res. 2019;6(2):47-60. PubMed

7.D'Haens G, Panaccione R, Baert F, et al. Risankizumab as induction therapy for Crohn's disease: results from the phase 3 ADVANCE and MOTIVATE induction trials. Lancet. 2022;399(10340):2015-2030. PubMed

Appendix 1: Cost Comparison Table

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

The comparators presented in the following table have been deemed to be appropriate based on feedback from clinical experts. Comparators may be recommended (appropriate) practice or actual practice. Existing Product Listing Agreements are not reflected in the table and as such, the table may not represent the actual costs to public drug plans.

Table 11: CADTH Cost Comparison Table for Crohn Disease

Treatment

Strength / concentration

Form

Pricea

Recommended dosageb

Daily cost

Average annual cost

Risankizumab (Skyrizi)

360 mg in 2.4 mL

Subcutaneous injection

$4,593.14004

600 mg by IV infusion at week 0, week 4, and week 8, followed by 360 mg administered by subcutaneous injection at Week 12, and every 8 weeks thereafter

Year 1: $113.17

Subsequent years: $75.45

Year 1: $41,338

Subsequent years: $29,855

600 mg in 10 mL

IV infusion

Relevant active comparators

Adalimumab (Humira)

40 mg in 0.8 mL

20 mg in 0.2 mL

Subcutaneous injection

$794.1000

Induction: 160 mg at Week 0, followed by 80 mg at week 2

Maintenance: 40 mg every other week beginning at week 4

Year 1: $67.44

Subsequent years: $56.57

Year 1: $19,852

Subsequent years: $24,617

Adalimumab biosimilarc

40 mg in 0.8 mL

20 mg in 0.2 mL

Subcutaneous injection

$471.2700

Induction: 160 mg at week 0, followed by 80 mg at week 2

Maintenance: 40 mg every other week beginning at week 4

Year 1: $40.03

Subsequent years: $33.57

Year 1: $14,609

Subsequent years: $12,253

Infliximab (Remicade)

100 mg/vial

Vial for IV Infusion

$977.0000

Induction: 5 mg/kg given at 0, 2 and 6 weeks

Maintenance: 5 mg/kg every 8 weeks

Year 1: $76.23

Subsequent years: $66.70

Year 1: $27,824

Subsequent years: $24,346

Infliximab-biosimilar

(Avsola)

100 mg/vial

Vial for IV Infusion

$493.0000

Induction: 5 mg/kg given at 0, 2 and 6 weeks

Maintenance: 5 mg/kg every 8 weeks

Year 1: $40.03

Subsequent years:

$0.13

$33.57

Year 1: $14,609

Subsequent Years: $12,253

Infliximab-biosimilar (Inflectra)

100 mg/vial

Vial for IV Infusion

$525.0000

Induction: 5 mg/kg given at 0, 2 and 6 weeks

Maintenance: 5 mg/kg every 8 weeks

Year 1: $43.22

Subsequent years: $37.82

Year 1: $15,776

Subsequent years: $13,804

Infliximab-biosimilar (Renflexis)

100 mg/vial

Vial for IV Infusion

$493.0000

Induction: 5 mg/kg given at 0, 2 and 6 weeks

Maintenance: 5 mg/kg every 8 weeks

Year 1: $40.03

Subsequent years: $33.57

Year 1: $14,609

Subsequent years: $12,253

Vedolizumab (Entyvio)

300 mg/vial

Vial for IV Infusion

$3,290.0000

Induction: 300 mg given at week 0, week 2, week 6

Maintenance: 300 mg given every 8 weeks after

Year 1: $72.11

Subsequent years: $63.10

Year 1: $26,320

Subsequent years: $23,030

108 mg injection

Subcutaneous injection

$822.5000

Induction: 300 mg of vedolizumab IV given at week 0 and week 2

Maintenance: 108 mg given every 2 weeks there after

Year 1: $72.11

Subsequent years: $54.08

Year 1: $26,320

Subsequent years: $21,385

Ustekinumab (Stelara)

45 mg/0.5 mL

90 mg/1.0 mL

130 mg/vial

Subcutaneous injection

Vial for IV Infusion

$4,593.1400

$4,593.1400

$2,080.0000

Induction: 45 mg given at week 0, week 2

Maintenance: 45 mg given every 12 weeks after

Year 1: $98.89

Subsequent years: $81.80

Year 1: $29,855

Subsequent years: $36,095

Note: All weight-based calculations are based on mean weight of 71.2kg taken from the ADVANCE and the MOTIVATE trial,7 and assumes wastage.

aPrice of risankizumab provided by Abbive Pharma Inc. Prices from comparators referenced from Ontario, Alberta, and Saskatchewan. Excludes mark-up and dispensing fees.

bRecommended dosing regimens referenced from each product’s respective product monograph.

cConsisting of either Yuflyma, Simlandi, Amgevita, Hadlima, Hyrimoz, Abrilada, Hulio, Idacio, or Abrilada.

Source: Ontario Drug Benefit Formulary and Saskatchewan Formulary (accessed January 2023).

Appendix 2: Submission Quality

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Table 12: Submission Quality

Description

Yes/no

Comments

Population is relevant, with no critical intervention missing, and no relevant outcome missing

Yes

No comment.

Model has been adequately programmed and has sufficient face validity

No

Multiple programming errors in PSA runs, resulting in results not being calculated for some comparators. Model is extremely slow to run (over 24 hours for 5,000 PSA runs). Reported ICERs do not always exactly match reported incremental costs and QALYs.

Model structure is adequate for decision problem

Yes

No comment.

Data incorporation into the model has been done adequately (e.g., parameters for probabilistic analysis)

No

Disutility for severe infection adverse events has been improperly imported from the literature, thus implicitly assuming that severe infections last a year.

Parameter and structural uncertainty were adequately assessed; analyses were adequate to inform the decision problem

No

Refer to limitations.

The submission was well organized and complete; the information was easy to locate (clear and transparent reporting; technical documentation available in enough details)

Yes

No comment.

Appendix 3: Additional Information on the Submitted Economic Evaluation

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Figure 1: Decision Tree Model Structure

Diagram showing patient movement through the sponsor’s submitted decision tree. Patients enter in the decision tree with moderate-to-severe Chron disease and receive risankizumab, another biologic drug, or conventional care and can experience a treatment response or no response. Patients in the response state at the end of the decision tree transition to the Markov model in Figure 2.

CC = conventional care; CD = Chron disease; RZB = risankizumab.

Source: Sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.4

Figure 2: Markov Model Structure

Diagram showing patient movement through the sponsor’s submitted Markov model after the initial decision tree referred to in Figure 1. Patients enter the Markov model in either the response or no response state and can subsequently transition to states including remission, mild Chron disease, moderate-to-severe Chron disease, or undergo surgery.

Source: Sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.4

Figure 3: Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Frontier

Cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier diagram showing the relative costs and quality-adjusted life-years predicted by the sponsor’s submission for risankizumab and each comparator treatment for the conventional care failure population in part a of the figure and the biologic failure population in part b of the figure.

ADA = adalimumab; BF = biologic failure; Bio = biosimilar; CC = conventional care; CCF = conventional care failure; CE = cost-effectiveness; INF = infliximab; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; RZB = risankizumab; SC = subcutaneous; UST = ustekinumab; VDZ = vedolizumab.

Source: Sponsor’s pharmacoeconomic submission.4

Detailed Results of the Sponsor’s Base Case

Table 13: Disaggregated Summary of Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation Results — Conventional Care Failure Group

Parameter

Risankizumab

Infliximab-biosimilar

CC

Incrementala

Discounted LYs

Total

16.2414

16.2414

16.2414

0

Discounted QALYs

Total

21.071

21.404

19.573

By health state or data source

   Remission (CDAI < 150)

6.707

9.775

1.513

8.262

   Mild (150 ≤ CDAI < 220)

8.495

7.852

9.382

–1.530

   Moderate-severe (CDAI 220+)

7.451

5.816

10.377

–4.560

   Surgery states

0.159

0.124

0.222

–0.098

   Adverse event utility decrements

–1.741

–2.163

–1.920

–0.242

Discounted costs ($)

Total

652,360

724,185

284,723

439,461

Biologic acquisition

430,327

453,900

0

453,900

Biologic administration

1,118

22,547

0

22,547

Conventional care

20,164

22,787

29,683

–6,896

CDAI health states

26,107

22.141

33,145

–11,004

Surgery-related

55,728

43,492

78,175

–34,684

Adverse events

118,814

159,317

143,720

15,597

ICER ($/QALY)

Extendedly dominated

239,982

CC = conventional care; CDAI = Crohn Disease Activity Index; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LY = life-year; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.

aCalculated between treatments on the cost-effectiveness frontier (infliximab-biosimilar and CC).

Table 14: Disaggregated Summary of Sponsor’s Economic Evaluation Results — Biologic Failure Group

Parameter

Risankizumab

Vedolizumab-SC

Incremental

Discounted LYs

Total

15.5984

15.5984

0

Discounted QALYs

Total

21.154

20.569

By health state or data source

   Remission (CDAI < 150)

5.545

4.522

1.023

   Mild (150 ≤ CDAI < 220)

9.3

9.055

0.244

   Moderate-severe (CDAI 220+)

7.831

8.737

–0.906

   Surgery states

0.165

0.185

–0.02

   Adverse event utility decrements

–1.687

–1.930

0.243

Discounted costs ($)

Total

644,341

453,637

190,703

Biologic Acquisition

423,524

201,464

222,060

Biologic Administration

1,099

2,083

–984

Conventional care

19,474

23,097

–3,622

CDAI health states

27,259

29,317

–2,058

Surgery-related

57,736

64,632

–6,896

Adverse Events

115,249

133,045

–17,796

ICER ($/QALY)

382,211

CDAI = Crohn Disease Activity Index; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LY = life-year; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.

Appendix 4: Additional Details on the CADTH Reanalyses and Sensitivity Analyses of the Economic Evaluation

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Detailed Results of CADTH Base Case

Figure 4: Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Frontier for CADTH Reanalysis of Conventional Care Failure Group

Cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier diagram showing the relative costs and quality-adjusted life-years predicted by the CADTH base case for risankizumab and each comparator treatment for the conventional care failure group.

ADA = adalimumab; BF = biologic failure; bio = biosimilar; CC = conventional care; CCF = conventional care failure; CE = cost-effectiveness; INF = infliximab; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; RZB = risankizumab; SC = subcutaneous; UST = ustekinumab; VDZ = vedolizumab.

Table 15: Disaggregated Summary of CADTH’s Economic Evaluation Results — Conventional Care Failure Group

Parameter

Risankizumab

Infliximab-biosimilar

CC

Incrementala

Discounted LYs

Total

16.2414

16.2414

16.2414

Discounted QALYs

Total

22.259

22.806

21.041

1.765

By health state or data source

   Remission (CDAI < 150)

5.962

8.351

1.454

6.898

   Mild (150 ≤ CDAI < 220)

8.923

8.700

9.549

–0.848

   Moderate-severe (CDAI 220+)

7.636

6.145

10.288

–4.143

   Surgery states

0.167

0.134

0.225

–0.091

   Adverse event utility decrements

–0.429

–0.524

–0.474

–0.050

Discounted costs ($)

Total

633,325

644,352

285,396

358,956

Biologic acquisition

406,862

370,753

0

370,753

Biologic administration

489

21,656

0

21,656

Conventional care

20,698

23,064

29,686

–6,622

CDAI health states

26,659

23,120

33,007

–9,887

Surgery-related

58,313

47,024

79,005

–31,981

Adverse events

120,303

158,736

143,697

15,038

ICER ($/QALY)

Dominated

203,395

CC = conventional care; CDAI = Crohn Disease Activity Index; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LY = life-year; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.

aCalculated between treatments on the cost-effectiveness frontier (infliximab-biosimilar and CC).

Figure 5: Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Frontier for CADTH Reanalysis of Biologic Failure Group

Cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier diagram showing the relative costs and quality-adjusted life-years predicted by the CADTH base case for risankizumab and each comparator treatment for the biologic failure group.

ADA = adalimumab; BF = biologic failure; bio = biosimilar; CC = conventional care; CCF = conventional care failure; CE = cost-effectiveness; INF = infliximab; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; RZB = risankizumab; SC = subcutaneous; UST = ustekinumab; VDZ = vedolizumab.

Table 16: Disaggregated Summary of CADTH’s Economic Evaluation Results — Biologic Failure Group

Parameter

Risankizumab

Vedolizumab-SC

Incremental

Discounted LYs

Total

15.5984

15.5984

0

Discounted QALYs

Total

22.433

22.075

0.359

By health state or data source

   Remission (CDAI < 150)

5.397

4.411

0.986

   Mild (150 ≤ CDAI < 220)

9.515

9.272

0.243

   Moderate-severe (CDAI 220+)

7.767

8.646

–0.879

   Surgery states

0.169

0.188

–0.019

   Adverse event utility decrements

–0.414

–0.442

0.028

Discounted costs ($)

Total

644,562

453,021

191,537

Biologic acquisition

423,149

201,449

221,700

Biologic administration

489

489

0

Conventional care

19,491

23,105

–3,614

CDAI health states

27,180

29,174

–1,994

Surgery-related

58,968

65,752

–6,784

Adverse events

115,280

133,049

–17,770

ICER ($/QALY)

535,031

CDAI = Crohn Disease Activity Index; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; LY = life-year; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year.

Scenario Analyses

Table 17: Summary of CADTH Scenario Analyses — Conventional Care Failure

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

ICER ($/QALY)

Sponsor’s corrected base case

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

492,784

22.136

189,395 vs. CC

Risankizumab

633,435

22.261

Extendedly dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

720,868

22.916

292,415 vs. CC

CADTH’s base case

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Risankizumab

633,325

22.259

Dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

638,712

22.919

188,134

CADTH's scenario analysis 1: Reducing time horizon to 10 years

CC

83,285

6.150

Reference

Infliximab-biosimilar

182,571

6.774

159,112

Risankizumab

206,017

6.547

Dominated

CADTH's scenario analysis 2: Reducing time horizon to 5 years

CC

43,267

3.202

Reference

Infliximab-biosimilar

94,827

3.536

154,371

Risankizumab

113,564

3.407

Dominated

CADTH's scenario analysis 3: Reducing time horizon to 1 years

CC

8,784

0.661

Reference

Infliximab-biosimilar

21,716

0.727

195,939

Risankizumab

32,263

0.688

Dominated

CADTH's scenario analysis 4: Same serious infection AE rate as risankizumab for all biologics

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Vedolizumab-SC

488,319

22.168

180,055 vs. CC

Risankizumab

626,825

22.277

Dominated

Infliximab-biosimilar

642,318

22.921

189,852 vs. CC

CADTH's scenario analysis 5: No dose escalation for infliximab, vedolizumab, and risankizumab

CC

285,396

21.041

Reference

Infliximab-biosimilar

552,753

22.921

142,211

Risankizumab

633,435

22.261

Dominated

CC = conventional care; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous; vs. = versus.

Table 18: Summary of CADTH Scenario Analyses — Biologic Failure

Drug

Total costs ($)

Total QALYs

ICER ($/QALY)

Sponsor’s corrected base case

Vedolizumab-SC

452,985

22.074

Reference

Risankizumab

644,681

22.435

531,014

CADTH’s base case

Vedolizumab-SC

453,021

22.075

Reference

Risankizumab

644,562

22.433

535,031

CADTH's scenario analysis 1: Reducing time horizon to 10 years

Vedolizumab-SC

143,788

6.400

Reference

Risankizumab

208,780

6.529

503,814

CADTH's scenario analysis 2: Reducing time horizon to 5 years

Vedolizumab-SC

79,776

3.321

Reference

Risankizumab

115,047

3.395

476,635

CADTH's scenario analysis 3: Reducing time horizon to 1 years

Vedolizumab-SC

23,737

0.666

Reference

Risankizumab

32,434

0.684

483,167

CADTH's scenario analysis 4: Same serious infection AE as risankizumab for all biologics

Vedolizumab-SC

449,800

22.087

Reference

Risankizumab

644,556

22.433

562,879

CADTH's scenario analysis 5: No dose escalation for infliximab, vedolizumab, and risankizumab

Vedolizumab-SC

453,064

22.076

Reference

Risankizumab

644,681

22.435

533,752

CC = conventional care; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life-year; SC = subcutaneous.

Appendix 5: Submitted Budget Impact Analysis and CADTH Appraisal

Note that this appendix has not been copy-edited.

Table 19: Summary of Key Take-Aways

Key take-aways of the budget impact analysis

  • CADTH identified the following key limitations with the sponsor’s budget impact analysis:

    • the estimated proportion of patients that would be eligible for public coverage is uncertain

    • using a claims-based approach to estimate the market size introduces additional uncertainty to the anticipated budget impact.

  • The identified issues could not be addressed in CADTH’s base case; therefore, it did not differ from the sponsor’s analysis; which found the anticipated budget impact was $10,897,238 in year 1, $12,300,264 in year 2, $32,425,718 in year 3, for a 3-year total of $55,623,220.

Summary of Sponsor’s Budget Impact Analysis

The sponsor submitted a budget impact that assess the introduction of risankizumab for the treatment of moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies. The analysis took the perspective of CADTH-participating Canadian public drug plans using a claims-based approach and incorporated drug acquisition costs. A time horizon of 3 years was taken. The size of the target population was estimated by considering the number of patients with CD using biologic therapies by province, and the percentage of patients with CD who are covered by a provincial drug plan as specified in the IQVIA GPM database which captures patients with CD living in Canada from Q1 to 2020 to Q1 to 2022. Key inputs to the budget impact analysis are documented in Table 20.

Key assumptions included the following:

Table 20: Summary of Key Model Parameters

Parameter

Sponsor’s estimate

(reported as year 1/year 2/year 3 if appropriate)

Target population

Number of patients treated with biologic therapy

24,342 / 26,994 / 30,125

Market uptake (3 years)

Uptake (reference scenario)

Risankizumab

Adalimumab

Adalimumab-biosimilar

Infliximab

Infliximab-biosimilar

Vedolizumab

Ustekinumab

0.00% / 0.00% / 0.00%

6.24% / 0.00% / 0.00%

24.67% / 29.08% / 27.81%

10.92% / 0.00% / 0.00%

43.24% / 55.55% / 56.74%

12.25% / 12.53% / 12.54%

2.68% / 2.84% / 2.91%

Uptake (new drug scenario)

Risankizumab

Adalimumab

Adalimumab-biosimilar

Infliximab

Infliximab-biosimilar

Vedolizumab

Ustekinumab

2.43% / 2.90% / 6.15%

5.13%/ 0.00% / 0.00%

25.05% / 28.00% / 25.70%

8.56% / 0.00% / 0.00%

42.23% / 52.02% / 51.49%

13.83% / 14.16% / 13.77%

2.76% / 2.92% / 2.90%

Cost of treatment (per patient per year)

Risankizumab

Adalimumab

Adalimumab-biosimilar

Infliximab

Infliximab-biosimilar

Vedolizumab

Ustekinumab

$29,855 to $36,745

$20,717 to $23,823

$12,295 to $14,138

$25,764 to $31,601

$12,862 to $15,776

$21,458 to $26,320

$29,957 to $35,878

Summary of the Sponsor’s Budget Impact Analysis Results

The sponsor’s estimated budget impact for funding risankizumab as a treatment for moderately to severely active CD who have had an inadequate response, intolerance, or demonstrated dependence to corticosteroids; or an inadequate response, intolerance, or loss of response to immunomodulators or biologic therapies was $10,897,238 in year 1, $12,300,264 in year 2, and in $32,425,718 year 3, for a 3-year total of $55,623,220.

The sponsor conducted several scenario analyses testing alternative assumptions. The changes with the greatest impact on the results included a change in the mean dose per administration of infliximab (mg/kg), changes in the market penetration of risankizumab, changes in the size of the total biologic market for eligible patients, and a change in the proportion of the market eligible for public coverage.

CADTH Appraisal of the Sponsor’s Budget Impact Analysis

CADTH identified several key limitations to the sponsor’s analysis that have notable implications on the results of the budget impact analysis:

CADTH Reanalyses of the Budget Impact Analysis

CADTH identified several key limitations that could not be accounted for in a reanalysis, due to the underlying data used in the model. Therefore, there is a large degree of uncertainty when interpreting the sponsor-submitted result. As previously described the sponsor predicts a 3-year budget impact of $55,623,220.

CADTH performed scenario analyses accounting for changes to the proportion of public coverage and the price reduction to risankizumab required to be cost-effective at a $50,000/QALY WTP threshold.

Table 21: Detailed Breakdown of the CADTH Reanalyses of the Budget Impact Analysis

Stepped analysis

Scenario

Year 0 (current situation)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

3-year total

Submitted base case

Reference

$424,911,409

$412,502,695

$410,476,659

$448,495,349

$1,271,474,703

New drug

$424,911,409

$423,399,934

$422,776,923

$480,921,067

$1,327,097,924

Budget impact

$0

$10,897,238

$12,300,264

$32,425,718

$55,623,220

CADTH scenario analysis: 100% public coverage

Reference

$797,154,305

$749,547,763

$727,083,830

$790,959,723

$2,267,591,315

New drug

$797,154,305

$769,432,685

$749,868,072

$851,270,762

$2,370,571,519

Budget impact

$0

$19,884,922

$22,784,243

$60,311,039

$102,980,203

CADTH scenario analysis: 41.1% price reduction

Reference

$424,911,409

$412,502,695

$410,476,659

$448,495,349

$1,271,474,703

New drug

$424,911,409

$414,613,640

$412,908,401

$455,757,108

$1,283,279,150

Budget impact

$0

$2,110,945

$2,431,742

$7,261,759

$11,804,446

BIA = budget impact analysis.

Stakeholder Input

Patient Input

Gastrointestinal Society

About the Gastrointestinal Society

The GI (Gastrointestinal) Society is committed to improving the lives of people with GI and liver conditions, supporting research, advocating for appropriate patient access to healthcare, and promoting gastrointestinal and liver health.

We are a national charity formed in 2008 on the groundwork of its partner organization, the Canadian Society of Intestinal Research (CSIR), which was founded in Vancouver in 1976. We receive national and international attention, simply because we have earned the respect of both the gastrointestinal medical community and Canadians who battle GI and liver issues daily. Our English and French websites received 7,839,520 pageviews by 5,753,826 unique visitors in 2021. This is increasing year over year.

All our programs and services focus on providing Canadians with trusted, commercial-free, medically-sound information on gut and liver diseases and disorders in both official languages. Our BadGut® lectures, quarterly Inside Tract® newsletter, pamphlets, support groups, and educational videos arm Canadians with the information they require to better understand and manage their specific needs. We also work closely with healthcare professionals and governments at all levels toward system-wide improvements in care and treatment.

Information Gathering

The information we used to complete this submission was obtained primarily through questionnaires and interviews:

  1. 2015 survey on biologics and biosimilars (then called subsequent entry biologics) completed by 423 Canadians (English: 317 and French: 106) with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis

  2. 2018 survey on the unmet need in IBD completed by 432 Canadians with IBD

  3. 2020 survey completed by 579 respondents regarding the unmet needs of IBD

  4. 2020 survey on biosimilars with 145 respondents, most of whom had IBD (some had other inflammatory conditions)

  5. 2022 survey about the IBD patient journey with 54 Canadian respondents with IBD

  6. one-to-one interviews with 2 individuals with Crohn’s disease who participated in a clinical trial for risankizumab and received the trial drug

  7. 2022 focus group with several persons living with Crohn’s disease so we could map the patient journey and animate it (pictured here), which will be available on our website in early December at www.badgut.org/patient-journeys

  8. We also had contact with patients affected by IBD through one-to-one conversations at our BadGut® Lectures; a patient roundtable; recent phone/email/social media interactions with individuals who have IBD; and stories submitted over time from patients.

Figure 1: Crohn’s Disease Patient Journey

SR0767SI-fig01.png

Disease Experience

Crohn’s disease is an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) that can arise at any age, commonly occurring in young people. There is an increased risk for those who have a family member with the condition. Currently, Canada has among the highest prevalence and incidence yet reported in the world, with approximately 135,000 diagnosed individuals.

Diarrhea, rectal bleeding, abdominal pain, and weight loss are some of the common recurring symptoms of Crohn’s disease. Inflammation decreases the intestine’s absorptive surfaces, triggering watery stools that can lead to fecal urgency and poor control of bowel function. Low red blood cell count (anemia) can result from blood loss due to ulcerations in the intestine and from general malnutrition due to decreased nutrient absorption and the debilitating effects of the disease.

Some patients have extra-intestinal manifestations, including fever, inflammation of the eyes or joints (arthritis), ulcers of the mouth or skin, tender and inflamed nodules on the shins, and numerous other conditions. Anxiety, stress, and mental health are major factors.

Crohn’s disease often has a profound effect on an individual’s life – physically, emotionally, and socially, both at home and at school or in the workplace. Symptoms can be relentless, embarrassing, and scary. The severity of the disease can fluctuate, making it necessary to go through routine testing, reassessments, and medication changes. It is particularly difficult for children and young adults, since it often affects a person’s sense of self.

More than anything, patients have told us that sustained remission/treatment response is more important than relieving any one symptom of Crohn’s disease. As a chronic disease, it is never just one flare that dominates the impact of the disease, but the constant concern that there will be future flares, possibly worse than the last, at unpredictable times, which can disastrously disrupt their lives.

The following quotes are from individuals describing what it feels like during a Crohn’s disease flare, and what their biggest concern is, in their own words:

“Your gut aches and burns and there is often blood in the toilet. You lose your appetite and weight, unhealthily! My biggest concern is I'm going to run out of meds to help!”

“It’s like I can’t control anything, I feel weak and can barely get up. My biggest concern is usually when I see blood and determining at what point to go to the ER.”

“The pain is worse than childbirth... and I have 3 kids...1 labour without drugs.”

“Worst flu symptoms, fatigue, lethargy, like swallowing glass and chili and then having constipation and diarrhea at the same time. Gut cramps and hunger cramps at the same time. Want to die. Biggest concern is needing a toilet at all times with zero minutes waiting time.”

“It feels like my guts are in a vise. The nausea can be so bad I can't move or even vomit and the diarrhea is so painful I'll be literally screaming in the bathroom.”

“The worst part is fear of irreversible permanent damage that will affect your day-to-day life forever.”

It is so exhausting and feels like it will never end. You start to question if you can still live the life you planned. And no-one gives you a break.”

A flare can come out of nowhere and completely disrupt your life. Pain can sometimes be so bad that it keeps you in bed. You mostly spend life either asleep or on the toilet. My biggest concern during a flare is being able to keep up with my responsibilities (work, school, social, etc.).”

“It feels like your body is betraying you. You can’t plan anything in advance because you don’t know how your body will feel on a day-to-day basis.”

“There’s a huge element of fear and worry and being faced with mortality at such a young age.”

One of the patients who participated in a clinical trial for risankizumab has a family history of Crohn’s disease. She shared, “When I was 14 years old, I watched my uncle that I love lose 100 lbs in a year. He was told he had a 50/50 chance of surviving. Now, he is thriving, but he has short bowel syndrome (SBS).” Some patients with Crohn’s disease that undergo surgical resection of their small intestine develop SBS. This condition can be very difficult, as it requires lifelong management in addition to Crohn’s disease. Symptoms vary but typically include chronic diarrhea, fatigue, dehydration, and malnutrition. Management includes dietary modifications, which can require total parenteral nutrition or parenteral nutrition depending on severity, medications, and, regrettably, more surgery.

It’s one thing to read a list of common symptoms or data on how Crohn’s disease affects patients, but it is the individual stories of these patients, as summarized above, which astound us and motivate us to support patients’ need for more diversity in effective treatments. In addition, treatments should improve quality of life, not cause more symptoms, pain, frustration, or hardship.

Experiences With Currently Available Treatments

The treatment of Crohn’s disease is multi-faceted; it includes managing the symptoms and consequences of the disease along with therapies targeted to reduce the underlying inflammation. Typically, a patient starts on one type of treatment and, if there is inadequate response, then switches to another type.

5-ASA helps to settle acute inflammation and, for some patients, keeps the inflammation inactive when taken on a long-term basis (maintenance). To reduce inflammation in moderate to severe cases of Crohn’s disease, corticosteroids can help. For topical relief in the colon, corticosteroids are available in rectal formulations. These are inconvenient therapies that make it difficult for patients to keep a normal routine. Also, if a patient has significant diarrhea, then the rectal medications may be difficult to hold in place for sufficient time to be effective. Immunosuppressive agents reduce dependence on steroids and help patients who have steroid-resistant disease, but it could take up to six months or more of therapy to see results.

Biologics treat Crohn’s disease when older medications fail to relieve symptoms. However, there are a variety of mechanisms through which they work. A newer class of medication for IBD, Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors, typically work faster than other immunosuppressive medications, pose no risk for immunogenicity, unlike biologics, and are easier and more convenient to take since they are in pill form. However, they are currently only available for individuals with ulcerative colitis.

While there are a few options available, patients still have a lot of difficulty obtaining remission or adequate symptom relief. In one of our surveys, we asked patients if the currently available medications are adequate to control their disease. Only 24% of those with IBD thought that the available medications are adequate, 56% found them to be only somewhat adequate, and 20% not at all adequate. Patients are still suffering, and they need new and effective options to achieve mucosal healing and reduce the debilitating symptoms of Crohn’s disease.

Improved Outcomes

Patients affected by Crohn’s disease need access to medications that work. Inadequate access to medication results in preventable patient suffering (e.g., continual, debilitating disease symptoms; secondary illnesses such as depression and anxiety disorders; and loss of family/social interactions). It also leads to unnecessary usage of healthcare resources (e.g., hospital stays, surgeries, diagnostic procedures, other medications) and a ripple effect of financial burden on the government and taxpayers (e.g., through inability to work, long-term disability claims, biologic-related debt, and even bankruptcy).

We know that biologics are effective at treating Crohn’s disease; these medications have revolutionized treatment for inflammatory conditions. In one of our surveys, 63% of respondents reported symptom reduction on a biologic and 23% reported confirmed remission. Many of these individuals had been suffering for years trying to find a treatment that works. Unfortunately, due to several factors, including non-medical switching policies adding stresses and burdens on patients’ continuity of care as well as loss of control on treatment choice, some patients are no longer taking biologics at all. Many patients already feel powerless and are fearful of the future impacts of the disease on their health.

When the Crohn’s disease patient receives the right medication at the right time and for the right duration – as determined between physician and patient – these individuals can live full, rewarding lives as productive, valuable citizens who participate in the workforce and community. However, since patients are unique, they respond differently to various medications, and in some cases stop responding to medications after using them for some time, it is important to have a variety of options available.

Experience With Drug Under Review

We interviewed two patients who have experience with risankizumab from clinical trial sites in Canada. Both continue to take the medication and have been on it since 2018 and 2019, respectively.

Patient 1

She has been living with Crohn’s disease for 5+ years, and it has progressed from moderate to severe. She first started feeling symptoms when she was 21 years old. She started with a 5-ASA (Pentasa®) for three months, but it did not improve her symptoms and lab tests revealed that it did not have any effect in reducing inflammation. Although it was an oral medication, she had to take it three times a day and it was burdensome for her to carry around a big pill bottle everywhere. “They were like horse tranquilizers,” she said, and they were expensive. “When something’s not working for that long, I started to miss my lunch dose, etc. At that time, I was trying to be very careful with my diet and there were still very little relief with my symptoms.”

Fortunately, her gastroenterologist’s office was one of the clinical trial sites for risankizumab. The first year of the trial was intensive, since it required her to have a colonoscopy every three months, but this has now reduced to once a year. For her, it was worth it for the improvements it had on her symptoms and quality of life. “It worked straight away. It was quite shocking how quickly it started to work. The intensity of the early phase is very much worth the longer-term convenience you get once you get to remission.”

When she was very ill, she was “strapped” to the toilet, but now she doesn’t need to constantly think of where the nearest bathroom is. She no longer has blood on her stool, her inflammation has gone down, and she did not experience any major side effects. She has an ileal stricture, which was stretched a few times before but has not needed this procedure since being on risankizumab. After 1-2 years of taking risankizumab, she achieved deep remission. She has not had adjustments to her dosage or needed a rescue dose.

She finds risankizumab to be more convenient to take than oral medications. Currently, she takes injections every 8 weeks, which allows her to plan in between. “I can go on trips and not have to worry about forgetting my pills.” She simply stores the injections in her fridge she has not had any issues with self-administration. She has friends living with Crohn’s disease that are taking biologics, such as infliximab (Remicade®), and they feel “a little run down.” For her, “there’s never a need to take some downtime. The impact was not draining, and it did not take the energy out of [her] during treatment, unlike some of the other biologics.”

She had a COVID-19 infection in June 2022, but she continues to feel well. “Being on the drug and feeling better, I felt like I was not living on survival mode. I can focus on a comprehensive treatment and care plan, and am able to try different complementary treatments and have the energy to seek out these resources… It has basically given my quality of life back… At no point have I ever thought I regret this decision.”

Patient 2

She started experiencing symptoms after she had her daughter in 2015. She weighed more than 285 lbs and was seeking help from a registered dietitian on weight loss. Her symptoms started to become difficult in 2018, and in 2019, she was hospitalized with rectal bleeding and intolerable pain. The next morning, she met a gastroenterologist who informed her about the clinical trial and recommended it to her since he has seen his patients do better with risankizumab. She’s never had any medications for Crohn’s disease. An hour into her first appointment with the first dose, the sharp shooting pain in her abdomen disappeared. That evening, she slept for the entire night for the first time in years.

Her dosage has not changed but she needed two rescue doses, and she believes these are linked to her mental health. In the first instance, she plateaued and needed a rescue dose after her dad passed away. She also sought counselling to help with her mental health. However, she has not experienced any side effects and the medication is so easy to take that the “sticker hurts more than the needle.” Risankizumab also helped alleviate with her cystic acne and eczema, which in turn has given her the confidence to wear anything she wants. Her back is not as sore, and her cystic acne is gone. She no longer needs medications for cystic acne, saving her more than $100 per month, and she no longer needs to see a dermatologist.

“In my life, I’ve gone from being bed ridden and only being able to eat one meal a day to living a normal life. I could supper and not have to run to the bathroom. I have not found any disadvantages with this medication. I live a normal life. The only side effect is that I have not lost weight.”

Although she has not had experience with other medications for Crohn’s disease, she emphasized that it’s important to have risankizumab as a treatment option when patients hit rock bottom. Clearly, each case of Crohn’s disease is unique in that the physician is treating an individual patient, potentially with co-morbidities and other influences. What works for one person does not necessarily work for another. Choice among effective treatment options is essential for patients.

Companion Diagnostic Test

Not applicable.

Anything Else?

Both patients stressed the importance of having access to risankizumab as an affordable treatment option. “I am low income, and I would not be able to afford this medication. I wish more people had this medication. I wish it was more accessible across Canada.”

Conflict of Interest Declaration — Gastrointestinal Society

To maintain the objectivity and credibility of the CADTH reimbursement review process, all participants in the drug review processes must disclose any real, potential, or perceived conflicts of interest. This Patient Group Conflict of Interest Declaration is required for participation. Declarations made do not negate or preclude the use of the patient group input. CADTH may contact your group with further questions, as needed.

Did you receive help from outside your patient group to complete this submission? If yes, please detail the help and who provided it.

Yes. We are incredibly grateful for the time and input that we received from the patients who had direct experience with risankizumab. We also have a wide range of individuals from across the country who respond to our surveys and requests for real information on what it is like to live with Crohn’s disease.

Did you receive help from outside your patient group to collect or analyze data used in this submission? If yes, please detail the help and who provided it.

No.

List any companies or organizations that have provided your group with financial payment over the past 2 years AND who may have direct or indirect interest in the drug under review.

Table 1: Financial Disclosures for Gastrointestinal Society

Company

$0 to 5,000

$5,001 to 10,000

$10,001 to 50,000

In Excess of $50,000

AbbVie

X

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

About Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada is the only national, volunteer-based health charity focused on finding the cures for Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis, the two main forms of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and improving the lives of children and adults affected by these diseases. https://crohnsandcolitis.ca/

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada is one of the top health charity funders of Crohn’s and colitis research in the world, investing over $140 million in research since our founding in 1974. The organization also delivers on its promise through patient programs, advocacy and awareness. We help improve the quality of lives today by:

Crohn’s and Colitis Canada is comprised of approximately 65,000 supporters including volunteers, donors or individuals interested in engaging with the organization. There is no paid membership. Crohn’s and Colitis Canada is governed by a national volunteer Board of Directors. The organization has a network of volunteer-led Chapters in 46 communities across the country, offering information, events, fundraising opportunities and encouragement. There are thousands of volunteers from coast-to-coast supporting Crohn’s and Colitis Canada’s mission.

Information Gathering

Information summarized in this section was compiled from a variety of sources. Information was drawn from Crohn’s and Colitis Canada (CCC) published reports, including the 2018 “Impact of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) in Canada Report”, a survey conducted in early 2022 to better understand the priority needs and concerns of IBD patients and their caregivers (1,700 respondents; 687 with moderate to severe Crohn’s disease) and live interviews with three patients who participated in the Skyrizi clinical trial conducted in Canada. Percentages reported below are based on the 687 survey respondents with moderate to severe Crohn’s disease.

Disease Experience

Crohn’s disease (CD) is a life-long, episodic, autoimmune disease that primarily affects the large intestine. CD can be diagnosed in all age groups but most diagnoses are amongst youth, young adults (16 – 30 years) and seniors. The majority of Canadians living with CD are working-age Canadians. CD can affect anywhere in the gastrointestinal system, from mouth to bum. Symptoms include unpredictable urgent bowel movements, bloody diarrhea, bloating, unbearable pain and often debilitating fatigue. CD unfortunately affects every aspect of a person’s life from family, friends and work activities. Due to unpredictable urgency of bowel movements, accidents are not uncommon, especially when a patient is experiencing a flare. Patients often hide their disease from work colleagues, friends and even relatives because of the perceived stigma of the condition being a “poop” disease. Unable to predict when their next flare will occur and how to control their flare, isolation, stress and anxiety are companions to the patient’s disease journey. In extreme cases, patients have thought of suicide because of their inability to control/cope with the impacts of CD on their personal and social lives, as well as consequences in their career or school. 6 in 10 respondents felt that their CD has impacted their romantic relationships. Chronic fatigue and anemia are also consequences of CD.

Crohn’s disease is perceived as a lonely disease in that 9 in 10 felt that most people do not understand what CD is and almost 6 in 10 felt isolated because of their CD.

Experiences With Currently Available Treatments

Canadians have one of the highest rates of prevalence of Crohn’s disease, however, when compared with other Western countries, there are fewer treatment options available for people with moderate to severe forms of CD. 6 out of 10 of the respondents feared running out of treatment options. That currently available treatments are suboptimal to treat CD is apparent where 8 out of 10 of the respondents hoped for better treatments to better manage their disease.

In spite of being on treatments, over 7 in 10 respondents indicated that they experienced diarrhea, bloating and unpredictable urgency to use the washroom at least some of the days. 5 in 10 experienced rectal bleeding and nausea and vomiting.

Improved Outcomes

Patients seek any treatments that can mitigate their symptoms to protect a patient’s ability to work productively, attend school and social events, and even basic daily necessities like leaving the house to run errands or have the energy to maintain a household or raise children. Quality of life could be greatly improved in CD patients if their flares are brought into remission and current treatment options do not appear to be addressing the symptoms of most concern for CD patients.

When asked which factors are the most important in managing their CD, 8 in 10 indicated (along with medication) unpredictable and frequent bowel movements, pain and fatigue. In spite of their treatments, over 7 in 10 respondents indicated that they experienced diarrhea, bloating and unpredictable urgency to use the washroom at least some of the days. 5 in 10 experienced rectal bleeding and nausea and vomiting.

When asked about other important aspects of treatment options, taking fewer medications and minimizing chronic steroid use were scored highly; where at least 7 in 10 respondents scored 7 and above for fewer medications and 9 in 10 for minimizing chronic steroid use (on a sliding scale of 0 (not important at all) to 10 (extremely important), with an additional option of “I don’t know”).

Experience With Drug Under Review

Based on the three interviews of CD patients who participated in the clinical trial, Skyrizi appears to be a welcome addition to treatment options for people living with CD.

Interviewee 1

“In my experience, Skyrizi has been life altering. I’m getting emotional speaking about this. It’s a wonder drug.”

This person had been living with CD for 33 years prior to being enrolled in the Skyrizi clinical trial. Since diagnosis, they indicated that quality of life was almost non existent where none of the treatments seemed to help in addressing their symptoms sufficiently.

Because of their suboptimal responsiveness to available treatments, the interviewee was prescribed systemic steroids to control their disease. The individual had to undergo hip surgery and their right knee has deteriorated significantly because of steroid use.

Within six months of treatment, the interviewee felt like “[I] didn’t have Crohn’s disease anymore”. The person loves being able to self-inject at home (vs clinic) and finds the treatment non-intrusive to their life. Excluding some minor bloating, the interviewee is symptom-free and loves being able to eat food again without having to worry about aggravating symptoms.

Interviewee 2

“Being on Skyrizi has been night and day for me”.

Interviewee 2 was diagnosed with CD in 2018 and had been experiencing symptoms at least one year before.

They initially tried self-managing with diet but eventually realized that diet alone was insufficient. This person was prescribed Pentasa, which was not helpful in managing their disease. The interviewee commented on adherence being a problem because of the size of the pills (large) and the dose frequency. They were shortly after enrolled in the Skyrizi clinical trial. This individual also responded to Skyrizi quickly, beginning within the first three months of treatment. They expressed that they once again had energy to focus on their career and life again. “When I think about time before Skyrizi, the amount of time I had to think about Crohn’s vs now, does not compare…. [CD] no longer not hinders my life.”

Interviewee 3

Interviewee 3 began feeling symptoms in 2015 but attributed the symptoms to stress. It 2019, the individual was hospitalized due to severe pain and rectal bleeding but was not properly diagnosed until they were referred to a gastroenterologist. The interviewee was immediately recruited to the Skyrizi clinical trial. Although they did not know whether they were given a placebo or the drug, they noticed a difference in their symptoms three hours after the first dose: Their bloating, pain and the frequency of bowel movements diminished and “It was the first time in years since I could sleep through the night.” They were able to eat an entire meal with the family without needing to use the washroom. During their last colonoscopy, the gastroenterologist confirmed that they are still in remission. “I am feeling amazing, I can drink and eat almost anything I want, and I can walk to my garage again!”

Side effects: None of the people interviewed expressed any side effects of using Skyrizi

Key values of Skyrizi: convenience of being able to self-administer at home, easy to administer, painless, almost immediate improvements in symptoms, no/minimal side effects (based on the three interviewees)

Companion Diagnostic Test

Access to companion diagnostics was not an issue since all three interviewees were participating in the clinical trial.

Anything Else?

No.

Conflict of Interest Declaration — Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

To maintain the objectivity and credibility of the CADTH reimbursement review process, all participants in the drug review processes must disclose any real, potential, or perceived conflicts of interest. This Patient Group Conflict of Interest Declaration is required for participation. Declarations made do not negate or preclude the use of the patient group input. CADTH may contact your group with further questions, as needed.

Did you receive help from outside your patient group to complete this submission?

No.

Did you receive help from outside your patient group to collect or analyze data used in this submission? If yes, please detail the help and who provided it.

Yes. Leger helped us to design the survey, deployed the survey and provided the initial analysis of the survey results. Sub analysis of the moderate to severe Crohn’s disease respondents was conducted in-house.

List any companies or organizations that have provided your group with financial payment over the past 2 years AND who may have direct or indirect interest in the drug under review.

Table 2: Financial Disclosures for Crohn’s and Colitis Canada

Company

$0 to 5,000

$5,001 to 10,000

$10,001 to 50,000

In Excess of $50,000

AbbVie

X

Clinician Input

Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group

About the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group

The clinician group consists of Canadian specialists in gastroenterology from across the country (henceforth referred to as the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) Specialist Group or Group), with specific interest and expertise in the field of inflammatory bowel disease. Collectively, the Group has over 250 cumulative years of caring for patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) and has published over 1700 peer-reviewed manuscripts in the IBD field. The publications include individuals who led the most recent Canadian Association of Gastroenterology (CAG) Canadian Consensus Guidelines on the treatment of Crohn’s disease (2019) as well as leaders of the 2018 Crohn’s Colitis Canada impact of IBD in Canada report.

Information Gathering

On September 13, 2022, the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) Specialist Group met virtually to discuss the current CD treatment landscape. The meeting consisted of individual presentations where the data supporting topics including current available treatments, treatment goals, and unmet needs was reviewed. In addition, a review of the safety and efficacy data from the risankizumab phase 3 development program was presented. These presentations were followed by workshops where participants reflected on the data presented and offered their personal expert opinion(s) on the above topics. The final discussion focused on the CD burden in Canada and described how access to risankizumab could fulfil the unmet needs in the treatment landscape and how this may benefit patients and society in the short and long term.

The “consensus” captured during the meeting serves to guide the input to the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technology in Health (CADTH) for risankizumab reported here. The report was reviewed by the group present as well as additional experts who did not attend the September 13, 2022, meeting. The summary of the discussion is captured herein.

Current Treatments and Treatment Goals

Disease Overview and Background

CD is an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) characterized by recurrent, chronic, uncontrolled, idiopathic immune-mediated inflammation that can affect any part of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract from mouth to anus.1 Although inflammation in CD can occur anywhere in the GI tract, it most commonly affects the small intestine and/or colon.2,3 As CD is a chronic but fluctuating disease, patients will go through periods in which the disease flares up, is active and causes disabling symptoms.4 Symptoms of CD include: persistent diarrhea (loose, watery, or frequent bowel movements), cramping, abdominal pain, fever and, at times, rectal bleeding.5 These may also be accompanied by loss of appetite, subsequent weight loss and fatigue.5 The latter is particularly problematic with no therapy approved to treat the fatigue often associated with the disease which can independently affect quality of life. The hallmark of disease activity is the inflammation which can be seen on endoscopic or radiographic evaluation. Endoscopy remains the gold standard in diagnosing and detecting active disease.

CD can be classified according to the Montreal classification, which considers age of onset (≤16, 17- 40, >40 years), disease location (terminal ileum, colon, ileocolon, upper GI tract), and disease behaviour (non-stricturing/non-penetrating, stricturing, penetrating).3

Historically, disease activity in CD has been assessed in clinical trials using tools that measure signs and symptoms of the disease and in clinical practice by subjective assessment of signs and symptoms.6 Overall, disease activity can be assessed using patient-reported outcomes (PROs) as well as the Crohn’s Disease Activity Index (CDAI). A CDAI score of :c150 indicates remission, which was used in many of the phase 3 clinical trials for CD therapies.7-17 The CDAI incorporates both subjective and objective components, including hematocrit, bodyweight, abdominal mass, the use of medications, and extraintestinal manifestations (EIM).18

However, the CDAI is a point in time assessment and does not truly capture the severity of the disease as the score is not associated with prognosis or disease course (such as the need for hospital admissions or surgery). Aside from CDAI, complete CD assessment should consider factors such as overall risk profile and the disease impact on the patient. Risk factors that have been associated with a higher incidence of relapse or a more aggressive/complicated disease course include clinical factors (younger age, smoking, longer disease duration, early need for corticosteroids, and fistulizing perianal CD), laboratory markers (low hemoglobin, low albumin, high C-reactive protein (CRP) and high fecal calprotectin levels), disease location, disease burden, and most notably the endoscopic appearance (the presence of deep ulcers).19-26

For patient-reported symptoms, those most frequently attributable to CD activity are stool frequency and abdominal pain.27,28 Two PRO measures that can be used to gauge symptom remission are PRO2 (stool frequency and pain) and PRO3 (stool frequency, pain, and general well-being). These measures have been shown to be responsive to treatment-associated changes in disease activity.29 A PRO2 score of <8 corresponds to a CDAI score of <150 (clinical remission).27,28 The PRO2 has been employed as a treatment endpoint in clinical trials outside of the United States.

The CDAI and PRO2 correlates poorly with scores of endoscopic disease severity and with fecal (calprotectin) and serum biomarkers of inflammation CRP.29-31 Thus, to detect and assess disease activity and align with current treatment target recommendations, patients should also be periodically evaluated for disease activity via fecal calprotectin testing, other non-invasive testing, and periodic endoscopic evaluation according to the Canadian Specialist Group to ensure that the therapy is controlling disease activity, not only symtpoms. 32

Disease Burden

Canada has the highest prevalence of IBD in the world.33 According to the 2018 Impact of IBD in Canada Report, approximately 270,000 Canadians were living with IBD, of which 135,000 had CD. For every 100,000 Canadians, 16.3 new cases of CD are diagnosed.34 By 2030, the number of people living with IBD is expected to rise to over 400,000, or approximately 1% of the population.34 Studies have shown that up to one third of patients require hospitalization within the first year after diagnosis and more than half within five years.35

IBD can be diagnosed at any age but has a typical age of onset in adolescence or early adulthood, at a time when patients are pursuing employment, building families, and reaching key milestones.36-38 In addition to the tremendous impact that IBD has on quality of life (QoL), people living with IBD face myriad challenges, including prolonged symptoms due to late or inappropriate diagnosis, social stigma of having a chronic disease that affects toileting habits, difficulty with excursions due to limited or uncertain access to bathroom facilities, affordability of medications, diminished employment prospects, limited community-based supports, and inequitable access to health care services and specialists.39-41

A 2015 systematic review of publications relating to CD, its economic burden, and impact on health- related quality of life (HRQoL) found that CD in the U.S. and Europe together was associated with annual total costs of nearly €30 billion, more than half due to indirect costs.42 Among CD patients, HRQoL was consistently and statistically significantly lower when compared with normal populations, due to physical, emotional, and social effects.42

The Canadian Specialist Group underscored that the broader psychosocial effects among their CD patient populations are often overlooked. These can emerge or worsen when the disease is uncontrolled despite management with currently available treatment options. The Group noted that after several treatment options fail to control symptoms, patients often experience deteriorating mental health due to stress, despair, and a loss of hope that manifests as anxiety and depression. The Group cited that patients with uncontrolled CD often undergo a loss of productivity, missing days or sometimes weeks of school or work, especial during flare ups. The Group reported that symptoms of CD that persist lead many patients to forego opportunities for advancements at school, or promotions at work for fear of not being able to function adequately on any added responsibilities. According to the Group, social isolation and strained intimacy in relationships are also issues experienced and reported by many patients.

Minimal data is available on caregiver costs, and even less in a Canadian context. In a U.S. study of pediatric IBD patients using health insurance databases, 200 patients with CD and their caregivers were compared to age-matched controls without IBD and their caregivers. Unadjusted annual hours of work loss were 214.4 ± 171.5 and 169.6 ± 157.5 for caregivers of CD patients compared to controls, translating to annual lost productivity costs of USD $5,243 and USD $4,121 per caregiver, respectively.43 The Canadian Specialist Group stated that CD often poses a huge financial burden for families of patients. The Group noted that direct caregivers often stay home as well to care for a CD patient during flares and if they undergo surgery, which contributes to a further loss of income to the family. The burden of caregiving often has ripple effects on the entire family unit in terms of emotional and psychological impact, according to the Group.

Direct Costs in Canada

Direct healthcare costs of IBD that encompass the costs of medically necessary services and treatments paid for by public and private payers, including hospital-based care, outpatient physician consultations, prescription medications, diagnostic testing, complex continuing care, and home care, was estimated to be at least CAD$1.28 billion in 2018.33 In a population-based study from Manitoba, patients with CD costs the healthcare system CAD$4,232 per person annually.44

About one in five Canadian adults with CD is hospitalized every year.41,45 This hospitalization is often due to incomplete control of the disease with currently available therapy, in particular therapies that fail to have a significant impact on the endoscopic activity of the disease. In a Canadian population-based study, 2.3% of hospitalized IBD patients were re-hospitalized within one month of discharge, while 5.6% were readmitted to hospital within six months and 7.7% within 12 months.46 The average length of CD-related hospitalizations was 8.8 days. The population-based study from Manitoba found that more patients with IBD (0.74%) were admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) every year, compared for matched controls.47 The risk of ICU admission was greater for CD patients than ulcerative colitis patients as compared to matched controls.47

Of patients hospitalized for CD in Canada, 16% undergo an intestinal resection during their first hospitalization.46 In a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies, 16.3%, 33.3% and 46.6% of persons with CD required surgery within one, five, and ten years of diagnosis, respectively.48 The most common operation was a limited intestinal resection. Of persons who undergo surgery, 24.2% and 35.0% undergo repeat surgery after five and ten years, respectively.49

Prior to the introduction of biologic therapies to treat IBD, prescription drugs accounted for less than 25% of costs while hospitalizations accounted for more than 50% of direct costs of IBD care.50,51 In the post-biologic era, prescription drugs account for approximately 30% of IBD-related health care costs internationally.52-56 Mean annual hospitalization costs, however, decreased by 12% in the year following anti-tumour necrosis factor (anti-TNF) initiation, from CAD$6,419 to $5,627 per person. Similar decreases in inpatient care costs have been observed in Alberta (decreasing from CAD$2,715 to $968 in the year before and after infliximab initiation).57 Outpatient costs appear to be similar before and after treatment with infliximab.58-61 Overall, 14.2% of adults with CD are using the anti-TNF biologic agents infliximab and adalimumab.62,63

In summary, despite the rising costs of care associated with increasing biologics, their use has been associated with improvements in health outcomes and QoL among IBD patients. This is evidenced by modest declines in rates of hospitalizations and surgeries. However, current therapies continue to fall short in achieving our endoscopic goals of endoscopic remission and mucosal healing which has been associated with decrease in flares, hospitalization, and surgery (refer below).

Indirect Costs

Canadian-specific data on indirect health related costs of IBD are sparse across all domains of indirect costs, including costs linked to decreased professional development, caregiver burden, and out-of-pocket purchases among IBD patients as well as costs incurred by Canadian children with IBD and their families. In particular, the rates of absenteeism, presenteeism, and premature retirement among Canadian IBD patients require further study to gauge more accurately the indirect health- related costs of IBD in Canada.

Extrapolating from multiple sources, the total indirect health-related cost of IBD in Canada in 2018 is estimated to be CAD$1.29 billion.33 However, this may be a significant underestimate as costs relating to presenteeism, reduced achievement, and caregiver burden could not be estimated and did not factor into this extrapolation.

In a survey study of 744 individuals living with IBD in Manitoba, reduced workplace productivity (i.e. presenteeism) during the previous 14 days was reported by 37% of individuals, including a reduction for 1-2 days by 18% of patients, for 3-9 days by 16% of patients, and on most days by 3% of patients.67 Overall, working persons with IBD may expect to miss an additional 3.5 to 7.5 days from work annually due to illness compared to non-IBD persons. Based on the average Canadian salary in 2016 from Statistics Canada reports (CAD$956.50 per week or CAD$49,738 per year), the estimated mean annual per patient cost related to medical absenteeism is CAD$752 (range CAD$478 to CAD$1,025.34 In 2018, it is estimated that there are 97,809 Canadian working-age adults (age 18- 64) with CD.68 Based on an estimated workforce rate of 68% among persons with CD living in Canada, roughly 66,510 persons would be eligible to experience medical absenteeism.69

Extrapolating annual retirement rates from a German study to working age Canadians with IBD, 430 persons with CD may be expected to retire each year in Canada, assuming that all working-age persons with IBD would otherwise be employed.34,70 Using the mean retirement ages from the German study of roughly 43 among CD patients, and the average earnings for Canadians in 2016, the average lifetime lost wages from premature retirement are calculated to be CAD$1,044,498 per person with CD (based on an average retirement age among working Canadians of 64).68,70 Aggregated across all IBD retirees each year, this equates to roughly CAD$449 million among persons with CD in permanent lost wages annually, assuming a similar wage distribution among IBD retirees and non-retirees.

In 2012, the cost of premature death among IBD persons in Canada was estimated to be CAD$9.4 million. In 2016, IBD specific premature deaths would result in 675 lost years of productivity and roughly CAD$33 million in permanent lost wages (CAD$746,070 per decedent) accrued annually across all working-age IBD persons (over and above lost wages due to premature mortality from non- IBD related causes).34 The rise in estimated indirect costs of premature mortality in people with IBD from 2012 to 2016 is the result of: (1) higher wages; and (2) a higher number of deaths due to IBD, likely because of the increasing prevalence of IBD in Canada. Population-based studies from Ontario and Manitoba report higher mortality rates among patients with CD compared to the general population, particularly among young and middle-aged individuals.71,72 According to Statistics Canada data from 2010-2014, there are an average of 33 deaths directly resulting from CD per year.73

Based on cost estimates for sick days and short-term disability, premature retirement, premature death, and out-of-pocket expenses, the total indirect health-related cost to the Canadian economy due to IBD is estimated to be close to CAD$1.29 billion in 2018, or roughly CAD$4,781 per person with IBD. The largest component of this cost is related to lost productivity, particularly premature retirement (CAD$629 million). Importantly, this estimate does not consider presenteeism costs, caregiver costs, and the costs of reduced professional development, which may be substantial but could not be accurately estimated due to insufficient data. The estimated annual cost due to medical absenteeism is speculated be as high as CAD$1.57 billion.33

Current Available Treatments for Moderate to Severe CD

CD patients in Canada are treated with variety of therapies depending on the characteristics of their disease. Treatments include 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASA), corticosteroids, immune modifiers, and biologics which include anti-TNF therapy, anti-integrin, and anti-IL 2/23.74 For moderately to severely active disease therapies include corticosteroids, immunomodulators, and biologics. The therapies discussed here are supported by the CAG Consensus Practice guidelines published in 2018. The traditional approach is to treat patients with corticosteroids during periods of disease flare to reduce symptoms and induce remission.74 These drugs are not prescribed on a long-term basis due to side effects and poor effectiveness for maintaining remission.74 The need for corticosteroids is usually the gateway for the need of more advanced therapies (biologics).

Therefore, for patients who are refractory to corticosteroids, dependent, or have disease requiring initiation of corticosteroids biologics are typically initiated.74 According to the Canadian Specialist Group, the early use of highly effective therapies early in the disease course affords the best chance to change the natural history of the disease. This is supported by Canadian Consensus Guidelines. The Group reviewed the treatment landscape and the pros and cons of each therapy which is outlined here.

Corticosteroids

Prednisone and budesonide are effective medication in patients with moderately to severely active CD.5 Methylprednisolone can be given intravenously (IV) in patients who are hospitalized. These medications non-specifically suppress the immune system. The limitations of corticosteroids are their inability to maintain clinical remission and the fact that they have not been shown to be associated with mucosal healing.

The Group agreed that they are very effective agents for the treatment of symptoms but are associated with significant short- and long-term side effects. They should not be used as a maintenance medication.75 Moreover, the Group agreed that corticosteroids do not meet the modern treatment goals which include endoscopic remission and mucosal healing.

Immunomodulators

Also referred to as immunosuppressants, drugs such as azathioprine, 6-mercaptopurine (6-MP), methotrexate, may be used to help decrease corticosteroid dependency and may help maintain disease remission.76,77,78,79 In a study of 141 patients, it demonstrated that when compared to placebo, methotrexate was more effective at inducing (19.1% vs. 39.4%, p = 0.025) and maintaining remission (39% vs. 65%, p = 0.04) in patients with active or steroid dependent CD.78,79 Immune modifiers have been shown to be more effective than placebo for maintenance of remission in CD, although the quality of evidence is low.80 In addition, these therapies are associated with tolerability issues in the short term and potential for serious toxicity or complications with long-term use.

The Group agreed that may be effective agents for the treatment of corticosteroid-dependent disease but once again they do not meet the modern treatment goals which include endoscopic remission and mucosal healing and have never been shown to decrease the rates of hospitalization or surgeries.

Biologics

Anti-TNF (infliximab and adalimumab): The advent of anti-TNF therapy and its ability to effectively induce and maintain remission while sparing corticosteroids. They work in a wide variety of patients including patients with perianal fistulizing disease and severe extra-intestinal manifestations where they are often considered first line therapy. They have also been associated with mucosal healing, for those who respond a reduction in hospitalization and surgery rates has been demonstrated.81

Anti-TNF biologics infliximab and adalimumab are currently approved in Canada for moderate to severe CD.32 They work by blocking the immune system’s production of tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-a), a key pro-inflammatory cytokine. The ACCENT I study of 573 patients investigated if maintenance infliximab therapy in CD patients can provide better long-term efficacy than no further treatment after a single-dose infusion. Results showed that patients who received maintenance therapy were two times more likely to maintain clinical remission compared with placebo (OR: 2.7, 95% CI: 1.6–4.6).82 The median time to loss of response was 46 weeks in the treatment group vs. 19 weeks in the placebo group.

The SONIC trial investigated the efficacy of infliximab, azathioprine, and a combination of the two drugs to induce and maintain corticosteroid-free clinical remission in patients with moderate to severe CD.83 The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the rate of corticosteroid-free clinical remission at week 26. Disease severity was evaluated using the CDAI and IBD-Questionnaire (IBDQ) scores as well as with direct visualization of mucosal healing with ileocolonoscopy at week 26. The greatest number of corticosteroid-free remission was achieved with combination therapy (43.9%), although results were significantly better with infliximab-based strategies (30.1%) as compared to azathioprine alone (16.5%). Therefore, to achieve the best results SONIC demonstrated the need to use infliximab in combination with a purine anti-metabolite.

The CLASSIC-I trial was a short 4-week dose-ranging study evaluating the efficacy the anti-TNF drug adalimumab in CD.84 A small number of patients (299) were included who were randomly assigned to receive adalimumab induction treatment doses at weeks 0 and 2 of either 40 mg/20 mg, 80 mg/40 mg, 160 mg/80 mg, or placebo. Compared to placebo, the only induction loading dose regimen that achieved statistical significance for remission rates was 160 mg/80 mg. While the CLASSIC-I study demonstrated that adalimumab was effective in inducing remission by week 4, the CHARM study went on to show that adalimumab was equally effective at maintaining remission in patients with moderate to severe CD, either at a dose of 40 mg weekly or every other week.85 At week 56, those on adalimumab were 1.5 to 2 times more likely to have maintained remission compared to placebo. The EXTEND study was a phase 4 study and was the first study designed to evaluate mucosal healing as the primary endpoint.86 The results demonstrated that adalimumab could provide early and sustained mucosal healing in patients with moderate to severe ileocolonic CD. Higher rates of mucosal healing with adalimumab compared with placebo were observed by week 12 (27% vs. 13%, p = 0.056) but did not achieve statistical significance.

Due to the recent expiry of infliximab and adalimumab patents, several biosimilars have been approved for use in IBD.87,88 Biosimilars are analogous in structure but not identical to the original.87 The only advantage of biosimilars is in easing the economic burden of anti-TNF treatment.89

The Group agreed that anti-TNF therapy has been a significant advance in the treatment of CD. However, they have limitations which include immunogenicity, the need for combination with immunomodulators, and loss of response over time. Furthermore, the Group identified that between 30-50% of patients in their practices are receiving doses that are outside of the labelled dosing. The Group speculated whether this was due to the limited data available for achieving mucosal healing or whether this is due to a lack of a broad dosing range being evaluated in phase 2/3

Anti-IL 12/23 (ustekinumab): Initially used for the treatment of psoriasis, ustekinumab is now also approved for use in moderate to severe CD.90,91 To investigate its efficacy in CD, two 8-week placebo-controlled induction trials (UNITI-1 and UNITI-2) and one 44-week maintenance trial (IM-UNITI) were undertaken.15 Results of the three trials showed consistent superiority with ustekinumab over placebo in inducing and maintaining remission in patients with moderate to severe CD. At week 44, patients receiving maintenance doses of ustekinumab every 8 or 12 weeks were more likely to be in remission than placebo (53.1% vs. 48.8% vs. 35.9%, respectively; p < 0.05). The study included patients previously exposed to anti-TNF therapy. However, the improvement in endoscopic indices was modest at best and did not achieve statistical significance.

The Group agreed that ustekinumab is effective in treating patients with moderately to severely active CD, both those who are naïve to biologic therapy and those exposed to anti- TNF. Its strength is a balance between efficacy and safety. Like anti-TNF therapy, the experience across the Group was that in clinical practice 30-40% of patients required dosing outside of the approved dosing intervals. Additionally, the lack of robust mucosal healing in the phase three program was cited by some as a weakness.

Anti-integrin (vedolizumab): Vedolizumab is a biologic approved for use in moderate to severe CD.32 Vedolizumab blocks α4β7- integrin on the surface of lymphocytes thus interrupting their homing to inflamed tissue in the gut, by blocking this migration it helps reduce inflammation. Vedolizumab is deemed gut-selective as α4β7- expressing lymphocytes only home to the gut. 92 The GEMINI-2 study investigated the efficacy of vedolizumab at inducing and maintaining remission in 368 CD patients.13 The primary endpoint was to assess clinical remission (CDAI score :',150) at week 6. In the study, vedolizumab induction therapy was moderately more likely than placebo to result in remission at week 6 (14.5% vs. 6.8%; p = 0.02). However, by week 52, patients who had an initial response to induction therapy had higher rates of clinical remission and glucocorticoid-free remission than placebo (21.6%) when vedolizumab was given 4- or 8-weekly (36.4% and 39% respectively) (p = 0.004 and p < 0.001, respectively). The effect of vedolizumab induction at week 6 is modest. The GEMINI-3 study focused specifically on the efficacy of vedolizumab with previous anti-TNF failure. The results did not show a significant difference between vedolizumab and placebo at week 6 (15.2% vs. 12.1% respectively, p = 0.433) but there was a modest benefit at week 10 (26.6% vs. 12.1% respectively, p = 0.001). The phase 3 program did not include an assessment of endoscopic endpoints.

The Group agreed that vedolizumab is effective in treating bio-naïve patients with moderately to severely active CD. Its biggest strength is its safety profile due to its gut selectivity. Limitations include its modest clinical efficacy, lack of efficacy in patients with extra-intestinal manifestations, and the lack of robust data for endoscopic endpoints and its limited utility in anti-TNF exposed patients.

Surgery: Surgery is necessary in CD when medications prove ineffective or if complications arise, such as fistulae, abscesses, scarring, and narrowing of the bowel.93 Complications are believed to arise due to uncontrolled inflammation at the bowel level (i.e., the lack of mucosal healing). In most cases, the diseased segment of the bowel is resected. Historically the endoscopic post-operative recurrence rate after an ileal resection is 50-70%. This leads to many patients requiring 2nd and 3rd surgeries. Surgery is associated with significant morbidity, impairment in quality of life and even mortality.

Some patients will require an ostomy, an ileostomy, or a colostomy. 93

The Group agreed that surgery should be performed in patients who have developed complications or who have limited small intestinal disease. However, the ongoing need for surgery in patients with CD is likely a reflection that there is need for therapies that can achieve all our treatment goals.

Treatment Goals

Treatment goals in IBD have evolved over recent years recognizing that treating only to symptoms is inadequate and leaves patients at risk of developing progressive complicated disease. It is these complications that often lead to the need for surgery. As outlined above, surgery is not the answer due to the high rate of post-operative recurrence and the morbidity and mortality associated with surgery. One of the most important concepts in Crohn’s disease is the disconnect between the presence and absence of symptoms and control of inflammation. Patients may be asymptomatic (i.e., be in symptomatic remission) but continue to have underlying endoscopic activity and inflammation.94,95

Recognizing this disconnect, International Organization for the Study of IBD (IOIBD) initially outlined that treatment targets/goals should NOT rely only on achieving symptomatic relief but should also include mucosal healing in 2015.96 In 2021, the updated Selecting Therapeutic Targets in Inflammatory Bowel Disease (STRIDE-II) Initiative of the International Organization for the Study of IBD (IOIBD) reiterated the most important treatment target/goals for patients with CD as: clinical remission, normalization of biomarkers and endoscopic healing (EH), restoration of QoL, and absence of disability.97 Relief of symptoms is acknowledged as important because this is what impacts patients in their daily lives. However, it is paramount to have therapies that can achieve improvement in the endoscopic appearance (endoscopic response), endoscopic remission, and mucosal healing. Achieving these endpoints, has been demonstrated to reduce the chance of future flares, hospitalizations, and surgeries.98,99

In recognition of the importance of having therapies that not only lead to symptomatic remission but can improve the endoscopic appearance of the bowel towards a goal of achieving mucosal healing, and changing the natural history of the disease, regulatory authorities now include endoscopic response as a co-primary endpoint in phase III registrational trials of moderate to severe CD.100

The Group noted that an early and robust treatment that induces symptomatic remission but also promotes healing that can be seen on endoscopic imaging would be ideal for all patients. According to the Group, treatment goals now focus on changing the course of disease for CD patients, preventing further intestinal damage, avoiding disability, and reducing the overall cost of care. However, the Group discussed that this expanded target is not achievable in most patients using currently available treatments. The Canadian Specialist Group concurs, underscoring the need for more robust therapy options in CD care.

Treatment Gaps (Unmet Needs)

Several unmet needs remain in the treatment of moderate to severe CD. There is need for a safe therapy that rapidly induces symptomatic remission and can be used to maintain symptomatic remission. Importantly there is need for a therapy that can also rapidly improve the endoscopic appearance of the bowel and maintain this in the long-term. The latter has not been previously tested in a phase 3 program. The presently available therapies each have their limitations which will be discussed below. These limitations are highlighted for the currently available biologics as the Canadian Specialist Group flagged the need for dose escalation to levels that are off label to achieve control in CD treatment in a substantial percentage of their patient population (ranging from 30-50% depending on the agent). In real-world clinical practice, dosage levels did not appear to perform as well as those used in clinical trials in specific patient populations. The Group also underscored that this frequent dose escalation in clinical practice had a cumulative negative impact on the patient- physician relationship and served to sow seeds of doubt and a loss of confidence in patients towards their therapeutic options and patient care.

Limitations Associated With Current Treatments
Corticosteroids

Prednisone and budesonide are prescribed orally for CD but safety, especially associated with long- term use, is a concern and, as such, are not recommended for maintenance therapy.33,75 The Canadian Specialist Group concurred stating that risk of infection and other potentially irreversible adverse events are higher with corticosteroid use.101,102 There was also a consensus in the Group on the risks for short-term cosmetic (e.g. skin thinning, acne, hirsutism, cushingoid or ‘moon face’ appearance) and neuropsychological impact (e.g. hypomanic reactions, insomnia, psychosis) that has been well documented in clinical studies. In addition, the Group voiced concerns over the limited ability of corticosteroids to treat inflammation in CD over the long-term.

More recently, prolonged corticosteroid therapy has been shown to be associated with an increase in mortality in patients with CD.102 There is also a significant positive correlation between having C. difficile infection and more corticosteroid and antibiotic exposure, and increased disease activity, worse QoL, and increased health care utilization (all p < 0.01).103,104

Corticosteroids were the mainstay for induction therapy until the late 1990s when evidence began showing that they induce complete clinical remission in 48% and partial clinical remission in 32% of patients with active CD. However, 20% of patients were found to be resistant from the onset, and at their 1-year follow-up, 45% of the patients who responded initially became steroid-dependent, with only 32% of patients maintaining a prolonged clinical response.105,106 It became apparent that corticosteroids were ineffective at maintaining remission, reducing flares, or preventing disease recurrence.105-109

The French GETAID study provided further proof that corticosteroids were not disease-modifying agents with limited evidence to indicate their ability to achieve endoscopic mucosal healing or preventing endoscopic relapse.110 In this study, patients were given prednisolone 1 mg/kg for 7 weeks, and only 29% achieved endoscopic and clinical remission, with 71% showing active endoscopic lesions. In fact, 9% of patients had worsening endoscopic lesions despite symptomatic improvement.110 Corticosteroids are now typically used during periods of disease flare but as there is a risk of patient reliance, along with worsening CD, they should not be used long term. In addition, according to the Group, the known side effects may cause reluctance in patients to go back on them even if it is needed.

The Canadian Specialist Group would advise against the use of corticosteroids for maintenance therapy but recognize that treatment failure on prednisone is still required on most formularies prior to prescribing a biologic therapy. The Group would advise use of corticosteroids in the short term in times of disease flare in moderate to severe CD but typically ends up being a bridge to more advanced therapies.

Immunomodulators

The advantages of using thiopurines are their steroid-sparing effects. However, their slow onset of action (8-12 weeks) makes them ineffective for short-term induction in active, symptomatic disease.111 With regard to immune modifiers azathioprine and methotrexate, the Group noted that tolerability issues, inferior efficacy compared to advanced therapies such as biologics, and delayed onset of action are limitations. Added to these are concerns over increased risk of infections, purine pancreatitis, myelosuppression, hepatotoxicity, and malignancy, particularly lymphoma and nonmelanoma skin cancer.112-1

The Group agreed that immunomodulators may be effective agents for the treatment of corticosteroid-dependent disease but once again they do not meet the modern treatment goals which include endoscopic remission and mucosal healing and have never been shown to decrease the rates of hospitalization or surgeries.

Biologics

Anti-TNF (infliximab and adalimumab): The Canadian Specialist Group has encountered patient reluctance when prescribing the anti-TNF biologics infliximab and adalimumab due to perceptions of risk and long-term safety concerns, with many patients requesting to be taken off these biologics. Compared to newer biologics in use for CD, the Group has found that the mode and frequency of administration of this class of biologics can pose an issue as many patients are averse to IV use. The Group also noted that dose escalation is often required in a substantial proportion of patients to gain disease control, which draws out the management journey for patients.

Anti-TNF drugs are effective in the management of CD, but treatment failure is a common downfall in these medications. The personalized anti-TNF therapy in CD study (PANTS) aimed to identify specific clinical and pharmacokinetic factors that predicted primary non-response.115 Their multivariate analysis demonstrated that the only factor independently associated with primary non- response was low drug concentration at week 14 for both infliximab and adalimumab. For both drugs, suboptimal drug concentrations at week 14 predicted immunogenicity, with the formation of anti-drug antibodies.

Anti-TNF therapies (biosimilars included) have transformed the care of patients with IBD, redefining our standards, however, it has become obvious that they are not universally effective, with 30-50% of patients being primary non-responders and with further attrition from subsequent loss of response (mechanistic escape, immunogenicity, or intolerance.116 There is also the real risk of infectious complications attributable to non-specific inhibition of TNF-mediated immunologic cascades.116,117

The Group agreed that anti-TNF therapy has been a significant advance in the treatment of CD. However, they have limitations which include immunogenicity, the need for combination with immunomodulators, and loss of response over time. Furthermore, the Group identified that between 30-50% of patients in their practices are receiving doses that are outside of the labelled dosing. The Group speculated whether this was due to the limited data available for achieving mucosal healing or whether this is due to a lack of a broad dosing range being evaluated in phase 2/3.

Anti-IL 12/23 (ustekinumab): Ustekinumab use in the Group’s experience shows sub-optimal efficacy on endoscopic endpoints and is often used at higher off-label doses to achieve remission. The Group noted that the current on-label dosage of this biologic is often inadequate to achieve symptomatic and endoscopic outcomes without a dose escalation. According to the Group, this habitual need for off-label dose escalation occurs in up to 30-50% of patients and can erode trust between the patient and their specialist as treatment continues to fail to illicit an adequate response after weeks of therapy. Although, the Group did find that ustekinumab performed better than vedolizumab at resolving EIMs.

The Group agreed that ustekinumab is effective in treating patients with moderately to severely active CD, both those who are naïve to biologic therapy and those exposed to anti- TNF. Its strength is a balance between efficacy and safety. Like anti-TNF therapy, the experience across the group was that in clinical practice 30-50% of patients required dosing outside of the approved dosing intervals. Additionally, the lack of robust mucosal healing in the phase 3 program was cited by some as a weakness and not meeting the current needs of therapy.

Anti-integrin (vedolizumab): The Canadian Specialist Group would not advise use of vedolizumab in patients with large ulcers or high-risk endoscopic profiles as the absolute rates of ulcer healing are inadequate. The Group also deemed that this agent has limited efficacy as a second line option. In addition, several ‘real-world’ studies demonstrated that vedolizumab may be more beneficial in patients who are biologic-naïve and those with an inflammatory phenotype. The Group concurred that vedolizumab would not be the first choice for severely active CD due to the comparatively lower efficacy, which also typically prompts a dose escalation every 4 weeks in 30-50% of patients. The slower rate of onset seen with vedolizumab that only exhibits symptomatic remission sufficiently greater than placebo at week 10 may necessitate the co-administration of a corticosteroid to achieve initial disease control, which then increases patient exposure to risks of infection and other adverse events, according to the Group. The concern over vedolizumab’s inability to induce remission at week 6 and the lack of mucosal healing data do not provide compelling evidence for its use in CD.

The Group agreed that vedolizumab is modestly effective in treating bio-naïve patients with moderately to severely active CD. Its biggest strength is its safety profile due to its gut selectivity. Limitations include its modest clinical efficacy, the lack of robust data for endoscopic endpoints and its limited utility in anti-TNF exposed patients.

In summary, none of the available therapies meet the current needs of patients in the short or long-term. This is highlighted that despite the availability of biologics, there is still a high rate of surgery and post-operative recurrence in CD. Over the last decade, the probability of surgery has been reported to be between 30% and 66% within 15 years of diagnosis, with clinical relapse and reoperation rates of 50-60% and 28-45%, respectively.118 Among CD patients, up to 40% are primary non-responders to an anti-TNF agent prescribed as first line, up to 46% experience a loss of response during maintenance treatment with an anti-TNF agent by the 1 year mark, and 35-50% of non- responders to an anti-TNF agent fail to respond adequately to a second anti-TNF agent.119 Among CD patients on vedolizumab, the pooled incidence of loss of response is 47.9 per 100 patient-years.117 Among patient on ustekinumab, 34% experienced a loss of response to maintenance therapy at a median of 47.4 weeks while 16% required a dose escalation.118, 119

Place in Therapy

How would the drug under review fit into the current treatment paradigm? How would risankizumab fit into the current treatment paradigm and fill unmet needs?

Thus, there is a need for novel targeted therapies with new mechanisms of action that provide sustained clinical and endoscopic outcomes, as well as exhibit improved benefit-risk profiles across different patient populations when used as long-term maintenance therapy. IL-23 has been deemed to be pivotal to the pathogenesis of Crohn’s disease and several other immune mediated diseases including psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis.120 Targeting IL-23 has revolutionized the treatment of psoriasis and has been shown to be superior to other existing therapies including anti-TNF and ustekinumab in head-to-head studies. There is extensive literature in Crohn’s disease demonstrating the importance of IL-23 which includes genetic polymorphisms and increased tissue expression.121-129

Risankizumab is a humanized immunoglobulin (Ig)G1 monoclonal antibody directed against the p19 subunit of the human IL-23 cytokine. It is the first therapy that has ever been evaluated to meet the treatment goals that are valued in the treatment of CD and discussed above; namely both clinical and endoscopic endpoints as co-primary endpoints during induction and maintenance therapy. Therefore, it is the first therapy to demonstrate in a phase three program that it not only is able to treat symptoms but the underlying inflammation that defines CD.

It is available as an IV infusion for the induction phase and as a subcutaneous injection for the maintenance phase in CD treatment. ADVANCE and MOTIVATE were randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 induction studies that enrolled patients aged 16-80 years with moderate to severe CD, previously showing intolerance or inadequate response to one or more approved biologics or conventional therapy (ADVANCE) or to biologics (MOTIVATE).130 In ADVANCE, 931 patients were assigned to either risankizumab 600 mg (n=373), risankizumab 1200 mg (n=372), or placebo (n=186). In MOTIVATE, 618 patients were assigned to risankizumab 600 mg (n=206), risankizumab 1200 mg (n=205), or placebo (n=207). All co-primary endpoints, which entailed clinical remission (defined by CDAI) or PRO criteria (average daily stool frequency and abdominal pain score) and endoscopic response at week 12, were met in both trials with both doses of risankizumab (p values ≤0.0001). This included a statistically significant improvement in fatigue, the first therapy to demonstrate this.

FORTIFY is a 52-week, phase 3 maintenance study that enrolled participants with a clinical response to risankizumab from the ADVANCE or MOTIVATE induction studies and randomly assigned these patients to receive either subcutaneous risankizumab 180 mg (n=179), subcutaneous risankizumab 360 mg (n=179), or were withdrawn from risankizumab to receive subcutaneous placebo (n=184) every 8 weeks.18 Overall, close to three quarters of patients from the ADVANCE and MOTIVATE induction trials showed a treatment response and qualified to continue to the maintenance phase study. Greater clinical remission and endoscopic response rates were reached with 360 mg risankizumab vs. placebo with CDAI clinical remission reached in 74 (52%) of 141 patients vs. 67 (41%) of 164 patients (p=0.0054). Similarly, stool frequency and abdominal pain score clinical remission was reached in greater numbers in the 360 mg risankizumab group where it was achieved in 73 (52%) of 141 vs. 65 (40%) of 164 patients in the placebo group (p=0.0037). As for endoscopic response rates, it was reached in 66 (47%) of 141 patients in the 360 mg group vs. 36 (22%) of 164 patients in the placebo group (p<0.0001). Higher rates of CDAI clinical remission and endoscopic response were also reached with risankizumab 180 mg vs. withdrawal (subcutaneous placebo) with 87 (55%) of 157 patients reaching CDAI remission (p=0.0031) and an endoscopic response in 74 (47%) of 157 patients (p<0.0001). Results for more stringent endoscopic and composite endpoints and inflammatory biomarkers were consistent with a dose–response relationship. Efficacy was observed irrespective of intolerance or inadequate response to other advanced therapies. Risankizumab subcutaneous maintenance therapy was deemed safe and well tolerated in patients.

Thus, selective blockade of IL-23 with risankizumab is a new mechanism of action that shows efficacy in patients with moderate to severe CD refractory to conventional therapy or one or more lines of biologic therapies, including anti-TNF drugs, vedolizumab and ustekinumab. Consensus from the Canadian Specialist Group is that the results are the strongest of an agent ever studied in CD, especially in light of the refractory patient population studied and the fact that it worked rapidly with the ability to change endoscopic outcomes in a period as short as three months. In addition, there was a large proportion of patients that responded to therapy making them eligible for maintenance therapy. Therefore, the impact across that CD patient population is quite meaningful. This impressive efficacy was not at the expense of safety over 64 weeks of therapy. The long-term safety of the class has been demonstrated to be no different than placebo.

Overall, the clinical trial outcomes indicate that a broad range of use is possible in clinical practice – from first line advanced therapy to treatment of patients with inadequate response or intolerance to multiple advanced therapies. Importantly, the robust endoscopic data could translate into changing the course of disease with risankizumab. Most of the Group indicated that it should be the treatment of choice in most patients with Crohn’s disease due to the favorable benefit-risk ratio and its ability to achieve the endoscopic endpoints early and during maintenance.

Which patients would be best suited for treatment with the drug under review? Which patients would be least suitable for treatment with the drug under review?

There was consensus among the Group that durability, lack of need for dose escalation, and good endoscopic mucosal healing, combined with the high efficacy and overall safety of risankizumab, positions this new biologic in CD as a prime candidate to help resolve many of the unmet needs in the treatment landscape. The lower risk of inadequate response with this agent will help eliminate the costs currently incurred to make dose adjustments to gain response with available biologic therapies. The Group noted that these properties, combined with a favourable safety profile, will also reduce the burden on specialists of having to monitor patients more frequently as is done with many conventional therapies with higher adverse event risk profiles. The high efficacy and onset of treatment response with risankizumab will also help re-establish patient trust in their treatment choice and care providers. The quick rate of initial response seen with risankizumab helps cut down on delays associated with dose escalation and drug switching with current therapies. The Group also felt confident that risankizumab efficacy and durability as a first line biologic agent will help drive down the risk of hospitalization and need for surgical interventions in the long-term.

According to the Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group, risankizumab is best suited to treat patients with moderate to severe CD as a first line biologic agent due to its superior efficacy, safety, and durability profile. The Group noted that patients with CD still experiencing flares or inadequate response on another existing biologic should be switched to risankizumab as a second line agent given the patient population it was studied in.

The Group also identified patients poorly suited to risankizumab therapy as: those with perianal fistulizing CD, those with uveitis, severe peripheral arthritis, and those with a concomitant immune mediated disease who would be better suited to treatment with an anti-TNF biologic agent.

What outcomes are used to determine whether a patient is responding to treatment in clinical practice? How often should treatment response be assessed?

The risankizumab development program was the first clinical trial that aligned with what is done in clinical practice and aligns with disease management strategies outlined in STRIDE-II. The Canadian Specialist Group recommends that management strategies strive for complete remission, which is defined as both symptomatic and endoscopic remission and align with Canadian Consensus Guidelines.

In the first three months of therapy, a meaningful improvement in symptoms as measured by elements of the PRO2 (stool frequency and abdominal pain) should be demonstrated. Patients would be expected to be in symptomatic remission and off corticosteroids by six months. Symptomatic improvement should be accompanied be a decrease in biomarkers (C-reactive protein and fecal calprotectin) of inflammatory activity in the first three months. Although, the program demonstrated robust endoscopic response in the first three months, the Group would not assess endoscopic activity until 9-12 months into therapy. In addition, the consensus Group recognized that because of the substantial impact of CD on a patient’s daily life activities and HRQoL, it is imperative to consider the patient’s perspective when making treatment decisions. In many instances, factors that influence patient decisions relating to therapy choice and goals of therapy are not the same as those of the treating clinician.

What factors should be considered when deciding to discontinue treatment with the drug under review?

The Group would recommend discontinuing treatment with risankizumab if there is worsening of symptoms or if there is an inadequate response, but this is not broadly anticipated based on available clinical data demonstrating that a large proportion of patients will respond to therapy over the first six months. In instances where there is an inadequate response to risankizumab as first line biologic therapy in moderate to severe CD, then a switch to another class of agents, such an anti-TNF agent is warranted, according to the Group.

What settings are appropriate for treatment with [drug under review]? Is a specialist required to diagnose, treat, and monitor patients who might receive [drug under review]?

In the clinical experience of the Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group Group, risankizumab would need to be administered in clinic by a trained health care professional during the induction phase under the supervision of a gastroenterologist. Patients would be trained to use the on-body injector for maintenance therapy and would require training to be comfortable with the device which will happen during their last visit to the infusion clinic during induction.

Additional Information

Summary From the Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) Specialist Group

Canada has one of the highest prevalence rates of CD in the world and although the arrival of previous biologic agents has reshaped the CD disease management landscape, there remains a significant unmet need. Currently, about one in five Canadian adults with CD is hospitalized every year while up to 2.3% of hospitalized IBD patients are re-hospitalized within one month of discharge. Meanwhile, the clinical relapse rates remain high with available biologic agents approved for use in CD. With the anti-TNF agents infliximab and adalimumab, up to 40% of patients are primary non- responders when they are prescribed as first line therapy, and up to 46% of CD patients experience a loss of response in the first year during maintenance treatment.1 With vedolizumab, the pooled incidence of loss of response is 47.9 per 100 patient-years while up to 34% of patients on ustekinumab experienced a loss of response to maintenance therapy at a median of 47.4 weeks. In addition, there is an alarmingly frequent need for dose escalation using available biologics to levels that are off label to achieve treatment response in CD. This is a reality in clinical practice for an estimated 30-50% of patients Canada wide. The prevalence of this practice in the clinic introduces unnecessary delays in the patient treatment journey while driving up costs of care. The current advanced therapies were approved on their ability to improve symptoms and it is acknowledged that this is not enough to change the course of disease.

The new mechanism of action seen with risankizumab provides sustained clinical and endoscopic outcomes across different patient populations when used as induction and maintenance therapy. The unparalleled degree of endoscopic response could help reduce and delay many other long-term, downstream consequences of CD, including hospitalizations, surgical interventions, steroid use, and loss of functioning in daily life activities. Thus, the favourable efficacy, safety, and durability profile of risankizumab makes it a prime candidate for first line therapy in moderate to severe CD. Nationwide availability and coverage of this biologic agent is expected to mark the next leap forward in the current treatment landscape.

The Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) Specialist Group foresees a broad range of use for risankizumab, including first line advanced therapy and to treat patients with inadequate response or intolerance to multiple advanced therapies. Critically, the robust endoscopic data and mucosal healing seen with Risankizumab could well translate into changing the course of disease in moderate to severe CD. The Group would strongly recommend that patients with moderate to severe CD be given access to this favourable treatment option.

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  29. Cellier C, Sahmoud T, Froguel E, et al. Correlations between clinical activity, endoscopic severity, and biological parameters in colonic or ileocolonic Crohn’s disease: a prospective multicentre study of 121 cases—The Groupe d’Etudes Therapeutiques des Affections Inflammatoires Digestives. Gut 1994; 35:231–235.

  30. Sipponen T, Savilahti E, Kolho KL, et al. Crohn’s disease activity assessed by fecal calprotectin and lactoferrin: correlation with Crohn’s disease activity index and endoscopic findings. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2008; 14:40–46.

  31. Jones J, Loftus EV Jr, Panaccione R, et al. Relationships between disease activity and serum and fecal biomarkers in patients with Crohn’s disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2008; 6:1218–1224.

  32. Panaccione R, Steinhart AH, Bressler B, Khanna R, Marshall JK, Targownik L, Afif W, Bitton A, Borgaonkar M, Chauhan U, Halloran B, Jones J, Kennedy E, Leontiadis GI, Loftus EV Jr, Meddings J, Moayyedi P, Murthy S, Plamondon S, Rosenfeld G, Schwartz D, Seow CH, Williams C, Bernstein CN. Canadian Association of Gastroenterology Clinical Practice Guideline for the Management of Luminal Crohn's Disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2019 Aug;17(9):1680-1713.

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Conflict of Interest Declarations — Pan-Canadian Inflammatory Bowel Disease Specialist Group

To maintain the objectivity and credibility of the CADTH drug review programs, all participants in the drug review processes must disclose any real, potential, or perceived conflicts of interest. This conflict-of-interest declaration is required for participation.

Declarations made do not negate or preclude the use of the clinician group input. CADTH may contact your group with further questions, as needed. Please refer to the Procedures for CADTH Drug Reimbursement Reviews (section 6.3) for further details.

Did you receive help from outside your clinician group to complete this submission? If yes, please detail the help and who provided it.

No.

Did you receive help from outside your clinician group to collect or analyze any information used in this submission? If yes, please detail the help and who provided it.

No.

List any companies or organizations that have provided your group with financial payment over the past two years AND who may have direct or indirect interest in the drug under review. Please note that this is required for each clinician who contributed to the input — please add more tables as needed (copy and paste). It is preferred for all declarations to be included in a single document.

Declaration for Clinician 1

Name: Remo Panaccione

Position: Gastroenterologist, Professor of Medicine, University of Calgary

Date: 01-11-2022

Table 3: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 1

Company

$0 to 5,000

$5,001 to 10,000

$10,001 to 50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Alimentiv

X

Amgen

X

Arena Pharmaceuticals

X

Astra Zeneca

X

Bristol Meyers Squibb

X

Boehringer Ingelheim

X

Eli Lilly

X

Ferring

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Galapagos

X

Gilead Sciences

X

Glaxo-Smith-Klein

X

JAMP Biomed

X

Janssen

X

Merck

X

Mylan

X

Oppilan

X

Organon

X

Pandion Pharma

X

Pfizer

X

Progenity

X

Protagonist Therapeutics

X

Roche

X

Satisfai Health

X

Sandoz

X

Sublimity

X

Takeda Pharmaceuticals

X

Viatris

X

Declaration for Clinician 2

Name: Hillary Steinhart

Position: Gastroenterologist, Professor of Medicine, University of Toronto

Date: 19-09-2022

Table 4: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 2

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Amgen

X

BioJAMP

X

BMS

X

Celgene

X

Celltrion

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Janssen

X

McKesson

X

Mylan Pharnaceuticals

X

NKS Pharmacy

X

Organon

X

Pendopharm

X

Pfizer

X

Sandoz

X

Takeda

X

Declaration for Clinician 3

Name: John Marshall

Position: Gastroenterologist, Head of Gastroenterology, Professor of Medicine, McMaster University

Date: 28-10-2022

Table 5: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 3

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Amgen

X

Astra Zeneca

X

Bausch Health

X

Bristol Myers Squibb

X

Celltrion

X

Eli Lilly

X

Ferring

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Janssen,

X

Lupin

X

Novartis

X

Organon

X

Paladin

X

Pfizer

X

Pharmascience

X

Qu Biologics

X

Roche

X

Takeda

X

Teva

X

Viatris

X

Declaration for Clinician 4

Name: Brian Bressler

Position: Gastroenterologist, Director of the IBD Center of BC, Clinical Associate Professor, University of British Columbia

Date: 30-10-2022

Table 6: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 4

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Takeda

X

Pfizer

X

Janssen

X

Organon

X

BMS

X

Viatris

X

Gilead

X

Celltrion

X

Sandoz

X

Declaration for Clinician 5

Name: Michael Stewart

Position: Gastroenterologist, Co-Director IBD Clinic, Dalhousie, Halifax, Nova Scotia

Date: 23-09-2022

Table 7: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 5

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

AbbVie

X

Amgen

X

Janssen

X

Pfizer

X

Takeda

X

Sandoz

X

Bristol-Myers-Squibb

X

Declaration for Clinician 6

Name: Dr. Mark MacMillan

Position: Gastroenterologist, Fredericton, New Brunswick

Date: 19-10-2022

Table 8: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 6

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Janssen

X

AbbVie

X

Takeda

X

Pfizer

X

Organon

X

Pendopharm

X

Bausch Health

X

Allergan

X

Amgen

X

Declaration for Clinician 7

Name: Jesse Siffledeen, MD FRCPC MSc

Position: Gastroenterologist, Covenant Health, Edmonton Ab.

Date: 17-10- 2022

Table 9: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 7

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Takeda

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

BMS

X

Jamp

X

Lupin

X

Celltrion

X

Pendopharm

X

Amgen

X

Declaration for Clinician 8

Name: Kerri L. Novak

Position: Clinical Associate Professor of Medicine, University of Calgary

Date: 24-10-2022

Table 10: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 8

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Janssen

X

Takeda

X

Pfizer

X

Abbvie

X

Fresnius Kabi

X

Celltrion

X

Bristol Myers Squibb

X

Philips

X

McKesson

X

Declaration for Clinician 9

Name: Christopher Ma

Position: Gastroenterologist, Assistant Professor, University of Calgary

Date: 15-09-2022

Table 11: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 9

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

AbbVie

X

Alimentiv Inc.

X

Amgen

X

AVIR Pharma Inc.

X

BioJAMP

X

Bristol Myers Squibb

X

Celltrion

X

Ferring

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Janssen

X

McKesson

X

Mylan

X

Takeda

X

Pendopharm

X

Pfizer

X

Declaration for Clinician 10

Name: Tushar Shukla

Position: Gastroenterologist, Calgary Alberta

Date: 15-09-2022

Table 12: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 10

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Takeda

X

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Pfizer

X

Declaration for Clinician 11

Name: Cathy Lu

Position: Gastroenterologist, Calgary Alberta

Date: 27-09-2022

Table 13: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 11

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Declaration for Clinician 12

Name: Cyntha Seow

Position: Gastroenterologist, Associate Professor, University of Calgary

Date: 15-10- 2022

Table 14: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 12

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Takeda

X

Fresenius Kabi

X

Amgen

X

Pfizer

X

Sandoz

X

Declaration for Clinician 13

Name: Jeffrey McCurdy

Position: Gastroenterologist, Assistant Professor of Medicine, University of Ottawa

Date: Nov 6, 2022

Table 15: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 13

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Takeda

X

Janssen

X

Abbvie

X

Pfizer

X

BMS

X

Declaration for Clinician 14

Name: Dr. Sanchit Bhasin MD FRCPC

Position: Gastroenterologist – Regina General Hospital/University of Saskatchewan

Date: 07-11-2022

Table 16: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 14

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Pfizer

X

Janssen

X

Abbvie

X

Takeda

X

Declaration for Clinician 15

Name: Allen Lim

Position: Gastroenterologist, Assistant Clinical Professor, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB

Date: 01-11-2022

Table 17: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 15

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Takeda

X

Declaration for Clinician 16

Name: Sundeep Singh

Position: Gastroenterologist, Clinical Instructor, UBC, Kelowna, BC

Date: 02-11-1984

Table 18: COI Declaration for Pan-Canadian IBD Specialist Group — Clinician 16

Company

$0 to $5,000

$5,001 to $10,000

$10,001 to $50,000

In Excess of $50,000

Pfizer

X

Abbvie

X

Janssen

X

Takeda

X

Ferring

X

Sandoz

X

BMS

X

Fresenius Kabi

X